Automatic Fastening Large Structures: a New Approach

The external tank (ET) intertank structure for the space shuttle, a 27.5 ft diameter 22.5 ft long externally stiffened mechanically fastened skin-stringer-frame structure, was a labor intensitive manual structure built on a modified Saturn tooling position. A new approach was developed based on half-section subassemblies. The heart of this manufacturing approach will be 33 ft high vertical automatic riveting system with a 28 ft rotary positioner coming on-line in mid 1985. The Automatic Riveting System incorporates many of the latest automatic riveting technologies. Key features include: vertical columns with two sets of independently operating CNC drill-riveting heads; capability of drill, insert and upset any one piece fastener up to 3/8 inch diameter including slugs without displacing the workpiece offset bucking ram with programmable rotation and deep retraction; vision system for automatic parts program re-synchronization and part edge margin control; and an automatic rivet selection/handling system

Analysis of Complex Survey Samples

I present software for analysing complex survey samples in R. The sampling scheme can be explicitly described or represented by replication weights. Variance estimation uses either replication or linearisation.

Spectra of turbulence in dilute polymer solutions

We investigate turbulence in dilute polymer solutions when polymers are strongly stretched by the flow. We establish power-law spectrum of velocity, which is not associated with a flux of a conserved quantity, in two cases. The first case is the elastic waves range of high Reynolds number turbulence of polymer solutions above the coil-stretch transition. The second case is the elastic turbulence, where chaotic flow is excited due to elastic instabilities at small Reynolds numbers.Comment: 14 pages, RevTe

Stochastic Structural Stability Theory applied to roll/streak formation in boundary layer shear flow

Stochastic Structural Stability Theory (SSST) provides an autonomous, deterministic, nonlinear dynamical system for evolving the statistical mean state of a turbulent system. In this work SSST is applied to the problem of understanding the formation of the roll/streak structures that arise from free-stream turbulence (FST) and are associated with bypass transition in boundary layers. Roll structures in the cross-stream/spanwise plane and associated streamwise streaks are shown to arise as a linear instability of interaction between the FST and the mean flow. In this interaction incoherent Reynolds stresses arising from FST are organized by perturbation streamwise streaks to coherently force perturbation rolls giving rise to an amplification of the streamwise streak perturbation and through this feedback to an instability of the combined roll/streak/turbulence complex. The dominant turbulent perturbation structures involved in supporting the roll/streak/turbulence complex instability are non-normal optimal perturbations with the form of oblique waves. The cooperative linear instability giving rise to the roll/streak structure arises at a bifurcation in the parameter of STM excitation parameter. This structural instability eventually equilibrates nonlinearly at finite amplitude and although the resulting statistical equilibrium streamwise streaks are inflectional the associated flows are stable. Formation and equilibration of the roll/streak structure by this mechanism can be traced to the non-normality which underlies interaction between perturbations and mean flows in modally stable systems.Comment: 16 pages, 24 figures, has been submitted for publication to Physics of Fluid

Model-robust regression and a Bayesian ``sandwich'' estimator

We present a new Bayesian approach to model-robust linear regression that leads to uncertainty estimates with the same robustness properties as the Huber--White sandwich estimator. The sandwich estimator is known to provide asymptotically correct frequentist inference, even when standard modeling assumptions such as linearity and homoscedasticity in the data-generating mechanism are violated. Our derivation provides a compelling Bayesian justification for using this simple and popular tool, and it also clarifies what is being estimated when the data-generating mechanism is not linear. We demonstrate the applicability of our approach using a simulation study and health care cost data from an evaluation of the Washington State Basic Health Plan.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/10-AOAS362 the Annals of Applied Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aoas/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org