How to Calculate the Risk of Shortage and Surplus of Pediatric Workforce?

In the first part of our series of articles debating the required pediatric workforce in different European child healthcare systems, the European Paediatric Association (EPA) presented the equations for calculating the need of annual number of newly certified pediatricians in the different European national contexts, and for keeping their national pediatric workforce stable. This article provides further equations for calculating dynamically the risk of shortage and surplus in numbers of pediatricians, and its impact on child healthcare services. We also debate how to develop and to provide sustainable pediatric services for European children by training a nationally tailored pediatric workforce, competent to undertake the child healthcare able to meet the expectations of the families of healthy, sick, or children with disabilities