Changes in Expression of Genes Representing Key Biologic Processes after Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy in Breast Cancer, and Prognostic Implications in Residual Disease.

Purpose The primary aim was to derive evidence for or against the clinical importance of several biologic processes in patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) by assessing expression of selected genes with prior implications in prognosis or treatment resistance. The secondary aim was to determine the prognostic impact in residual disease of the genes' expression.Experimental design Expression levels of 24 genes were quantified by NanoString nCounter on formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded residual tumors from 126 patients treated with NAC and 56 paired presurgical biopsies. The paired t test was used for testing changes in gene expression, and Cox regression and penalized elastic-net Cox Regression for estimating HRs.Results After NAC, 12 genes were significantly up- and 8 downregulated. Fourteen genes were significantly associated with time to recurrence in univariable analysis in residual disease. In a multivariable model, ACACB, CD3D, MKI67, and TOP2A added prognostic value independent of clinical ER(-), PgR(-), and HER2(-) status. In ER(+)/HER2(-) patients, ACACB, PAWR, and ERBB2 predicted outcome, whereas CD3D and PAWR were prognostic in ER(-)/HER2(-) patients. By use of elastic-net analysis, a 6-gene signature (ACACB, CD3D, DECORIN, ESR1, MKI67, PLAU) was identified adding prognostic value independent of ER, PgR, and HER2.Conclusions Most of the tested genes were significantly enriched or depleted in response to NAC. Expression levels of genes representing proliferation, stromal activation, metabolism, apoptosis, stemcellness, immunologic response, and Ras-ERK activation predicted outcome in residual disease. The multivariable gene models identified could, if validated, be used to identify patients needing additional post-neoadjuvant treatment to improve prognosis. Clin Cancer Res; 22(10); 2405-16. ©2016 AACR

Novel 18-gene signature for predicting relapse in ER-positive, HER2-negative breast cancer.

This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were madeBACKGROUND: Several prognostic signatures for early oestrogen receptor-positive (ER+) breast cancer have been established with a 10-year follow-up. We tested the hypothesis that signatures optimised for 0-5-year and 5-10-year follow-up separately are more prognostic than a single signature optimised for 10 years. METHODS: Genes previously identified as prognostic or associated with endocrine resistance were tested in publicly available microarray data set using Cox regression of 747 ER+/HER2- samples from post-menopausal patients treated with 5 years of endocrine therapy. RNA expression of the selected genes was assayed in primary ER+/HER2- tumours from 948 post-menopausal patients treated with 5 years of anastrozole or tamoxifen in the TransATAC cohort. Prognostic signatures for 0-10, 0-5 and 5-10 years were derived using a penalised Cox regression (elastic net). Signature comparison was performed with likelihood ratio statistics. Validation was done by a case-control (POLAR) study in 422 samples derived from a cohort of 1449. RESULTS: Ninety-three genes were selected by the modelling of microarray data; 63 of these were significantly prognostic in TransATAC, most similarly across each time period. Contrary to our hypothesis, the derived early and late signatures were not significantly more prognostic than the 18-gene 10-year signature. The 18-gene 10-year signature was internally validated in the TransATAC validation set, showing prognostic information similar to that of Oncotype DX Recurrence Score, PAM50 risk of recurrence score, Breast Cancer Index and IHC4 (score based on four IHC markers), as well as in the external POLAR case-control set. CONCLUSIONS: The derived 10-year signature predicts risk of metastasis in patients with ER+/HER2- breast cancer similar to commercial signatures. The hypothesis that early and late prognostic signatures are significantly more informative than a single signature was rejected.This work was supported by Breast Cancer Now working in partnership with Walk the Walk, as well as by the National Institute for Health Research Royal Marsden/ICR Biomedical Research Centre. ARB was funded by Cancer Research UK (grant number C569/A16891). The study was supported by funds from Skåne County Council’s Research and Development Foundation, Governmental Funding of Clinical Research within the National Health Service (grant number ALFSKANE-350191 [to MK]), the Swedish Breast Cancer Association (BRO), the Mrs Berta Kamprad Foundation and The Inger Persson Research Foundation. IS and JC were supported by Cancer Research UK (programme grant C569/A10404)

The Prognostic and Treatment Predictive Value of Proliferation and TIMP-1 in Breast Cancer

Breast cancer is the most common tumour form and the second leading cause of death in solid tumours in women in the Western world. Despite improvements in the treatment, a considerable number of patients will relapse and die from their breast cancer. At the same time, a substantial number of patients will be over-treated, as they would have been cured by surgery and radiotherapy alone. In the metastatic setting, only 50% of patients will respond to chemotherapy, but there are no established factors predictive of response to chemotherapy. Therefore there is a need for identification of new prognostic and treatment predictive factors. In paper I, the chemotherapy predictive value of Tissue Inhibitor of Metalloproteinases-1 (TIMP-1) was assessed in 162 metastatic breast cancer patients. It was found that increasing tumour levels of TIMP-1, reaching borderline significance, were associated with a decreasing probability of response to CMF or anthracycline-containing chemotherapy. Proliferation, either in the form of single factors or as the main common denominator in different genetic profiles, has been shown to be of independent prognostic value in addition to the already established prognostic factors. In papers II, and IV the proliferation factors Ki67, Mitotic Activity Index (MAI), Phosphohistone H3 (PPH3), cyclin B1, and cyclin A were found to add prognostic value in a retrospective cohort of 237 node-negative premenopausal breast cancer patients, specifically in estrogen receptor (ER) positive patients, and in patients with histological grade 2. Also, in paper IV, when combining two proliferation factors, when either one or two factors were high, the prognostic value was strengthened. Paper III is a prospective Swedish multicenter validation study assessing the prognostic value of an index composed of the proliferation factor S-phase fraction (SPF), progesterone receptor status (PgR), and tumour size. 576 T1-2N0 breast cancer patients were included. High-risk was defined as ≥2 of the following: 1. tumour size >20mm, 2. PgR-negativity (in the absence of PgR-status, ER-negativity), and 3. high SPF (in the absence of SPF; Bloom-Richardson histological grade 3). High-risk patients had an almost five-fold risk of dying of breast cancer the first 5 years, and an increased risk of breast cancer death even after 15 years. Interestingly, an additional low-risk group was identified, 37% of the patients with no risk factors, who had an excellent 15-year survival rate. The index could therefore be helpful in decisions on risk and choice of adjuvant medical treatment

Physical Activity and Long-Term Risk of Breast Cancer, Associations with Time in Life and Body Composition in the Prospective Malmö Diet and Cancer Study

Being physically active as part of everyday life reduces breast cancer risk. Less is known whether the benefits of an active lifestyle differ depending on the timing of physical activity in life or anthropometric characteristics. The aim of this study was to bring further insights to the association of physical activity in relation to menopausal status and body composition with breast cancer risk by making use of a prospective Swedish cohort (Malmö Diet and Cancer Study) with long-term follow-up. Physical activity information of 15,983 participants for the past 12 months prior to study entry was assessed according to metabolic equivalent task (MET)-hours/week to integrate duration and intensity of reported activities. During 23.2 years median follow-up, 1302 invasive breast cancers occurred. Women reporting a high physical activity at study baseline, corresponding to >1 h daily walking/week (≥28.5 MET-h/week), had a 23% lower long-term breast cancer risk (HRadj = 0.77, 95% CI 0.66–0.90) than those reporting low physical activity, being most pronounced among perimenopausal and postmenopausal women, and women with waist circumference, body fat percentage, or BMI in the upper-normal and overweight range. For premenopausal women or women having obesity or the largest body composition, high physical activity alone did not modify the breast cancer risk, suggesting additional preventive measures indicated in these groups to reduce the long-term risk of breast cancer

Androgen Receptor in Stage I-II Primary Breast Cancer -Prognostic Value and Distribution in Subgroups

BACKGROUND/AIM: The value of androgen receptor (AR) in breast cancer has gained renewed interest as a prognostic and treatment predictive biomarker. The aims of this work were to study the associations and the prognostic value of AR in patients from two clinical cohorts.MATERIALS AND METHODS: Cohort 1 included 208 premenopausal, node-negative patients of whom 87% had received no adjuvant medical treatment; cohort 2 consisted of 263 patients with stage II disease who had all received 2 years of adjuvant tamoxifen. A semi-quantitative assessment of nuclear AR expression divided into five groups (0-1%, 2-10%, 11-50%, 51-75%, and 76-100%) was performed. Survival analyses, stratified by cohort, were performed using both a trend-test and a cut-off of >10% for positivity.RESULTS: A total of 76% of all patients were AR+, and 89%, 48%, and 23% of the estrogen receptor-positive, negative, and triple-negative, respectively. In Cox regression, stratified by cohort, AR divided into five groups was a prognostic factor for 5-year distant disease-free survival with a hazard ratio of 0.86 per step in fraction score (p=0.018). With a predefined cut-off at 10%, moderate evidence of an effect remained (Hazard Ratio=0.67, p=0.077). In multivariable analysis, AR did not retain an independent prognostic value.CONCLUSION: AR is a weak, however, not independent prognostic factor for distant metastasis. Although the prognostic value of AR may be questionable, the study identified a subset of AR-positive triple-negative patients as being potential candidates for AR-directed therapy for which further studies are warranted

The prognostic value of Ki67 is dependent on estrogen receptor status and histological grade in premenopausal patients with node-negative breast cancer.

The aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic value of Ki67 in relation to established prognostic factors in lymph node-negative breast cancer, and furthermore, whether the prognostic impact was dependent on estrogen receptor (ER) status and histological grade. In 200 premenopausal patients, with 5 years of follow-up, Ki67 was determined on tissue microarrays. In univariate analysis, Ki67 (20%) was a prognostic factor for distant disease-free survival (hazard ratio: 2.7, 95% confidence interval: 1.3-5.4, P=0.005) and overall survival (hazard ratio: 4.9, 95% confidence interval: 1.7-14, P=0.003). When stratifying for ER status and histological grade, Ki67 was a significant prognostic factor for distant disease-free survival and overall survival only in the ER-positive group, and only in patients with histological grade 2, respectively. In multivariate analysis, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 and age were independent prognostic factors for distant disease-free survival, whereas Ki67, histological grade, and tumor size were not. Ki67 was, however, an independent prognostic factor in the 87% of the patients who had not received adjuvant medical treatment. Agreement between the three readers was very good (kappa-values: 0.83-0.88). Furthermore, Ki67 was a significant prognostic factor for all three investigators (hazard ratio: 2.7-3.2). This study shows that Ki67 is a prognostic factor in node-negative breast cancer. It is noteworthy that the prognostic information of Ki67 is restricted to ER-positive patients, and to patients with histological grade 2. Taken together, Ki67, as an easily assessed and reproducible proliferation factor, may be an alternative or complement to histological grade as a prognostic tool and for selection of adjuvant treatment.Modern Pathology advance online publication, 20 November 2009; doi:10.1038/modpathol.2009.167