Empirical ground-motion models for point- and extended-source crustal earthquake scenarios in Europe and the Middle East

This article presents the latest generation of ground-motion models for the prediction of elastic response (pseudo-) spectral accelerations, as well as peak ground acceleration and velocity, derived using pan-European databases. The models present a number of novelties with respect to previous generations of models (Ambraseys et al. in Earthq Eng Struct Dyn 25:371–400, 1996, Bull Earthq Eng 3:1–53, 2005; Bommer et al. in Bull Earthq Eng 1:171–203, 2003; Akkar and Bommer in Seismol Res Lett 81:195–206, 2010), namely: inclusion of a nonlinear site amplification function that is a function of V S30 and reference peak ground acceleration on rock; extension of the magnitude range of applicability of the model down to M w 4; extension of the distance range of applicability out to 200 km; extension to shorter and longer periods (down to 0.01 s and up to 4 s); and consistent models for both point-source (epicentral, R epi, and hypocentral distance, R hyp) and finite-fault (distance to the surface projection of the rupture, R JB) distance metrics. In addition, data from more than 1.5 times as many earthquakes, compared to previous pan-European models, have been used, leading to regressions based on approximately twice as many records in total. The metadata of these records have been carefully compiled and reappraised in recent European projects. These improvements lead to more robust ground-motion prediction equations than have previously been published for shallow (focal depths less than 30 km) crustal earthquakes in Europe and the Middle East. We conclude with suggestions for the application of the equations to seismic hazard assessments in Europe and the Middle East within a logic-tree framework to capture epistemic uncertainty

Developments in Ground Motion Predictive Models and Accelerometric Data Archiving in the Broader European Region

This paper summarizes the evolution of major strong-motion databases and ground-motion prediction equations (GMPEs) for shallow active crustal regions (SACRs) in Europe and surrounding regions. It concludes with some case studies to show the sensitivity of hazard results at different seismicity levels and exceedance rates for local (developed from country-specific databases) and global (based on databases of multiple countries) GMPEs of the same region. The case studies are enriched by considering other global GMPEs of SACRs that are recently developed in the USA. The hazard estimates computed from local and global GMPEs from the broader Europe as well as those obtained from global GMPEs developed in the US differ. These differences are generally significant and their variation depends on the annual exceedance rate and seismicity. Current efforts to improve the accelerometric data archives in the broader Europe as well as more refined GMPEs that will be developed from these databases would help the researchers to understand the above mentioned differences in seismic hazard

Evaluation of Site Response with Alternative Methods: A Case Study for Engineering Implications

In this paper, efficiency of alternative geophysical techniques for site response is evaluated in two sedimentary basins on the North Anatolian Fault Zone. For this purpose, fundamental frequencies of soils and corresponding amplitudes obtained from empirical horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio curves from microtremors, weak motions and strong motions are compared with results from one-dimensional theoretical transfer functions. Theoretical transfer functions are computed using S-wave velocity profiles derived from array observations of the microtremor wavefield. Our results are consistent with studies from other regions in that the fundamental frequencies from microtremors, weak motions and theoretical transfer functions are mostly in agreement with each other although some discrepancies are observed. Even though important information about fundamental resonance frequency can be derived from horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratios, observed amplitudes do not yield consistent results with the theoretical amplification factors. Thus, the use of horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio amplitudes is not recommended for estimation of amplification factors. Based on our observations, complementary use of alternative methods for site response is recommended