62 research outputs found

    Increasing the horizontal resolution of ensemble forecasts at CMC

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    Ensemble forecasts are run operationally since February 1998 at the Canadian Meteorological Centre, with outputs up to ten days. The ensemble size was increased from eight to sixteen members in August 1999. The method of producing the perturbed analyses consists of running independent assimilation cycles that use perturbed sets of observations and are driven by eight different models, mainly different in their physical parameterizations. Perturbed analyses are doubled by taking opposite pairs. A multi-model approach is then used to obtain the forecasts. The ensemble output has been used to generate several products. In view of increasing computing facilities, the ensemble prediction system horizontal resolution was increased to TL149 in June 2001. Heights at 500 hPa and mean sea-level pressure maps are regularly used. Charts of precipitation with the probability of precipitation being above various thresholds are also produced at each run. The probabilistic forecast of the 24-h accumulated precipitation has shown skill as demonstrated by the relative operating characteristic (ROC). Verifications of the ensemble forecasts will be presented

    Guide wire insertion for percutaneous LC2 screws in acetabular and pelvic ring fixation using a transpedicular working cannula

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    Closed reduction and percutaneous screw fixation (CRIF) of iliac crescent fractures and fractures of the anterior column of the acetabulum has become an established method in the treatment of these injuries. After reduction, safe insertion of a guide wire is a key step during this procedure. We present a technique that can facilitate introducing the guide wire under fluoroscopic guidance and allow for decreased radiation exposure
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