Correlated fractal percolation and the Palis conjecture

Let F1 and F2 be independent copies of correlated fractal percolation, with Hausdorff dimensions dimH(F1) and dimH(F2). Consider the following question: does dimH(F1)+dimH(F2)>1 imply that their algebraic difference F1-F2 will contain an interval? The well known Palis conjecture states that `generically' this should be true. Recent work by Kuijvenhoven and the first author (arXiv:0811.0525) on random Cantor sets can not answer this question as their condition on the joint survival distributions of the generating process is not satisfied by correlated fractal percolation. We develop a new condition which permits us to solve the problem, and we prove that the condition of (arXiv:0811.0525) implies our condition. Independently of this we give a solution to the critical case, yielding that a strong version of the Palis conjecture holds for fractal percolation and correlated fractal percolation: the algebraic difference contains an interval almost surely if and only if the sum of the Hausdorff dimensions of the random Cantor sets exceeds one.Comment: 22 page

Power-law distributions and Levy-stable intermittent fluctuations in stochastic systems of many autocatalytic elements

A generic model of stochastic autocatalytic dynamics with many degrees of freedom $w_i$ $i=1,...,N$ is studied using computer simulations. The time evolution of the $w_i$'s combines a random multiplicative dynamics $w_i(t+1) = \lambda w_i(t)$ at the individual level with a global coupling through a constraint which does not allow the $w_i$'s to fall below a lower cutoff given by $c \cdot \bar w$, where $\bar w$ is their momentary average and $0<c<1$ is a constant. The dynamic variables $w_i$ are found to exhibit a power-law distribution of the form $p(w) \sim w^{-1-\alpha}$. The exponent $\alpha (c,N)$ is quite insensitive to the distribution $\Pi(\lambda)$ of the random factor $\lambda$, but it is non-universal, and increases monotonically as a function of $c$. The "thermodynamic" limit, N goes to infty and the limit of decoupled free multiplicative random walks c goes to 0, do not commute: $\alpha(0,N) = 0$ for any finite $N$ while $\alpha(c,\infty) \ge 1$ (which is the common range in empirical systems) for any positive $c$. The time evolution of ${\bar w (t)}$ exhibits intermittent fluctuations parametrized by a (truncated) L\'evy-stable distribution $L_{\alpha}(r)$ with the same index $\alpha$. This non-trivial relation between the distribution of the $w_i$'s at a given time and the temporal fluctuations of their average is examined and its relevance to empirical systems is discussed.Comment: 7 pages, 4 figure

Multifractal stationary random measures and multifractal random walks with log-infinitely divisible scaling laws

We define a large class of continuous time multifractal random measures and processes with arbitrary log-infinitely divisible exact or asymptotic scaling law. These processes generalize within a unified framework both the recently defined log-normal Multifractal Random Walk (MRW) [Bacry-Delour-Muzy] and the log-Poisson "product of cynlindrical pulses" [Barral-Mandelbrot]. Our construction is based on some ``continuous stochastic multiplication'' from coarse to fine scales that can be seen as a continuous interpolation of discrete multiplicative cascades. We prove the stochastic convergence of the defined processes and study their main statistical properties. The question of genericity (universality) of limit multifractal processes is addressed within this new framework. We finally provide some methods for numerical simulations and discuss some specific examples.Comment: 24 pages, 4 figure

Convergent Calculation of the Asymptotic Dimension of Diffusion Limited Aggregates: Scaling and Renormalization of Small Clusters

Diffusion Limited Aggregation (DLA) is a model of fractal growth that had attained a paradigmatic status due to its simplicity and its underlying role for a variety of pattern forming processes. We present a convergent calculation of the fractal dimension D of DLA based on a renormalization scheme for the first Laurent coefficient of the conformal map from the unit circle to the expanding boundary of the fractal cluster. The theory is applicable from very small (2-3 particles) to asymptotically large (n \to \infty) clusters. The computed dimension is D=1.713\pm 0.003

Multifractal Analysis on the Return Series of Stock Markets Using MF-DFA Method

Part 3: Finance and Service ScienceInternational audienceAnalyzing the daily returns of NASDAQ Composite Index by using MF-DFA method has led to findings that the return series does not fit the normal distribution and its leptokurtic indicates that a single-scale index is insufficient to describe the stock price fluctuation. Furthermore, it is found that the long-term memory characteristics are a main source of multifractality in time series. Based on the main reason causing multifractality, a contrast of the original return series and the reordered return series is made to demonstrate the stock price index fluctuation, suggesting that the both return series have multifractality. In addition, the empirical results verify the validity of the measures which illustrates that the stock market fails to reach the weak form efficiency

An integrated approach to the assessment of long range correlation in time series data

To assess whether a given time series can be modeled by a stochastic process possessing long range correlation one usually applies one of two types of analysis methods: the spectral method and the random walk analysis. The first objective of this work is to show that each one of these methods used alone can be susceptible to producing false results. We thus advocate an integrated approach which requires the use of both methods in a consistent fashion. We provide the theoretical foundation of this approach and illustrate the main ideas using examples. The second objective relates to the observation of long range anticorrelation (Hurst exponent H < 1/2) in real world time series data. The very peculiar nature of such processes is emphasized in light of the stringent condition under which such processes can occur. Using examples we discuss the possible factors that could contribute to the false claim of long range anticorrelations and demonstrate the particular importance of the integrated approach in this case.Comment: 15 pages, 33 figure

Lognormal scale invariant random measures

In this article, we consider the continuous analog of the celebrated Mandelbrot star equation with lognormal weights. Mandelbrot introduced this equation to characterize the law of multiplicative cascades. We show existence and uniqueness of measures satisfying the aforementioned continuous equation; these measures fall under the scope of the Gaussian multiplicative chaos theory developed by J.P. Kahane in 1985 (or possibly extensions of this theory). As a by product, we also obtain an explicit characterization of the covariance structure of these measures. We also prove that qualitative properties such as long-range independence or isotropy can be read off the equation.Comment: 31 pages; Probability Theory and Related Fields (2012) electronic versio

A multifractal random walk

We introduce a class of multifractal processes, referred to as Multifractal Random Walks (MRWs). To our knowledge, it is the first multifractal processes with continuous dilation invariance properties and stationary increments. MRWs are very attractive alternative processes to classical cascade-like multifractal models since they do not involve any particular scale ratio. The MRWs are indexed by few parameters that are shown to control in a very direct way the multifractal spectrum and the correlation structure of the increments. We briefly explain how, in the same way, one can build stationary multifractal processes or positive random measures.Comment: 5 pages, 4 figures, uses RevTe

A Conformal Field Theory for Eternal Inflation

We study a statistical model defined by a conformally invariant distribution of overlapping spheres in arbitrary dimension d. The model arises as the asymptotic distribution of cosmic bubbles in d+1 dimensional de Sitter space, and also as the asymptotic distribution of bubble collisions with the domain wall of a fiducial "observation bubble" in d+2 dimensional de Sitter space. In this note we calculate the 2-,3-, and 4-point correlation functions of exponentials of the "bubble number operator" analytically in d=2. We find that these correlators, when carefully defined, are free of infrared divergences, covariant under the global conformal group, charge conserving, and transform with positive conformal dimensions that are related in a novel way to the charge. Although by themselves these operators probably do not define a full-fledged conformal field theory, one can use the partition function on a sphere to compute an approximate central charge in the 2D case. The theory in any dimension has a noninteracting limit when the nucleation rate of the bubbles in the bulk is very large. The theory in two dimensions is related to some models of continuum percolation, but it is conformal for all values of the tunneling rate.Comment: 30 pages, 8 figure