Tax Complexity and Inward Investment

The negative relationship between host-country tax rates and FDI has been tested in a large number of papers. This paper looks at a different channel through which tax systems could affect FDI, namely the complexity of the tax system. Complying with tax authority requirements can be extremely time consuming for business and this implies an additional cost for more complex tax systems. We use measures of the time taken to deal with tax obligations and the number of tax payments for a representative firm compiled by the World Bank to examine their effect on FDI selection and flows from 16 OECD FDI-source countries to 57 host countries. We find a negative and significant effect of tax rates in line with other studies. In addition, the tax complexity measures are found to have a significant inhibiting effect on the presence of FDI for a country pair, but have little impact on the level of the FDI flow once it is established. In other words, the complexity measures affect FDI primarily through the extensive margin. A 10% reduction in tax complexity is found to be comparable in its effect on FDI to a one percentage point reduction in the effective corporate tax rate. The results are robust to the inclusion of other proxies for bureaucracy in the host country.

Measurement Issues and International Comparisons of Output and Productivity Growth

Since the mid-1990s the average growth rates of real GDP and labour productivity in the European Union have fallen behind those in the United States. This development has led to questions about the potential contribution of the differences in measurement methodologies to GDP and productivity growth between the EU and the US. This paper outlines the issues regarding one of the measurement differences between the US and EU, that of using quality-adjusted or hedonic price indices for high technology sectors. We also estimate their contribution to the observed output and productivity differentials. We find that differences in measurement of high technology sectors cannot account for the widening productivity growth difference between the EU and the US. These measurement differences are estimated to have contributed between one and three tenths of a percentage point to differences in growth rates. Ireland proves to be an exception from this general finding however. The application of hedonic price indices for Ireland resulted in an increase of approximately 1.3 per cent in the growth rates of both GDP and labour productivity. This can be explained by the much higher relative importance of high-technology sectors in the Irish economy relative to the rest of the EU. Adjustments to the measurement of these sectors therefore have a larger effect on economy-wide measures of output and productivity.Productivity growth; hedonic index; high-technology sectors

Firm Export Participation: Entry, Spillovers and Tradability

This paper analyses the choices made by individual firms to enter the export market. It uses data on a sample of Irish firms over seventeen years to test whether sunk costs influence the decision to export. A probit specification tests the probability of exporting in the current period given past exporting experience, controlling for the firm’s initial export status. Methodologically, the contribution of this paper is the use of a two-step estimation procedure suggested by Orme (1997), which controls for the influence of initial conditions. In addition, this paper tests for the existence of spillover effects in exporting, in particular if the levels of export activity in a sector increase the probability of a firm participating in the export market. Significant evidence of sunk costs was found, based on the observed persistence of export activity and the explanatory power of previous exporting experience on current export status. A measure of sector tradability was also used, and as expected firms in more easily traded sectors were most likely to be exporters. However, little evidence of spillovers was found in determining export market participation.

Firm Export Dynamics and the Geography of Trade

Two recent trends in international economics have been an increased focus on the geography of trade (e.g. what factors determine where a country exports to) and the emergence of empirical work examining firm-level data on exporting activity. However, data limitations have prevented there being much progress in combining these two areas, because very few countries provide firm-level data breaking down firm exports by their destination. Eaton, Kortum and Kramarz (2004) have analysed such data for French frms but their study only uses a single cross-section of data. This paper uses a unique survey of Irish exporting firms over a five year period to fill some of the gaps in this empirical literature. With information on over fifty destinations, firm-level changes in market coverage and their contribution to net export growth are investigated. Firm involvement in individual export markets is found to be much more dynamic than export status. Entry and exit to markets is shown to be a quantifiably important component of overall export ows, with this factor becoming more important for less popular markets. The paper also shows how the patterns of entry and exit into export markets combine to determine the overall firm-level distribution of number of markets entered.Firm exports; market entry and exit; transition matrix

Marginal Distance: Does Export Experience Reduce Firm Trade Costs?

Are the costs of exporting to a market reduced if a firm has experience of exporting to a neighbouring market? If so, does this effect operate through reducing en- try barriers or by increasing sales once the firm is operating in the market? This paper examines linkages between current export destinations and entry, sales and exit for new markets. We find that measures of exporting experience in geographically nearby markets increase the probability of entry into a market and reduce the probability of exit. However, these same measures have negative effects on the firm’s export sales in the market. This negative effect on sales is particularly strong for recently entered firms. We interpret this result in the context of the Melitz heterogeneous-firm model of trade by showing that lower fixed costs reduce the entry threshold, but this lower threshold has the effect of allowing lower-sales marginal firms to be present in the market.Distance; Export performance; Heterogeneous firms

Measurement Issues and Int. Comparisons of Output and Productivity Growth

This paper outlines the issues regarding one of the measurement differences between the US and EU.

Deconstructing Gravity: Trade Costs and Extensive and Intensive Margins

One of the most robust empirical results in international economics is the existence of a negative relationship between trade flows and distance. More recent research on exporting activity at the firm level has established an apparently equally robust result---few firms export, and exporting firms do not sell in all possible markets. This paper uses data on US exports across 156 countries to decompose exports to each market into the number of firms exporting (the extensive margin) and average export sales per firm (the intensive margin). We show how the effects of distance and a range of other proxies for trade costs have different impacts on the two margins. We find that distance has a negative effect on both margins, but the magnitude of the coefficient is considerably larger and more significant for the extensive margin. Most of the variables capturing language, internal geography, infrastructure and import cost barriers work solely through the extensive margin. We show that these results are consistent with the predictions of a Melitz-style model of trade with heterogeneous firm productivity and fixed costs.

Export Activities of Irish Owned Firms

This paper examines the question of where Irish firms export to, using a survey over a five-year period with information on over fifty destinations.

Firm Export Dynamics and the Geography of Trade

Two recent trends in international economics have been an increased focus on the geography of trade (e.g. what factors determine where a country exports to) and the emergence of empirical work examining firm-level data on exporting activity. However, data limitations have prevented there being much progress in combining these two areas, because very few countries provide firm-level data breaking down firm exports by their destination. Eaton, Kortum and Kramarz (2004) have analysed such data for French firms but their study only uses a single cross-section of data. This paper uses a unique survey of Irish exporting firms over a five year period to fill some of the gaps in this empirical literature. With information on over fifty destinations, firm-level changes in market coverage and their contribution to net export growth are investigated. Firm involvement in individual export markets is found to be much more dynamic than export status. Entry and exit to markets is shown to be a quantifiably important component of overall export flows, with this factor becoming more important for less popular markets. The paper also shows how the patterns of entry and exit into export markets combine to determine the overall firm-level distribution of number of markets entered.

Old firms and new products: Does experience increase survival? ESRI WP584, February 2018

We examine the relationship between exporting experience and the duration of firm export product flows. We find that more experienced firms (in years of exporting) show a higher probability of failure associated with the introduction of new products. Although apparently counter-intuitive, we show that this finding is consistent with models of multiproduct firms in which firms begin exporting by launching the products closest to their core competency and gradually expand their range of products by exporting those that are further away from their core, resulting in lower survival probability for later products. Validating this interpretation, we show that the distance of the new products to the core competency of the firm plays an important role in determining the survival of new products