Age‐Related Trends in the Predictive Value of Carotid Intima‐Media Thickness for Cardiovascular Death: A Prospective Population‐Based Cohort Study

Background The age‐related trends in the predictive ability of carotid intima‐media thickness (CIMT) for cardiovascular risk remain unclear. We aimed to identify the age‐related trends in the predictive value of CIMT for cardiovascular death. Methods and Results In a prospective cohort of adults aged 35 to 75 years without history of cardiovascular disease who were enrolled between 2014 and 2020, we measured CIMT at baseline and collected the vital status and cause of death. We divided the study population into 4 age groups (35–44, 45–54, 55–64, and 65–75 years). Competing risk models were fitted to estimate the associations between CIMT and cardiovascular death. The added values of CIMT in prediction were assessed by the differences of the Harrell's concordance index and the net reclassification improvement index. We included 369 478 adults and followed them for a median of 4.7 years. A total of 4723 (1.28%) cardiovascular deaths occurred. After adjusting for the traditional risk factors, the hazard ratios for CIMTmean per SD decreased with age, from 1.27 (95% CI, 1.17–1.37) in the 35 to 44 years age group to 1.14 (95% CI, 1.10–1.19) in the 65 to 75 years age group (P for interaction <0.01). Meanwhile, the net reclassification improvement indexes for CIMTmean were attenuated with age, from 22.60% (95% CI, 15.56%–29.64%) in the 35 to 44 years age group to 7.00% (95% CI, −6.82% to 20.83%) in the 65 to 75 years age group. Similar results were found for maximum CIMT in all age groups. Conclusions CIMT may improve cardiovascular risk prediction in the young and middle‐aged populations, rather than those aged ≥55 years

Individual Trajectories of Health Status During the First Year of Discharge From Hospitalization for Heart Failure and Their Associations With Death in the Following Years

Background Improving health status is one of the major goals in the management of heart failure (HF). However, little is known about the long‐term individual trajectories of health status in patients with acute HF after discharge. Methods and Results We enrolled 2328 patients hospitalized for HF from 51 hospitals prospectively and measured their health status via the Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire–12 at admission and 1, 6, and 12 months after discharge, respectively. The median age of the patients included was 66 years, and 63.3% were men. Six patterns of Kansas City Cardiomyopathy Questionnaire–12 trajectories were identified by a latent class trajectory model: persistently good (34.0%), rapidly improving (35.5%), slowly improving (10.4%), moderately regressing (7.4%), severely regressing (7.5%), and persistently poor (5.3%). Advanced age, decompensated chronic HF, HF with mildly reduced ejection fraction, HF with preserved ejection fraction, depression symptoms, cognitive impairment, and each additional HF rehospitalization within 1 year of discharge were associated with unfavorable health status (moderately regressing, severely regressing, and persistently poor) (P<0.05). Compared with the pattern of persistently good, slowly improving (hazard ratio [HR], 1.50 [95% CI, 1.06–2.12]), moderately regressing (HR, 1.92 [1.43–2.58]), severely regressing (HR, 2.26 [1.54–3.31]), and persistently poor (HR, 2.34 [1.55–3.53]) were associated with increased risks of all‐cause death. Conclusions One‐fifth of 1‐year survivors after hospitalization for HF experienced unfavorable health status trajectories and had a substantially increased risk of death during the following years. Our findings help inform the understanding of disease progression from a patient perception perspective and its relationship with long‐term survival. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; unique identifier: NCT02878811

Associations of long-term fine particulate matter exposure with all-cause and cause-specific mortality: results from the ChinaHEART projectResearch in context

Summary: Background: The chronic effects of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) at high concentrations remains uncertain. We aimed to examine the relationship of long-term PM2.5 exposure with all-cause and the top three causes of death (cardiovascular disease [CVD], cancer, and respiratory disease), and to analyze their concentration-response functions over a wide range of concentrations. Methods: We enrolled community residents aged 35–75 years from 2014 to 2017 from all 31 provinces of the Chinese Mainland, and followed them up until 2021. We used a long-term estimation dataset for both PM2.5 and O3 concentrations with a high spatiotemporal resolution to assess the individual exposure, and used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the associations between PM2.5 and mortalities. Findings: We included 1,910,923 participants, whose mean age was 55.6 ± 9.8 years and 59.4% were female. A 10 μg/m3 increment in PM2.5 exposure was associated with increased risk for all-cause death (hazard ratio 1.02 [95% confidence interval 1.012–1.028]), CVD death (1.024 [1.011–1.037]), cancer death (1.037 [1.023–1.052]), and respiratory disease death (1.083 [1.049–1.117]), respectively. Long-term PM2.5 exposure nonlinearly related with all-cause, CVD, and cancer mortalities, while linearly related with respiratory disease mortality. Interpretation: The overall effects of long-term PM2.5 exposure on mortality in the high concentration settings are weaker than previous reports from settings of PM2.5 concentrations < 35 μg/m³. The distinct concentration-response relationships of CVD, cancer, and respiratory disease mortalities could facilitate targeted public health efforts to prevent death caused by air pollution. Funding: The Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences Innovation Fund for Medical Science, the National High Level Hospital Clinical Research Funding, the Ministry of Finance of China and National Health Commission of China, the 111 Project from the Ministry of Education of China