A preoperative nomogram for the prediction of ipsilateral central compartment lymph node metastases in papillary thyroid cancer

Background: Central compartment lymph node metastases in papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) are difficult to detect preoperatively, and the role of routine or prophylactic central compartment lymph node dissection (CLND) in managing PTC remains controversial. The aim of this project was to create a nomogram able to predict the occurrence of central compartment lymph node metastasis using readily available preoperative clinical characteristics. Methods: Records from patients undergoing total thyroidectomy and lymph node dissection for PTC in the period 1968-2012 were analyzed. Nodal status was based on results of serial hematoxylin and eosin (H&E) examination. Age, sex, tumor size, tumor site, and multifocality were included in a multivariable logistic regression model to predict lymph node metastasis. A coefficient-based nomogram was developed and validated using an external patient cohort. Results: The study population included 914 patients (80% females) with an average central compartment nodal yield of eight per patient. Central compartment lymph node metastases were present in 390 patients (42.7%). The variables with the strongest predictive value were age (p<0.001), male sex (p<0.001), increasing tumor size (p<0.001), and tumor multifocality (p<0.05). The nomogram had good discrimination with a concordance index of 76.4% [95% confidence interval 73.3-79.4], supported by an external validation point estimate of 61.5% [95% confidence interval 49.5-73.6]. An online calculator and smartphone application were developed for point of care use. Conclusions: A validated nomogram utilizing readily available preoperative variables has been developed to give a predicted probability of central lymph node metastases in patients presenting with PTC. This nomogram may help guide surgical decision making in PTC. © 2014, Mary Ann Liebert, Inc. 2014

New era: Prophylactic surgery for patients with multiple endocrine neoplasia-2A

Background: The surgical management of patients with multiple endocrine neoplasia-2A (MEN-2A) continues to evolve with specific genotype-phenotype correlations allowing for a more tailored approach. In this study, we report the surgical management of one of the largest MEN-2A families with a rearranged during transfection (RET) codon 804 mutation. Method: This is a cohort study comprising all at-risk kindred within a single known MEN-2A family. Prophylactic total thyroidectomy with lymph node dissection was recommended to all mutation carriers aged 5 years and older. Results: There were a total of 48 at-risk individuals in the MEN-2A kindred, with 22 patients undergoing thyroidectomy after appropriate preoperative evaluation. A total of 9 patients had medullary thyroid cancer including 5 with a normal preoperative calcitonin level. A total of 11 patients had C-cell hyperplasia and 7 showed histological evidence of parathyroid disease. Only the index case had a phaeochromocytoma. Conclusion: Genetic testing for germline mutations in the RET proto-oncogene has allowed precise identification of affected RET carriers and provided the opportunity for prophylactic or 'preclinical' surgery to treat and in fact to prevent medullary thyroid cancer. This concept of prophylactic surgery based on a genetic test is likely to be applied more widely as the tools of molecular biology advance