Detection and measurement of planetary systems with GAIA

We use detailed numerical simulations and the $\upsilon$ Andromedae, planetary system as a template to evaluate the capability of the ESA Cornerstone Mission GAIA in detecting and measuring multiple planets around solar-type stars in the neighborhood of the Solar System. For the outer two planets of the $\upsilon$ Andromedae, system, GAIA high-precision global astrometric measurements would provide estimates of the full set of orbital elements and masses accurate to better than 1--10%, and would be capable of addressing the coplanarity issue by determining the true geometry of the system with uncertainties of order of a few degrees. Finally, we discuss the generalization to a variety of configurations of potential planetary systems in the solar neighborhood for which GAIA could provide accurate measurements of unique value for the science of extra-solar planets.Comment: 4 pages, 2 pictures, accepted for publication in A&A Letter

Narrow-Angle Astrometry with the Space Interferometry Mission: The Search for Extra-Solar Planets. II. Detection and Characterization of Planetary Systems

(Abridged) The probability of detecting additional companions is essentially unchanged with respect to the single-planet configurations, but after fitting and subtraction of orbits with astrometric signal-to-noise ratio $\alpha/\sigma_d\to 1$ the false detection rates can be enhanced by up to a factor 2; the periodogram approach results in robust multiple-planet detection for systems with periods shorter than the SIM mission length, even at low values of $\alpha/\sigma_d$, while the least squares technique combined with Fourier series expansions is arguably preferable in the long-period regime. The accuracy on multiple-planet orbit reconstruction and mass determination suffers a typical degradation of 30-40% with respect to single-planet solutions; mass and orbital inclination can be measured to better than 10% for periods as short as 0.1 yr, and for $\alpha/\sigma_d$ as low as $\sim 5$, while $\alpha/\sigma_d\simeq 100$ is required in order to measure with similar accuracy systems harboring objects with periods as long as three times the mission duration. For systems with all components producing $\alpha/\sigma_d\simeq 10$ or greater, quasi-coplanarity can be reliably established with uncertainties of a few degrees, for periods in the range $0.1\leq T\leq 15$ yr; in systems where at least one component has $\alpha/\sigma_d\to 1$, coplanarity measurements are compromised, with typical uncertainties on the mutual inclinations of order of $30^\circ-40^\circ$. Our findings are illustrative of the importance of the contribution SIM will make to the fields of formation and evolution of planetary systems.Comment: 61 pages, 14 figures, 5 tables, to appear in the September 2003 Issue of the Publications of the Astronomical Society of the Pacifi

Testing Planet Formation Models with Gaia μ\muas Astrometry

In this paper, we first summarize the results of a large-scale double-blind tests campaign carried out for the realistic estimation of the Gaia potential in detecting and measuring planetary systems. Then, we put the identified capabilities in context by highlighting the unique contribution that the Gaia exoplanet discoveries will be able to bring to the science of extrasolar planets during the next decade.Comment: 4 pages, 1 figure. To appear in the proceedings of "IAU Symposium 248 - A Giant Step: from Milli- to Micro-arcsecond Astrometry", held in Shanghai, China, 15-19 Oct. 200

Cosmic Gravitational Shear from the HST Medium Deep Survey

We present a measurement of cosmic shear on scales ranging from 10\arcsec to 2\arcmin in 347 WFPC2 images of random fields. Our result is based on shapes measured via image fitting and on a simple statistical technique; careful calibration of each step allows us to quantify our systematic uncertainties and to measure the cosmic shear down to very small angular scales. The WFPC2 images provide a robust measurement of the cosmic shear signal decreasing from $5.2$ at 10\arcsec to $2.2$ at 130\arcsec .Comment: 4 pages 2 Postscript figures, uses emulateapj.cls Astrophysical Journal Letters, December 1, 200

A 2.4% DETERMINATION of the LOCAL VALUE of the HUBBLE CONSTANT

We use the Wide Field Camera 3 (WFC3) on the Hubble Space Telescope (HST) to reduce the uncertainty in the local value of the Hubble constant from 3.3% to 2.4%. The bulk of this improvement comes from new near-infrared (NIR) observations of Cepheid variables in 11 host galaxies of recent type Ia supernovae (SNe Ia), more than doubling the sample of reliable SNe Ia having a Cepheid-calibrated distance to a total of 19; these in turn leverage the magnitude-redshift relation based on 300 SNe Ia at z < 0.15. All 19 hosts as well as the megamaser system NGC 4258 have been observed with WFC3 in the optical and NIR, thus nullifying cross-instrument zeropoint errors in the relative distance estimates from Cepheids. Other noteworthy improvements include a 33% reduction in the systematic uncertainty in the maser distance to NGC 4258, a larger sample of Cepheids in the Large Magellanic Cloud (LMC), a more robust distance to the LMC based on late-type detached eclipsing binaries (DEBs), HST observations of Cepheids in M31, and new HST-based trigonometric parallaxes for Milky Way (MW) Cepheids. We consider four geometric distance calibrations of Cepheids: (i) megamasers in NGC 4258, (ii) 8 DEBs in the LMC, (iii) 15 MW Cepheids with parallaxes measured with HST/FGS, HST/WFC3 spatial scanning and/or Hipparcos, and (iv) 2 DEBs in M31. The Hubble constant from each is 72.25, 2.51, 72.04,2.67, 76.18,2.37, and 74.50,3.27 km s-1 Mpc-1, respectively. Our best estimate of H 0 = 73.24, 1.74 km s-1 Mpc-1 combines the anchors NGC 4258, MW, and LMC, yielding a 2.4% determination (all quoted uncertainties include fully propagated statistical and systematic components). This value is 3.4σ higher than 66.93, 0.62 km s-1 Mpc-1 predicted by ΛCDM with 3 neutrino flavors having a mass of 0.06 eV and the new Planck data, but the discrepancy reduces to 2.1σ relative to the prediction of 69.3, 0.7 km s-1 Mpc-1 based on the comparably precise combination of WMAP+ACT+SPT+BAO observations, suggesting that systematic uncertainties in CMB radiation measurements may play a role in the tension. If we take the conflict between Planck high-redshift measurements and our local determination of H 0 at face value, one plausible explanation could involve an additional source of dark radiation in the early universe in the range of ΔN eff ≈ 0.4-1. We anticipate further significant improvements in H 0 from upcoming parallax measurements of long-period MW Cepheid