Primordial Gravitational Waves and Cosmology

The observation of primordial gravitational waves could provide a new and unique window on the earliest moments in the history of the universe, and on possible new physics at energies many orders of magnitude beyond those accessible at particle accelerators. Such waves might be detectable soon in current or planned satellite experiments that will probe for characteristic imprints in the polarization of the cosmic microwave background (CMB), or later with direct space-based interferometers. A positive detection could provide definitive evidence for Inflation in the early universe, and would constrain new physics from the Grand Unification scale to the Planck scale.Comment: 12 pages. 4 figure

Unemployment Insurance, Recall Expectations, And Unemployment Outcomes

This paper shows the importance of explicitly accounting for the possibility of recalls when analyzing the determinants of unemployment spell durations and the effects of unemployment insurance (UI) on unemployment outcomes in the United States. These issues are examined using a unique sample of UI recipients from Missouri and Pennsylvania covering unemployment spells in the 1979- 1981 period. We find that those expecting recall who are not recalled tend to have quite long unemployment spells. Furthermore, ex-ante temporary layoff spells (the spells of individuals' who initially expect to be recalled) may account for over 60 percent of the unemployment of UI recipients and appear to account for much more unemployment than ex-post temporary layoff spells (spells actually ending in recall). We estimate a competing risks model in which the finding of a new job and recall are treated as alternate routes of leaving unemployment. Our results using this approach show that the recall and new job exit probabilities have quite different time patterns and are often affected in opposite ways by explanatory variables. We also find that the probability of leaving unemployment (both through recalls and new job finding) increases greatly around the time that UI benefits lapse.

The Impact of the Potential Duration of Unemployment Benefits on the Duration of Unemployment

This paper uses two data sets to examine the impact of the potential duration of unemployment insurance (UI) benefits on the duration of unemployment and the time pattern of the escape rate from unemployment in the United States. The first part of the empirical work uses a large sample of household heads to examine differences in the unemployment spell distributions of UI recipients and nonrecipients. Sharp increases in the rare of escape from unemployment both through recalls and new job acceptances are apparent for UI recipients around the time when benefits are likely to lapse. The absence of such spikes in the escape rate from unemployment for nonrecipients strongly suggests that the potential duration of UI benefits affects firm recall policies and workers' willingness to start new jobs. The second part of our empirical work uses administrative data to examine the effects of the level and length of UT benefits on the escape rate from unemployment of UI recipients. The results indicate that a one week increase in potential benefit duration increases the average duration of the unemployment spells of UI recipients by 0,16 to 0.20 weeks. The estimates also imply that policies that extend the potential duration of benefits increase the mean duration of unemployment by substantially more than policies with the same predicted impact on the total UI budget that raise the level of benefits while holding potential duration constant.

A Profile of the Iowa Pork Industry, Its Producers, and Implications for the Future

In March and April of 1993, a random sample of 334 Iowa pork producers participated in a survey regarding their production practices, facilities, and purchasing patterns. The sample, was divided into three groups by size: 113 farms marketing under 700 head of hogs, 141 farms marketing 700 - 2,000 head, and 90 marketing over 2,000 head. A few of the key findings include;Producer profile Is forty-five years old; has 13 years of formal education, 22 years of pork production experience; and plans to produce hogs for an additional 17 ye^s. Has annual marketings of 1,743 market hogs and 447 feeder pigs from 128 sows

Subgenual Cingulum Microstructure Supports Control of Emotional Conflict

This is the final version of the article. Available from Oxford University Press via the DOI in this record.Major depressive disorder (MDD) is associated with specific difficulties in attentional disengagement from negatively valenced material. Diffusion MRI studies have demonstrated altered white matter microstructure in the subgenual cingulum bundle (CB) in individuals with MDD, though the functional significance of these alterations has not been examined formally. This study explored whether individual differences in selective attention to negatively valenced stimuli are related to interindividual differences in subgenual CB microstructure. Forty-six individuals (21 with remitted MDD, 25 never depressed) completed an emotional Stroop task, using happy and angry distractor faces overlaid by pleasant or unpleasant target words and a control gender-based Stroop task. CBs were reconstructed in 38 individuals using diffusion-weighted imaging and tractography, and mean fractional anisotropy (FA) computed for the subgenual, retrosplenial, and parahippocampal subdivisions. No significant correlations were found between FA and performance in the control gender-based Stroop task in any CB region. However, the degree of interference produced by angry face distractors on time to identify pleasant words (emotional conflict) correlated selectively with FA in the subgenual CB (r= -0.53;P= 0.01). Higher FA was associated with reduced interference, irrespective of a diagnosis of MDD, suggesting that subgenual CB microstructure is functionally relevant for regulating attentional bias toward negative interpersonal stimuli.P.A.K. was funded by the Higher Education Funding Council for Wales (HEFCW) and an Academy of Medical Sciences and Wellcome Trust Starter Grant (AJ17102004). M.M. received an EPSRC Doctoral Training Grant. This work was also supported by a Marie Curie fellowship to Marcel Meyer and received funding from the European Union Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) under grant agreement no. 267171. D.K.J. was funded by HEFCW and received grants from the MS Society, a Wellcome Trust New Investigator Award, a Wellcome Trust Multi User Equipment Grant and Medical Research Council, and Wellcome Trust project grants. A.N.D. was supported by the Wellcome Trust PhD schemes. N.L. was funded by HEFCW. A.D.L. was funded by HEFCW. He also received grants from the ESRC, Wellcome Trust, and NISCHR. Funding to pay the Open Access publication charges for this article was provided by The Wellcome Trust