Greedy-Like Algorithms for Dynamic Assortment Planning Under Multinomial Logit Preferences

We study the joint assortment planning and inventory management problem, where stock-out events elicit dynamic substitution effects, described by the multinomial logit (MNL) choice model. Special cases of this setting have been extensively studied in recent literature, notably the static assortment planning problem. Nevertheless, to our knowledge, the general formulation is not known to admit efficient algorithms with analytical performance guarantees before this work, and most of its computational aspects are still wide open. In this paper, we devise what is, to our knowledge, the first provably good approximation algorithm for dynamic assortment planning under the MNL model. We derive a constant-factor guarantee for a broad class of demand distributions that satisfy the increasing failure rate property. Our algorithm relies on a combination of greedy procedures, where stocking decisions are restricted to specific classes of products and the objective function takes modified forms. We demonstrate that our approach substantially outperforms state-of-the-art heuristic methods in terms of performance and speed, leading to an average revenue gain of 4% to 12% in computational experiments. In the course of establishing our main result, we develop new algorithmic ideas that may be of independent interest. These include weaker notions of submodularity and monotonicity, shown sufficient to obtain constant-factor worst-case guarantees, despite using noisy estimates of the objective functio

Approximation algorithms for dynamic assortment optimization models

We consider the single-period joint assortment and inventory planning problem with stochastic demand and dynamic substitution across products, motivated by applications in highly differentiated markets, such as online retailing and airlines. This class of problems is known to be notoriously hard to deal with from a computational standpoint. In fact, prior to the present paper, only a handful of modeling approaches were shown to admit provably good algorithms, at the cost of strong restrictions on customers’ choice outcomes. Our main contribution is to provide the first efficient algorithms with provable performance guarantees for a broad class of dynamic assortment optimization models. Under general rank-based choice models, our approximation algorithm is best possible with respect to the price parameters, up to lower-order terms. In particular, we obtain a constant-factor approximation under horizontal differentiation, where product prices are uniform. In more structured settings, where the customers’ ranking behavior is motivated by price and quality cues, we derive improved guarantees through tailor-made algorithms. In extensive computational experiments, our approach dominates existing heuristics in terms of revenue performance, as well as in terms of speed, given the myopic nature of our methods. From a technical perspective, we introduce a number of novel algorithmic ideas of independent interest, and unravel hidden relations to submodular maximization

Assortment Optimization Under Consider-then-Choose Choice Models

Consider-then-choose models, borne out by empirical literature in marketing and psychology, explain that customers choose among alternatives in two phases, by first screening products to decide which alternatives to consider, before then ranking them. In this paper, we develop a dynamic programming framework to study the computational aspects of assortment optimization under consider-then-choose premises. Although non-parametric choice models generally lead to computationally intractable assortment optimization problems, we are able to show that for many empirically vetted assumptions on how customers consider and choose, our resulting dynamic program is efficient. Our approach unifies and subsumes several specialized settings analyzed in previous literature. Empirically, we demonstrate the predictive power of our modeling approach on a combination of synthetic and real industry data sets, where prediction errors are significantly reduced against common parametric choice models. In synthetic experiments, our algorithms lead to practical computation schemes that outperform a state-of-the-art integer programming solver in terms of running time, in several parameter regimes of interest

The Approximability of Assortment Optimization Under Ranking Preferences

The main contribution of this paper is to provide best-possible approximability bounds for assortment planning under a general choice model, where customer choices are modeled through an arbitrary distribution over ranked lists of their preferred products, subsuming most random utility choice models of interest. From a technical perspective, we show how to relate this optimization problem to the computational task of detecting large independent sets in graphs, allowing us to argue that general ranking preferences are extremely hard to approximate with respect to various problem parameters. These findings are complemented by a number of approximation algorithms that attain essentially best-possible factors, proving that our hardness results are tight up to lower-order terms. Surprisingly, our results imply that a simple and widely studied policy, known as revenue-ordered assortments, achieves the best possible performance guarantee with respect to the price parameters

Iron Behaving Badly: Inappropriate Iron Chelation as a Major Contributor to the Aetiology of Vascular and Other Progressive Inflammatory and Degenerative Diseases

The production of peroxide and superoxide is an inevitable consequence of aerobic metabolism, and while these particular "reactive oxygen species" (ROSs) can exhibit a number of biological effects, they are not of themselves excessively reactive and thus they are not especially damaging at physiological concentrations. However, their reactions with poorly liganded iron species can lead to the catalytic production of the very reactive and dangerous hydroxyl radical, which is exceptionally damaging, and a major cause of chronic inflammation. We review the considerable and wide-ranging evidence for the involvement of this combination of (su)peroxide and poorly liganded iron in a large number of physiological and indeed pathological processes and inflammatory disorders, especially those involving the progressive degradation of cellular and organismal performance. These diseases share a great many similarities and thus might be considered to have a common cause (i.e. iron-catalysed free radical and especially hydroxyl radical generation). The studies reviewed include those focused on a series of cardiovascular, metabolic and neurological diseases, where iron can be found at the sites of plaques and lesions, as well as studies showing the significance of iron to aging and longevity. The effective chelation of iron by natural or synthetic ligands is thus of major physiological (and potentially therapeutic) importance. As systems properties, we need to recognise that physiological observables have multiple molecular causes, and studying them in isolation leads to inconsistent patterns of apparent causality when it is the simultaneous combination of multiple factors that is responsible. This explains, for instance, the decidedly mixed effects of antioxidants that have been observed, etc...Comment: 159 pages, including 9 Figs and 2184 reference

Approximation Algorithms for Dynamic Assortment Optimization Models

© 2018 INFORMS We consider the single-period joint assortment and inventory planning problem with stochastic demand and dynamic substitution across products, motivated by applications in highly differentiated markets, such as online retailing and airlines. This class of problems is known to be notoriously hard to deal with from a computational standpoint. In fact, prior to the present paper, only a handful of modeling approaches were shown to admit provably good algorithms, at the cost of strong restrictions on customers’ choice outcomes. Our main contribution is to provide the first efficient algorithms with provable performance guarantees for a broad class of dynamic assortment optimization models. Under general rank-based choice models, our approximation algorithm is best possible with respect to the price parameters, up to lower-order terms. In particular, we obtain a constant-factor approximation under horizontal differentiation, where product prices are uniform. In more structured settings, where the customers’ ranking behavior is motivated by price and quality cues, we derive improved guarantees through tailor-made algorithms. In extensive computational experiments, our approach dominates existing heuristics in terms of revenue performance, as well as in terms of speed, given the myopic nature of our methods. From a technical perspective, we introduce a number of novel algorithmic ideas of independent interest, and unravel hidden relations to submodular maximization