Seguridad climática en centroamérica

Este informe ofrece una investigación en profundidad sobre los riesgos de seguridad climática en la región centroamericana. Examina las interrelaciones entre cambio climático, seguridad humana y conflictos, analizando cómo los impactos del cambio climático pueden exacerbar los riesgos de seguridad para los individuos, las comunidades y los Estados. En primer lugar, el informe ofrece una visión detallada del contexto climático en la región centroamericana, examinando tanto las tendencias climáticas actuales como las proyecciones, resaltando el alto grado de exposición y vulnerabilidad climática de la región. También examina las dinámicas de fragilidad, conflicto y violencia, pasadas y presentes, para exponer su impacto perjudicial sobre los Estados y las comunidades, así como para comprender sus causas raíz subyacentes. Asimismo, destaca factores socioeconómicos como la pobreza, la inseguridad alimentaria y la desigualdad, los cuales desempeñan un papel en la exacerbación de los riesgos de seguridad humana y conflicto en la región. A través de un amplio proceso de investigación en el que se examinó literatura académica y literatura gris, y teniendo en cuenta los contextos socioeconómicos y políticos, este informe descubre tres rutas causales de la seguridad climática, a través de las cuales surgen las interconexiones entre cambio climático, seguridad humana y conflictos

Climate security in Central America

This report provides an in-depth investigation into climate security risks in the Central American region. It examines the interlinkages between climate change, human security and conflict, looking at how the impacts of climate change can exacerbate security risks for individuals, communities and states. The report first provides a detailed overview of the climate context in the Central American region examining both current climate trends and future projections, underlying the high degree of climate exposure and vulnerability in the region. It also examines past and current fragility, conflict and violence dynamics to outline their detrimental impact on states and communities as well as understand their underlying drivers It also highlights the socioeconomic factors such as poverty, food insecurity and inequality that play a role in exacerbating human security and conflict risks in the region. Through an extensive research process of examining academic and grey literature, taking into account the socioeconomic and political contexts, this report uncovers three climate security pathways through which the interconnections between climate change, human security and conflict can arise

Are climate- and peace and security-related policies coherent? A policy coherence analysis for climate security

The impacts of climate change and variability will likely be experienced in different and uneven ways depending on the different extents to which societies – and the communities within them – are exposed, vulnerable, or possess the adaptive capacity to mitigate said impacts. Certain countries, such as those located near the equator or the poles, are exposed to a rapidly changing climate to a greater degree than other countries. Furthermore, countries whose economies are highly dependent on climate-sensitive resources and sectors and that face challenges in diversifying their economic base are inherently more vulnerable to climate-induced perturbations (Feitelson & Tubi, 2017). These forms of exposure can be compounded by persistent or periodically high levels of fragility – defined by the World Bank (2011) as periods when states or institutions lack the capacity, accountability, or legitimacy to mediate relations between citizen groups and between citizens and the state – which can in turn undermine the extent to which societies as a whole and certain groups within them possess the adaptive capacity to manage, absorb or mitigate climate risks. Communities that are highly dependent on climate-vulnerable livelihoods and sectors, face socio-economic and political marginalisation (therefore possessing little scope or capacity for diversification), or that are located in unstable and conflict-prone environments are far more likely to experience tangibly destabilising climatic impacts than others. As a consequence of the uneven landscape upon which climate impacts play out, climate change is therefore likely to set in motion or accelerate any number of different existing processes of change simultaneously - yet in qualitatively different ways.  

How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Mali? An impact pathway analysis

This factsheet gives answers on how climate exacerbates root causes of conflict in Mali, using an impact pathway analysis. Three main impact pathways are identified: 1) Resource availability and livelihood insecurity ; 2) Farmer-herder conflict; 3)Mobility and resource competition in the South. This publication is part of a factsheet series reporting on the findings of the CGIAR FOCUS Climate Security Observatory work in Africa (Kenya, Mali, Nigeria, Senegal, Sudan, Uganda, Zimbabwe). The research is centered around 5 questions: 1. How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict? 2. Where are hotspots of climate insecurities ? 3.What is the underlying structure of the climate, conflict, and socio-economic system? 4. Are climate and security policies coherent and integrated? 5. Are policy makers aware of the climate security nexus

Environmental fragility in the Sahel

A companion to the OECD States of Fragility 2022 report, this paper analyses the drivers and effects of climate and environmental risks in the Sahel,focusing on increasing food insecurity, rapid urbanisation and intensified mining. It outlines options for improved policy responses by providers of development co-operation

How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Uganda? An impact pathway analysis

This factsheet gives answers on how climate exacerbates root causes of conflict in Uganda, using an impact pathway analysis. Two main impact pathways are identified: 1) Resource availability and access in Kasese; 2) Livelihood and food insecurity in Karamoja . This publication is part of a factsheet series reporting on the findings of the CGIAR FOCUS Climate Security Observatory work in Africa (Kenya, Mali, Nigeria, Senegal, Sudan, Uganda, Zimbabwe). The research is centered around 5 questions: 1. How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict? 2. Where are hotspots of climate insecurities ? 3.What is the underlying structure of the climate, conflict, and socio-economic system? 4. Are climate and security policies coherent and integrated? 5. Are policy makers aware of the climate security nexus

How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Mali? An impact pathway analysis

This factsheet gives answers on how climate exacerbates root causes of conflict in Mali, using an impact pathway analysis. Three main impact pathways are identified: 1) Resource availability and livelihood insecurity ; 2) Farmer-herder conflict in the Inner Niger Delta; 3)Mobility and resource competition in the South. This publication is part of a factsheet series reporting on the findings of the CGIAR FOCUS Climate Security Observatory work in Africa (Kenya, Mali, Nigeria, Senegal, Sudan, Uganda, Zimbabwe). The research is centered around 5 questions: 1. How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict? 2. Where are hotspots of climate insecurities ? 3.What is the underlying structure of the climate, conflict, and socio-economic system? 4. Are climate and security policies coherent and integrated? 5. Are policy makers aware of the climate security nexus

How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Sudan? An impact pathway analysis

This factsheet gives answers on how climate exacerbates root causes of conflict in Sudan, using an impact pathway analysis. Two main impact pathways are identified: 1) Resource availability and access pathway ; 2) Weak state capacity, resource governance and maladaptation pathways. This publication is part of a factsheet series reporting on the findings of the CGIAR FOCUS Climate Security Observatory work in Africa (Kenya, Mali, Nigeria, Senegal, Sudan, Uganda, Zimbabwe). The research is centered around 5 questions: 1. How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict? 2. Where are hotspots of climate insecurities ? 3.What is the underlying structure of the climate, conflict, and socio-economic system? 4. Are climate and security policies coherent and integrated? 5. Are policy makers aware of the climate security nexus

How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Zimbabwe? An impact pathway analysis

This factsheet gives answers on how climate exacerbates root causes of conflict in Zimbabwe, using an impact pathway analysis. Two main impact pathways are identified: 1) Food insecurity and competition over access and use of natural resources; 2) Water scarcity and conflict in Bulawayo and Matabeleland North. This publication is part of a factsheet series reporting on the findings of the CGIAR FOCUS Climate Security Observatory work in Africa (Kenya, Mali, Nigeria, Senegal, Sudan, Uganda, Zimbabwe). The research is centered around 5 questions: 1. How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict? 2. Where are hotspots of climate insecurities ? 3.What is the underlying structure of the climate, conflict, and socio-economic system? 4. Are climate and security policies coherent and integrated? 5. Are policy makers aware of the climate security nexus

How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict in Senegal? An impact pathway analysis

This factsheet gives answers on how climate exacerbates root causes of conflict in Senegal, using an impact pathway analysis. Two main impact pathways are identified: 1) Livelihood and food insecurity in Matam and Tambacounda; 2) Fish scarcity, livelihood insecurity and recruitment by NSAGs. This publication is part of a factsheet series reporting on the findings of the CGIAR FOCUS Climate Security Observatory work in Africa (Kenya, Mali, Nigeria, Senegal, Sudan, Uganda, Zimbabwe). The research is centered around 5 questions: 1. How does climate exacerbate root causes of conflict? 2. Where are hotspots of climate insecurities ? 3.What is the underlying structure of the climate, conflict, and socio-economic system? 4. Are climate and security policies coherent and integrated? 5. Are policy makers aware of the climate security nexus