Appendix C. A figure showing the distribution of AUC for model fits by the two different methods of simulation.

A figure showing the distribution of AUC for model fits by the two different methods of simulation

Appendix D. A figure summarizing extinction patterns over time from simulations.

A figure summarizing extinction patterns over time from simulations

Supplement 1. Code for parameter estimation and simulation with the stochastic patch-occupancy model.

<h2>File List</h2><div> <p><a href="SPOMcode.txt">SPOMcode.txt</a> (MD5: e9aca88ace4c6c59761eb5cffe061f70) </p> </div><h2>Description</h2><div> <p>The MATLAB script SPOMcode.txt generates the likelihood equation to be maximized for parameter estimation. The script also contains a function (pdogoptTMC) for conducting the estimation and script for conducting simulations with the estimated parameters. </p> </div

Appendix A. Plots of average precipitation and temperature in the spring and summer for the Pawnee National Grassland and Central Plains Experimental Range, Colorado, 1981–2005.

Plots of average precipitation and temperature in the spring and summer for the Pawnee National Grassland and Central Plains Experimental Range, Colorado, 1981–2005

Appendix B. Methods and results of tests for spatial and temporal autocorrelation in models that predict extinctions from plague in black-tailed prairie dog towns in northern Colorado, Colorado, 1981–2005.

Methods and results of tests for spatial and temporal autocorrelation in models that predict extinctions from plague in black-tailed prairie dog towns in northern Colorado, Colorado, 1981–2005

Appendix A. A figure showing colony areas over time and relative colony size relationships.

A figure showing colony areas over time and relative colony size relationships

Appendix B. A figure showing results of sensitivity analyses for initial conditions of the simulations.

A figure showing results of sensitivity analyses for initial conditions of the simulations