A model combining age, equivalent uniform dose and IL-8 may predict radiation esophagitis in patients with non-small cell lung cancer

Background and purpose To study whether cytokine markers may improve predictive accuracy of radiation esophagitis (RE) in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. Materials and methods A total of 129 patients with stage I-III NSCLC treated with radiotherapy (RT) from prospective studies were included. Thirty inflammatory cytokines were measured in platelet-poor plasma samples. Logistic regression was performed to evaluate the risk factors of RE. Stepwise Akaike information criterion (AIC) and likelihood ratio test were used to assess model predictions. Results Forty-nine of 129 patients (38.0%) developed grade ≥2 RE. Univariate analysis showed that age, stage, concurrent chemotherapy, and eight dosimetric parameters were significantly associated with grade ≥2 RE (p < 0.05). IL-4, IL-5, IL-8, IL-13, IL-15, IL-1α, TGFα and eotaxin were also associated with grade ≥2 RE (p <0.1). Age, esophagus generalized equivalent uniform dose (EUD), and baseline IL-8 were independently associated grade ≥2 RE. The combination of these three factors had significantly higher predictive power than any single factor alone. Addition of IL-8 to toxicity model significantly improves RE predictive accuracy (p = 0.019). Conclusions Combining baseline level of IL-8, age and esophagus EUD may predict RE more accurately. Refinement of this model with larger sample sizes and validation from multicenter database are warranted

Modeling Patient-Specific Dose-Function Response for Enhanced Characterization of Personalized Functional Damage

PURPOSE: Functional-guided radiation therapy (RT) plans have the potential to limit damage to normal tissue and reduce toxicity. Although functional imaging modalities have continued to improve, a limited understanding of the functional response to radiation and its application to personalized therapy has hindered clinical implementation. The purpose of this study was to retrospectively model the longitudinal, patient-specific dose-function response in non-small cell lung cancer patients treated with RT to better characterize the expected functional damage in future, unknown patients. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography/computed tomography scans were obtained at baseline (n = 81), midtreatment (n = 74), 3 months post-treatment (n = 51), and 1 year post-treatment (n = 26) and retrospectively analyzed. Patients were treated with conventionally fractionated RT or stereotactic body RT. Normalized perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography voxel intensity was used as a surrogate for local lung function. A patient-specific logistic model was applied to each individual patient's dose-function response to characterize functional reduction at each imaging time point. Patient-specific model parameters were averaged to create a population-level logistic dose-response model. RESULTS: A significant longitudinal decrease in lung function was observed after RT by analyzing the voxelwise change in normalized perfusion intensity. Generated dose-function response models represent the expected voxelwise reduction in function, and the associated uncertainty, for an unknown patient receiving conventionally fractionated RT or stereotactic body RT. Differential treatment responses based on the functional status of the voxel at baseline suggest that initially higher functioning voxels are damaged at a higher rate than lower functioning voxels. CONCLUSIONS: This study modeled the patient-specific dose-function response in patients with non-small cell lung cancer during and after radiation treatment. The generated population-level dose-function response models were derived from individual patient assessment and have the potential to inform functional-guided treatment plans regarding the expected functional lung damage. This type of patient-specific modeling approach can be applied broadly to other functional response analyses to better capture intrapatient dependencies and characterize personalized functional damage

Prediction of Radiation Esophagitis in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Using Clinical Factors, Dosimetric Parameters, and Pretreatment Cytokine Levels

Radiation esophagitis (RE) is a common adverse event associated with radiotherapy for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). While plasma cytokine levels have been correlated with other forms of radiation-induced toxicity, their association with RE has been less well studied. We analyzed data from 126 patients treated on 4 prospective clinical trials. Logistic regression models based on combinations of dosimetric factors [maximum dose to 2 cubic cm (D2cc) and generalized equivalent uniform dose (gEUD)], clinical variables, and pretreatment plasma levels of 30 cytokines were developed. Cross-validated estimates of area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and log likelihood were used to assess prediction accuracy. Dose-only models predicted grade 3 RE with AUC values of 0.750 (D2cc) and 0.727 (gEUD). Combining clinical factors with D2cc increased the AUC to 0.779. Incorporating pretreatment cytokine measurements, modeled as direct associations with RE and as potential interactions with the dose-esophagitis association, produced AUC values of 0.758 and 0.773, respectively. D2cc and gEUD correlated with grade 3 RE with odds ratios (ORs) of 1.094/Gy and 1.096/Gy, respectively. Female gender was associated with a higher risk of RE, with ORs of 1.09 and 1.112 in the D2cc and gEUD models, respectively. Older age was associated with decreased risk of RE, with ORs of 0.992/year and 0.991/year in the D2cc and gEUD models, respectively. Combining clinical with dosimetric factors but not pretreatment cytokine levels yielded improved prediction of grade 3 RE compared to prediction by dose alone. Such multifactorial modeling may prove useful in directing radiation treatment planning

Radiation-induced lung toxicity in non-small-cell lung cancer: Understanding the interactions of clinical factors and cytokines with the dose-toxicity relationship

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Current methods to estimate risk of radiation-induced lung toxicity (RILT) rely on dosimetric parameters. We aimed to improve prognostication by incorporating clinical and cytokine data, and to investigate how these factors may interact with the effect of mean lung dose (MLD) on RILT. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data from 125 patients treated from 2004 to 2013 with definitive radiotherapy for stages I-III NSCLC on four prospective clinical trials were analyzed. Plasma levels of 30 cytokines were measured pretreatment, and at 2 and 4weeks midtreatment. Penalized logistic regression models based on combinations of MLD, clinical factors, and cytokine levels were developed. Cross-validated estimates of log-likelihood and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) were used to assess accuracy. RESULTS: In prognosticating grade 3 or greater RILT by MLD alone, cross-validated log-likelihood and AUC were -28.2 and 0.637, respectively. Incorporating clinical features and baseline cytokine levels increased log-likelihood to -27.6 and AUC to 0.669. Midtreatment cytokine data did not further increase log-likelihood or AUC. Of the 30 cytokines measured, higher levels of 13 decreased the effect of MLD on RILT, corresponding to a lower odds ratio for RILT per Gy MLD, while higher levels of 4 increased the association. CONCLUSIONS: Although the added prognostic benefit from cytokine data in our model was modest, understanding how clinical and biologic factors interact with the MLD-RILT relationship represents a novel framework for understanding and investigating the multiple factors contributing to radiation-induced toxicity

Big Data in Designing Clinical Trials: Opportunities and Challenges

Emergence of big data analytics resource systems (BDARSs) as a part of routine practice in Radiation Oncology is on the horizon. Gradually, individual researchers, vendors, and professional societies are leading initiatives to create and demonstrate use of automated systems. What are the implications for design of clinical trials, as these systems emerge? Gold standard, randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have high internal validity for the patients and settings fitting constraints of the trial, but also have limitations including: reproducibility, generalizability to routine practice, infrequent external validation, selection bias, characterization of confounding factors, ethics, and use for rare events. BDARS present opportunities to augment and extend RCTs. Preliminary modeling using single- and muti-institutional BDARS may lead to better design and less cost. Standardizations in data elements, clinical processes, and nomenclatures used to decrease variability and increase veracity needed for automation and multi-institutional data pooling in BDARS also support ability to add clinical validation phases to clinical trial design and increase participation. However, volume and variety in BDARS present other technical, policy, and conceptual challenges including applicable statistical concepts, cloud-based technologies. In this summary, we will examine both the opportunities and the challenges for use of big data in design of clinical trials

Direct incorporation of patient-specific efficacy and toxicity estimates in radiation therapy plan optimization

PurposeCurrent radiation therapy (RT) treatment planning relies mainly on pre-defined dose-based objectives and constraints to develop plans that aim to control disease while limiting damage to normal tissues during treatment. These objectives and constraints are generally population-based, in that they are developed from the aggregate response of a broad patient population to radiation. However, correlations of new biologic markers and patient-specific factors to treatment efficacy and toxicity provide the opportunity to further stratify patient populations and develop a more individualized approach to RT planning. We introduce a novel intensity-modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) optimization strategy that directly incorporates patient-specific dose response models into the planning process. In this strategy, we integrate the concept of utility-based planning where the optimization objective is to maximize the predicted value of overall treatment utility, defined by the probability of efficacy (e.g., local control) minus the weighted sum of toxicity probabilities. To demonstrate the feasibility of the approach, we apply the strategy to treatment planning for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients.Methods and materialsWe developed a prioritized approach to patient-specific IMRT planning. Using a commercial treatment planning system (TPS), we calculate dose based on an influence matrix of beamlet-dose contributions to regions-of-interest. Then, outside of the TPS, we hierarchically solve two optimization problems to generate optimal beamlet weights that can then be imported back to the TPS. The first optimization problem maximizes a patient’s overall plan utility subject to typical clinical dose constraints. In this process, we facilitate direct optimization of efficacy and toxicity trade-off based on individualized dose-response models. After optimal utility is determined, we solve a secondary optimization problem that minimizes a conventional dose-based objective subject to the same clinical dose constraints as the first stage but with the addition of a constraint to maintain the optimal utility from the first optimization solution. We tested this method by retrospectively generating plans for five previously treated NSCLC patients and comparing the prioritized utility plans to conventional plans optimized with only dose metric objectives. To define a plan utility function for each patient, we utilized previously published correlations of dose to local control and grade 3–5 toxicities that include patient age, stage, microRNA levels, and cytokine levels, among other clinical factors.ResultsThe proposed optimization approach successfully generated RT plans for five NSCLC patients that improve overall plan utility based on personalized efficacy and toxicity models while accounting for clinical dose constraints. Prioritized utility plans demonstrated the largest average improvement in local control (16.6%) when compared to plans generated with conventional planning objectives. However, for some patients, the utility-based plans resulted in similar local control estimates with decreased estimated toxicity.ConclusionThe proposed optimization approach, where the maximization of a patient’s RT plan utility is prioritized over the minimization of standardized dose metrics, has the potential to improve treatment outcomes by directly accounting for variability within a patient population. The implementation of the utility-based objective function offers an intuitive, humanized approach to biological optimization in which planning trade-offs are explicitly optimized.Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/175082/1/mp15940.pdfhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/175082/2/mp15940_am.pd

Priority-driven plan optimization in locally advanced lung patients based on perfusion SPECT imaging

Purpose: Limits on mean lung dose (MLD) allow for individualization of radiation doses at safe levels for patients with lung tumors. However, MLD does not account for individual differences in the extent or spatial distribution of pulmonary dysfunction among patients, which leads to toxicity variability at the same MLD. We investigated dose rearrangement to minimize the radiation dose to the functional lung as assessed by perfusion single photon emission computed tomography (SPECT) and maximize the target coverage to maintain conventional normal tissue limits. Methods and materials: Retrospective plans were optimized for 15 patients with locally advanced non-small cell lung cancer who were enrolled in a prospective imaging trial. A staged, priority-based optimization system was used. The baseline priorities were to meet physical MLD and other dose constraints for organs at risk, and to maximize the target generalized equivalent uniform dose (gEUD). To determine the benefit of dose rearrangement with perfusion SPECT, plans were reoptimized to minimize the generalized equivalent uniform functional dose (gEUfD) to the lung as the subsequent priority. Results: When only physical MLD is minimized, lung gEUfD was 12.6 ± 4.9 Gy (6.3-21.7 Gy). When the dose is rearranged to minimize gEUfD directly in the optimization objective function, 10 of 15 cases showed a decrease in lung gEUfD of >20% (lung gEUfD mean 9.9 ± 4.3 Gy, range 2.1-16.2 Gy) while maintaining equivalent planning target volume coverage. Although all dose-limiting constraints remained unviolated, the dose rearrangement resulted in slight gEUD increases to the cord (5.4 ± 3.9 Gy), esophagus (3.0 ± 3.7 Gy), and heart (2.3 ± 2.6 Gy). Conclusions: Priority-driven optimization in conjunction with perfusion SPECT permits image guided spatial dose redistribution within the lung and allows for a reduced dose to the functional lung without compromising target coverage or exceeding conventional limits for organs at risk

Predictors of Pneumonitis After Conventionally Fractionated Radiotherapy for Locally Advanced Lung Cancer

PURPOSE: Multiple factors influence the risk of developing pneumonitis after radiation therapy (RT) for lung cancer, but few resources exist to guide clinicians in predicting risk in an individual patient treated with modern techniques. We analyzed toxicity data from a state-wide consortium to develop an integrated pneumonitis risk model. METHODS AND MATERIALS: All patients (N = 1302) received conventionally fractionated RT for stage II-III non-small cell lung cancer between April 2012 and July 2019. Pneumonitis occurring within 6 months of treatment was graded by local practitioners and collected prospectively from 27 academic and community clinics participating in a state-wide quality consortium. Pneumonitis was modeled as either grade ≥2 (G2+) or grade ≥3 (G3+). Logistic regression models were fit to quantify univariable associations with dose and clinical factors, and stepwise Akaike information criterion-based modeling was used to build multivariable prediction models. RESULTS: The overall rate of pneumonitis of any grade in the six months following RT was 16% (208 cases). 7% (94 cases) were G2+ and \u3c1% (11 cases) were G3+. Adjusting for incomplete follow-up, estimated rates for G2+ and G3+ were 14% and 2%, respectively. In univariate analyses, gEUD, V5, V10, V20, V30, and Mean Lung Dose (MLD) were positively associated with G2+ pneumonitis risk, while current smoking status was associated with lower odds of pneumonitis. G2+ pneumonitis risk of ≥22% was independently predicted by MLD of ≥20 Gy, V20 of ≥35%, and V5 of ≥75%. In multivariate analyses, the lung V5 metric remained a significant predictor of G2+ pneumonitis even when controlling for MLD, despite their close correlation. For G3+ pneumonitis, MLD and V20 were statistically significant predictors. Number of comorbidities was an independent predictor of G3+, but not G2+ pneumonitis. CONCLUSIONS: We present an analysis of pneumonitis risk after definitive RT for lung cancer using a large, prospective dataset. We incorporate comorbidity burden, smoking status, and dosimetric parameters in an integrated risk model. These data may guide clinicians in assessing pneumonitis risk in individual patients

Development of a model web-based system to support a statewide quality consortium in radiation oncology

PURPOSE: A database in which patient data are compiled allows analytic opportunities for continuous improvements in treatment quality and comparative effectiveness research. We describe the development of a novel, web-based system that supports the collection of complex radiation treatment planning information from centers that use diverse techniques, software, and hardware for radiation oncology care in a statewide quality collaborative, the Michigan Radiation Oncology Quality Consortium (MROQC). METHODS AND MATERIALS: The MROQC database seeks to enable assessment of physician- and patient-reported outcomes and quality improvement as a function of treatment planning and delivery techniques for breast and lung cancer patients. We created tools to collect anonymized data based on all plans. RESULTS: The MROQC system representing 24 institutions has been successfully deployed in the state of Michigan. Since 2012, dose-volume histogram and Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine-radiation therapy plan data and information on simulation, planning, and delivery techniques have been collected. Audits indicated \u3e90% accurate data submission and spurred refinements to data collection methodology. CONCLUSIONS: This model web-based system captures detailed, high-quality radiation therapy dosimetry data along with patient- and physician-reported outcomes and clinical data for a radiation therapy collaborative quality initiative. The collaborative nature of the project has been integral to its success. Our methodology can be applied to setting up analogous consortiums and databases