Musculoskeletal ultrasound including definitions for ultrasonographic pathology

Ultrasound (US) has great potential as an outcome in rheumatoid arthritis trials for detecting bone erosions, synovitis, tendon disease, and enthesopathy. It has a number of distinct advantages over magnetic resonance imaging, including good patient tolerability and ability to scan multiple joints in a short period of time. However, there are scarce data regarding its validity, reproducibility, and responsiveness to change, making interpretation and comparison of studies difficult. In particular, there are limited data describing standardized scanning methodology and standardized definitions of US pathologies. This article presents the first report from the OMERACT ultrasound special interest group, which has compared US against the criteria of the OMERACT filter. Also proposed for the first time are consensus US definitions for common pathological lesions seen in patients with inflammatory arthritis

Guest authorship, mortality reporting, and integrity in rofecoxib studies (letter)

The study by Drs Psaty and Kronmal and the accompanying Editorial by Drs DeAngelis and Fontanarosa regarding rofecoxib illustrate the recurring problem of discretionary or data-driven analysis. Given the possibility of selective analysis based on observed data and the risk of positive results due to chance alone, it is critical to know in detail which analyses were prespecified and when the prespecification occurred. This can only be done via a full protocol repository. With no protocol or a timeline documentation of its provenance, these details are never made public so that it is not possible to see how published analyses compare with protocol-specified analyses. This transparency is needed to be confident in the validity of the results

LDL-cholesterol differences predicted survival benefit in statin trials by the surrogate threshold effect (STE)

Objective: We describe a new statistical method called the surrogate threshold effect (STE) that estimates the threshold level of a surrogate needed in a clinical trial to predict a benefit in the target clinical outcome. In this article, we apply this method to the LDL-cholesterol biomarker surrogate and survival benefit-target outcome in statin trials. Study Design and Setting: We identified randomized trials comparing statin treatment to placebo treatment or no treatment and reporting all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. Trials with fewer than five all-cause deaths in at least one arm were excluded. Multiple regression modeled the reduction in all-cause and cardiovascular mortality as a function of LDL-cholesterol difference. The 95% confidence and 95% prediction bands were calculated and graphed to determine the minimum LDL-cholesterol difference (the surrogate threshold) below which there would be no predicted survival benefit. Results: In 16 qualifying trials, regression analysis yielded an all-cause mortality model whose prediction bands demonstrated no overall survival gain with LDL-cholesterol difference values below 1.5 mmol/L. The cardiovascular mortality model yielded prediction bands that demonstrated no cardiovascular survival benefit with LDL-cholesterol difference values below 1.4 mmol/L. Conclusions: In a multitrial setting, the STE approach is a promising yet straightforward statistical method for evaluating the surrogate validity of biomarkers

Musculoskeletal ultrasound including definitions for ultrasonographic pathology

Ultrasound (US) has great potential as an outcome in rheumatoid arthritis trials for detecting bone erosions, synovitis, tendon disease, and enthesopathy. It has a number of distinct advantages over magnetic resonance imaging, including good patient tolerability and ability to scan multiple joints in a short period of time. However, there are scarce data regarding its validity, reproducibility, and responsiveness to change, making interpretation and comparison of studies difficult. In particular, there are limited data describing standardized scanning methodology and standardized definitions of US pathologies. This article presents the first report from the OMERACT ultrasound special interest group, which has compared US against the criteria of the OMERACT filter. Also proposed for the first time are consensus US definitions for common pathological lesions seen in patients with inflammatory arthritis