Using Artificial Neural Networks to Predict Intra-Abdominal Abscess Risk Post-Appendectomy

OBJECTIVE: To determine if artificial neural networks (ANN) could predict the risk of intra-abdominal abscess (IAA) development post-appendectomy. BACKGROUND: IAA formation occurs in 13.6% to 14.6% of appendicitis cases with complicated appendicitis as the most common cause of IAA. There remains inconsistency in describing the severity of appendicitis with variation in treatment with respect to perforated appendicitis. METHODS: Two reproducible ANN with different architectures were developed on demographic, clinical, and surgical information from a retrospective surgical dataset of 1574 patients less than 19 years old classified as either negative (n = 1,328) or positive (n = 246) for IAA post-appendectomy for appendicitis. Of 34 independent variables initially, 12 variables with the highest influence on the outcome selected for the final dataset for ANN model training and testing. RESULTS: A total of 1574 patients were used for training and test sets (80%/20% split). Model 1 achieved accuracy of 89.84%, sensitivity of 70%, and specificity of 93.61% on the test set. Model 2 achieved accuracy of 84.13%, sensitivity of 81.63%, and specificity of 84.6%. CONCLUSIONS: ANN applied to selected variables can accurately predict patients who will have IAA post-appendectomy. Our reproducible and explainable ANNs potentially represent a state-of-the-art method for optimizing post-appendectomy care

Hepatocellular carcinoma survival in uninsured and underinsured patients.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing. The purpose of this study is to establish baseline survival in a medically-underserved population and to evaluate the effect of HCV seropositivity on our patient population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We reviewed clinicopathologic parameters from a prospective tumor registry and medical records from the Harris County Hospital District (HCHD). Outcomes were compared using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and log-rank tests. RESULTS: A total of 298 HCC patients were identified. The median survival for the entire cohort was 3.4 mo. There was no difference in survival between the HCV seropositive and the HCV seronegative groups (3.6 mo versus 2.6 mo, P = 0.7). Patients with a survival \u3c1 mo had a significant increase in\u3eαfetoprotein (AFP), international normalized ratio (INR), model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and total bilirubin and decrease in albumin compared with patients with a survival ≥ 1 mo. CONCLUSIONS: Survival for HCC patients in the HCHD is extremely poor compared with an anticipated median survival of 7 mo reported in other studies. HCV seropositive patients have no survival advantage over HCV seronegative patients. Poorer liver function at diagnosis appears to be related to shorter survival. Further analysis into variables contributing to decreased survival is needed

Healthcare Utilization Among Infants Discharged From the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit: A Descriptive Cost Analysis

The cost of readmissions of neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) graduates within 6 months and a year of their life is well-studied. However, the cost of readmissions within 90 days of NICU discharge is unknown. This study’s objective was to estimate the overall and mean cost of healthcare use for unplanned hospital visits of NICU graduates within 90 days of discharge A retrospective review of all infants discharged between 1/1/2017 and 03/31/2017 from a large hospital system NICUs was conducted. All unplanned hospital visits (readmissions or stand-alone emergency department (ED) visits) occurring within 90 days post NICU discharge were included. The total and mean cost of unplanned hospital visits were computed and adjusted to 2021 US dollars. The total cost was estimated to be $785 804 with a mean of$1898 per patient. Hospital readmissions accounted for 98% ($768 718) of the total costs and ED visits for 2$17 086). The mean cost per readmission and stand-alone ED visit were $25 624 and$475 respectively. The highest mean total cost of unplanned hospital readmission was noted in extremely low birth weight infants ($25 295). Interventions targeted to reduce hospital readmissions after NICU discharge have the potential to significantly reduce healthcare costs for this patient population

Healthcare Utilization Among Infants Discharged From the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit: A Descriptive Cost Analysis

The cost of readmissions of neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) graduates within 6 months and a year of their life is well-studied. However, the cost of readmissions within 90 days of NICU discharge is unknown. This study\u27s objective was to estimate the overall and mean cost of healthcare use for unplanned hospital visits of NICU graduates within 90 days of discharge A retrospective review of all infants discharged between 1/1/2017 and 03/31/2017 from a large hospital system NICUs was conducted. All unplanned hospital visits (readmissions or stand-alone emergency department (ED) visits) occurring within 90 days post NICU discharge were included. The total and mean cost of unplanned hospital visits were computed and adjusted to 2021 US dollars. The total cost was estimated to be $785 804 with a mean of$1898 per patient. Hospital readmissions accounted for 98% ($768 718) of the total costs and ED visits for 2$17 086). The mean cost per readmission and stand-alone ED visit were $25 624 and$475 respectively. The highest mean total cost of unplanned hospital readmission was noted in extremely low birth weight infants ($25 295). Interventions targeted to reduce hospital readmissions after NICU discharge have the potential to significantly reduce healthcare costs for this patient population

Outcomes After In Utero Myelomeningocele Repair Based on Delivery Location

Maternal and pediatric delivery outcomes may vary in patients who underwent open fetal myelomeningocele repair and elected to deliver at the fetal center where their fetal intervention was performed versus at the referring physician’s hospital. A prospective cohort study of 88 patients were evaluated following in utero open fetal myelomeningocele repair at a single fetal center between the years 2011–2019. Exclusion criteria included patients that delivered within two weeks of the procedure (n = 6), or if a patient was lost to follow-up (n = 1). Of 82 patients meeting inclusion criteria, 36 (44%) patients were delivered at the fetal center that performed fetal intervention, and 46 (56%) were delivered locally. Comparative statistics found that with the exception of parity, baseline characteristics and pre-operative variables did not differ between the groups. No differences in oligohydramnios incidence, preterm rupture of membranes, gestational age at delivery or delivery indications were found. Patients who delivered with a referring physician were more likely to be multiparous (p = 0.015). With the exception of a longer neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) stay in the fetal center group (median 30.0 vs. 11.0 days, p = 0.004), there were no differences in neonatal outcomes, including wound dehiscence, cerebrospinal fluid leakage, patch management, ventricular diversion, or prematurity complications. Therefore, we conclude that it is safe to allow patients to travel home for obstetric and neonatal management after open fetal myelomeningocele repair

Congenital Diaphragmatic Hernia Defect Size and Infant Morbidity at Discharge

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Outcomes after In Utero Myelomeningocele Repair Based on Delivery Location

Maternal and pediatric delivery outcomes may vary in patients who underwent open fetal myelomeningocele repair and elected to deliver at the fetal center where their fetal intervention was performed versus at the referring physician’s hospital. A prospective cohort study of 88 patients were evaluated following in utero open fetal myelomeningocele repair at a single fetal center between the years 2011–2019. Exclusion criteria included patients that delivered within two weeks of the procedure (n = 6), or if a patient was lost to follow-up (n = 1). Of 82 patients meeting inclusion criteria, 36 (44%) patients were delivered at the fetal center that performed fetal intervention, and 46 (56%) were delivered locally. Comparative statistics found that with the exception of parity, baseline characteristics and pre-operative variables did not differ between the groups. No differences in oligohydramnios incidence, preterm rupture of membranes, gestational age at delivery or delivery indications were found. Patients who delivered with a referring physician were more likely to be multiparous (p = 0.015). With the exception of a longer neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) stay in the fetal center group (median 30.0 vs. 11.0 days, p = 0.004), there were no differences in neonatal outcomes, including wound dehiscence, cerebrospinal fluid leakage, patch management, ventricular diversion, or prematurity complications. Therefore, we conclude that it is safe to allow patients to travel home for obstetric and neonatal management after open fetal myelomeningocele repair

Congenital diaphragmatic hernia in the preterm infant.

BACKGROUND: Congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) remains a significant cause of death in newborns. With advances in neonatal critical care and ventilation strategies, survival in the term infant now exceeds 80% in some centers. Although prematurity is a significant risk factor for morbidity and mortality in most neonatal diseases, its associated risk with infants with CDH has been described poorly. We sought to determine the impact of prematurity on survival using data from the Congenital Diaphragmatic Hernia Registry (CDHR). METHODS: Prospectively collected data from live-born infants with CDH were analyzed from the CDHR from January 1995 to July 2009. Preterm infants were defined as \u3c37 weeks estimated gestational age at birth. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were\u3eperformed. RESULTS: During the study period, 5,069 infants with CDH were entered in the registry. Of the 5,022 infants with gestational age data, there were 3,895 term infants (77.6%) and 1,127 preterm infants (22.4%). Overall survival was 68.7%. A higher percentage of term infants were treated with extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) (33% term vs 25.6% preterm). Preterm infants had a greater percentage of chromosomal abnormalities (4% term vs 8.1% preterm) and major cardiac anomalies (6.1% term vs 11.8% preterm). Also, a significantly higher percentage of term infants had repair of the hernia (86.3% term vs 69.4% preterm). Survival for infants that underwent repair was high in both groups (84.6% term vs 77.2% preterm). Survival decreased with decreasing gestational age (73.1% term vs 53.5% preterm). The odds ratio (OR) for death among preterm infants adjusted for patch repair, ECMO, chromosomal abnormalities, and major cardiac anomalies was OR 1.68 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.34-2.11). CONCLUSION: Although outcomes for preterm infants are clearly worse than in the term infant, more than 50% of preterm infants still survived. Preterm infants with CDH remain a high-risk group. Although ECMO may be of limited value in the extremely premature infant with CDH, most preterm infants that live to undergo repair will survive. Prematurity should not be an independent factor in the treatment strategies of infants with CDH

Risk Factors for Nonaccidental Burns in Children

BACKGROUND: The relative influences of baseline risk factors for pediatric nonaccidental burns have not been well described. We evaluated baseline characteristics of pediatric nonaccidental burn patients and their primary caretakers. METHODS: A single-center retrospective cohort study was conducted of pediatric (age \u3c 17) burn patients from July 1, 2013, to June 30, 2018. The primary outcome was nonaccidental burn, defined as burn secondary to abuse or neglect as determined by the inpatient child protection team or Child Protective Services. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed. RESULTS: Of 489 burn patients, 47 (9.6%) suffered nonaccidental burns. Nonaccidental burn patients more frequently had a history of Child Protective Services involvement (48.9% vs 9.7%, P \u3c .001), as did their primary caretakers (59.6% vs 10.9%, P \u3c .001). Non-Hispanic black children had higher rates of Child Protective Services referral (50.7% vs 26.7%, P \u3c .001) and nonaccidental burn diagnosis (18.9% vs 5.6%, P \u3c .001) than children of other races/ethnicities. On multivariate analysis, caretaker involvement with CPS (odds ratio 7.53, 95% confidence interval 3.38-16.77) and non-Hispanic black race/ethnicity (odds ratio 3.28, 95% confidence interval 1.29-8.36) were associated with nonaccidental burn. CONCLUSION: Caretaker history of Child Protective Services involvement and non-Hispanic black race/ethnicity were associated with increased odds of pediatric nonaccidental burn. Prospective research is necessary to determine whether these represent true risk factors for nonaccidental burn or are the result of other confounders, such as socioeconomic status

Characteristics and Predictors of Intensive Care Unit Admission in Pediatric Blunt Abdominal Trauma

BACKGROUND: Pediatric trauma patients sustaining blunt abdominal trauma (BAT) with intra-abdominal injury (IAI) are frequently admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). This study was performed to identify predictors for ICU admission following BAT. METHODS: Prospective study of children (\u3c 16 years) who presented to 14 Level-One Pediatric Trauma Centers following BAT over a 1-year period. Patients were categorized as ICU or non-ICU patients. Data collected included vitals, physical exam findings, laboratory results, imaging, and traumatic injuries. A multivariable hierarchical logistic regression model was used to identify predictors of ICU admission. Predictive ability of the model was assessed via tenfold cross-validated area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (cvAUC). RESULTS: Included were 2,182 children with 21% (n = 463) admitted to the ICU. On univariate analysis, ICU patients were associated with abnormal age-adjusted shock index, increased injury severity scores (ISS), lower Glasgow coma scores (GCS), traumatic brain injury (TBI), and severe solid organ injury (SOI). With multivariable logistic regression, factors associated with ICU admission were severe trauma (ISS \u3e 15), anemia (hematocrit \u3c 30), severe TBI (GCS \u3c 8), cervical spine injury, skull fracture, and severe solid organ injury. The cvAUC for the multivariable model was 0.91 (95% CI 0.88-0.92). CONCLUSION: Severe solid organ injury and traumatic brain injury, in association with multisystem trauma, appear to drive ICU admission in pediatric patients with BAT. These results may inform the design of a trauma bay prediction rule to assist in optimizing ICU resource utilization after BAT. STUDY DESIGN: Prognosis study