Tackling self-selection into treatment and self-selection into the sample biases in VAA research

Self‐selection into treatment and self‐selection into the sample are major concerns of VAA research and need to be controlled for if the aim is to deduce causal effects from VAA use in observational data. This paper focuses on the methodological aspects of VAA research and outlines omnipresent endogeneity issues, partly imposed through unobserved factors that affect both whether individuals chose to use VAAs and their electoral behavior. We promote using Heckman selection models and apply various versions of the model to data from the Swiss electorate and smartvote users in order to see to what extent selection biases interfere with the estimated effects of interest

Does VAA popularity pay off ? : Smartvote users preferred candidates and their results in the 2007 Swiss federal elections

Voting is fundamental for democracy, however, this decisive democratic act requires quite an effort. Decision making at elections depends largely on the interest to gather information about candidates and parties, the effort to process the information at hand and the motivation to reach a vote choice. Especially in electoral systems with highly fragmented party systems and hundreds of candidates running for office, the process of decision making in the pre‐election sphere is highly demanding. In the age of information and communication technologies, new possibilities for gathering and processing such information are available. Voting Advice Applications (VAAs) provide guidance to voters prior to the act of voting and assist voters in choosing between different candidates and parties on the basis of issue congruence. Meanwhile widely used all over the world, scientific inquiry into the effect of such tools on electoral behavior is ongoing. This paper adds to the current debate by focusing on whether the popularity of candidates on the Swiss VAA smartvote eventually paid off at the 2007 Swiss federal elections and whether there is a direct link between the performance of a candidate on the tool and his or her electoral performance

Voting Advice Applications

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L'état des communes dans le canton de Vaud

Les communes vaudoises ne sont pas épargnées par les profonds changements que subissent les communes suisses depuis les années 90. Le nombre de réformes a augmenté de manière considérable et les causes de ces changements sont multiples: une complexité croissante des prestations à fournir, la recherche de formes organisationnelles plus efficaces, la difficulté de trouver des personnes s'engageant en politique. Vu ces défis, la fusion de communes a été fréquente dans certains cantons. Quant à lui, le canton de Vaud reste un canton avec un grand nombre de communes de petite taille. C'est entre autre sous l'aspect de la différente taille des communes que cette étude aborde des thèmes concernant les communes vaudoises, comme par exemple les limites de performances des communes, la politique et l'administration communale, les relations et la répartition des tâches entre les communes et le canton, la collaboration intercommunale où encore les fusions de communes. L'analyse se base sur les données de l'enquête auprès des secrétaires communaux suisses qui a lieu régulièrement depuis 1988

Impact of voting advice applications on voters's decision-making

So-called online Voting Advice Applications (VAAs) have become very popular all over Europe. Millions of voters are using them as an assistance to make up their minds for which party they should vote. Despite this popularity there are only very few studies about the impact of these tools on individual electoral choice. On the basis of the Swiss VAA smartvote we present some first findings about the question whether VAAs do have a direct impact on the actual vote of their users. In deed, we find strong evidence that Swiss voters were affected by smartvote. However, our findings are somewhat contrary to the results of previous studies from other countries. Furthermore, the quality of available data for such studies needs to be improved. Future studies should pay attention to both: the improvement of the available data, as well as the explanation of the large variance of findings between the specific European countries

Complexity Results for Modal Dependence Logic

Modal dependence logic was introduced recently by V\"a\"an\"anen. It enhances the basic modal language by an operator =(). For propositional variables p_1,...,p_n, =(p_1,...,p_(n-1);p_n) intuitively states that the value of p_n is determined by those of p_1,...,p_(n-1). Sevenster (J. Logic and Computation, 2009) showed that satisfiability for modal dependence logic is complete for nondeterministic exponential time. In this paper we consider fragments of modal dependence logic obtained by restricting the set of allowed propositional connectives. We show that satisfibility for poor man's dependence logic, the language consisting of formulas built from literals and dependence atoms using conjunction, necessity and possibility (i.e., disallowing disjunction), remains NEXPTIME-complete. If we only allow monotone formulas (without negation, but with disjunction), the complexity drops to PSPACE-completeness. We also extend V\"a\"an\"anen's language by allowing classical disjunction besides dependence disjunction and show that the satisfiability problem remains NEXPTIME-complete. If we then disallow both negation and dependence disjunction, satistiability is complete for the second level of the polynomial hierarchy. In this way we completely classify the computational complexity of the satisfiability problem for all restrictions of propositional and dependence operators considered by V\"a\"an\"anen and Sevenster.Comment: 22 pages, full version of CSL 2010 pape

Are Voting Advice Applications (VVAs) more than Toys ? : First findings on Impact and Accountability of VAAs

To what extent do Voting Advice Applications (VAA) have an influence on voting behaviour and to what extent should providers be hold accountable for such tools? This paper puts forward some empirical evidence from the Swiss VAA smartvote. The enormous popularity of smartvote in the last national elections in 2007 and the feedback of users and candidates let us come to the conclusion that smartvote is more than a toy and likely to have an influence on the voting decisions. Since Swiss citizens not only vote for parties but also for candidates, and the voting recommendation of smartvote is based on the political positions of the candidates, smartvote turns out to be particularly helpful. Political scientists must not keep their hands off such tools. Scientific research is needed to understand their functioning and possibilities to manipulate elections. On the bases of a legal study we come to the conclusion, that a science driven way of setting up such tools is essential for their legitimacy. However, we do not believe that there is a single best way of setting up such a tool and rather support a market like solution with different competing tools, provided they meet minimal standards like transparency and equal access for all parties and candidates. Once the process of selecting candidates and parties are directly linked to the act of voting, all these questions will become even more salient

Die Positionierung der Nationalratskandidierenden 2007 : eine explorative Analyse der Antworten auf die Fragen der Online-Wahlhilfe smartvote

Die Studie präsentiert erste explorative Auswertungen zu den Antworten von über 2600 Kandidierenden im Rahmen der Nationalratswahlen 2007 auf den umfangreichen Fragenkatalog der Online-Wahlhilfeplattform « smartvote ». Untersucht wird, wie die Fragen von der Gesamtheit der Kandidierenden beantwortet wurden, welche Themen umstritten waren und wie sich die Kandidierenden von den Gewählten unterscheiden. Schwergewichtig beschäftigt sich die Analyse mit den Kandidierenden der vier grössten Parteien SVP, FDP, CVP und SP sowie der Grünen. Welche Positionen nehmen sie ein ? Wie geschlossen präsentieren sie sich in den einzelnen Fragen ? Wo bestehen grosse Gemeinsamkeiten, wo erheblicheUnterscheide und wie sind die Möglichkeiten der einzelnen Parteien einzuschätzen, sich politisch zu profilieren ? Schliesslich wird überprüft, wie gut die Kandidierenden zu ihrer eigenen Partei passen und welche Aussagen sich über die Zusammenhänge zwischen der Abweichung von der Parteilinie und der Herkunft von erhofften Panaschierstimmen machen lassen. Lors des élections au Conseil national en octobre 2007, plus de 2600 candidats ont répondu au questionnaire concernant l'outil de soutien au vote en ligne « smartvote ». Ce cahier de l'IDHEAP présente les résultats d'une première étude exploratoire, basée sur les réponses des candidats au questionnaire de « smartvote ». Les auteurs analysent les questions et les thèmes controversés. Ils se sont également intéressés aux différences de prises de position entre les élus et les candidats. L'accent est mis sur les candidats des grands partis, soit l'UDC, le PRD, le PDC, le PS et les Verts. Quelles sont leurs positions politiques ? Quelles sont les questions qui divisent les candidats d'un parti ? Sur quels sujets sont-ils du même avis ? Où se trouvent les points communs entre les différents partis ? Quels sont les blocs politiques qui se forment ? Sur quels thèmes les partis politiques peuvent-ils se profiler ? A l'aide d'une analyse multivariée, l'étude tente aussi d'établir si les candidats sont membres du parti politique qui représente le mieux leurs convictions. Le chapitre final discute l'influence du vote par panachage sur le positionnement politique des candidats

Bibliography of socio-economic studies : fisheries of the northeast U.S.

This bibliography of social and economic studies of the fisheries of the Northeast United States (Maine to North Carolina) includes annotated listings for each entry and an index of key words for cross-referencing. We have attempted to include all studies published since 1970, and a selected group of particularly significant studies done earlier. The major focus has been on commercial fisheries, but recreational fishing studies have also been included when possible. In addition to studies of the Northeast United States fisheries, studies of Canadian fishing subsidies, European and other markets, have been included because of their relevance to the regional industry. All stages of the fishing industry's operation - harvesting, processing, distribution, marketing - are included, along with management and policy oriented material.Prepared for the National Marine Fisheries Service Contract NA-81-FA-C-00018 and for The Pew Memorial Trust, also for the Department of Commerce, NOAA Office of Sea Grant under NA-80AA-D-0077 (E/L-1) and the Institution's Marine Policy and Ocean Management Program