Modulation of neutral interstellar He, Ne, O in the heliosphere. Survival probabilities and abundances at IBEX

Direct sampling of neutral interstellar (NIS) atoms by the Interstellar Boundary Explorer (IBEX) can potentially provide a complementary method for studying element abundances in the Local Interstellar Cloud and processes in the heliosphere interface.}{We set the stage for abundance-aimed in-depth analysis of measurements of NIS He, Ne, and O by IBEX and determine systematic differences between abundances derived from various calculation methods and their uncertainties.}{Using a model of ionization rates of the NIS species in the heliosphere, based on independent measurements of the solar wind and solar EUV radiation, we develop a time-dependent method of calculating the survival probabilities of NIS atoms from the termination shock (TS) of the solar wind to IBEX. With them, we calculate densities of these species along the Earth's orbit and simulate the fluxes of NIS species as observed by IBEX. We study pairwise ratios of survival probabilities, densities and fluxes of NIS species at IBEX to calculate correction factors for inferring the abundances at TS.}{The analytic method to calculate the survival probabilities gives acceptable results only for He and Ne during low solar activity. For the remaining portions of the solar cycle, and at all times for O, a fully time dependent model should be used. Electron impact ionization is surprisingly important for NIS O. Interpreting the IBEX observations using the time dependent model yields the LIC Ne/O abundance of $0.16\pm40$. The uncertainty is mostly due to uncertainties in the ionization rates and in the NIS gas flow vector.}{The Ne/He, O/He and Ne/O ratios for survival probabilities, local densities, and fluxes scaled to TS systematically differ and thus an analysis based only on survival probabilities or densities is not recommended, except the Ne/O abundance for observations at low solar activity.Comment: Astronomy & Astrophysics, in press. Language and editing corrections implemente

Neutral interstellar He parameters in front of the heliosphere 1994--2007

Analysis of IBEX measurements of neutral interstellar He flux brought the inflow velocity vector different from the results of earlier analysis of observations from GAS/Ulysses. Recapitulation of results on the helium inflow direction from the past ~40 years suggested that the inflow direction may be changing with time. We reanalyze the old Ulysses data and reprocess them to increase the accuracy of the instrument pointing to investigate if the GAS observations support the hypothesis that the interstellar helium inflow direction is changing. We employ a similar analysis method as in the analysis of the IBEX data. We seek a parameter set that minimizes reduced chi-squared, using the Warsaw Test Particle Model for the interstellar He flux at Ulysses with a state of the art model of neutral He ionization in the heliosphere, and precisely reproducing the observation conditions. We also propose a supplementary method of constraining the parameters based on cross-correlations of parameters obtained from analysis of carefully selected subsets of data. We find that the ecliptic longitude and speed of interstellar He are in a very good agreement with the values reported in the original GAS analysis. We find, however, that the temperature is markedly higher. The 3-seasons optimum parameter set is lambda = 255.3, beta = 6, v = 26.0 km/s, T = 7500 K. We find no evidence that it is varying with time, but the uncertainty range is larger than originally reported. The originally-derived parameters of interstellar He from GAS are in good agreement with presently derived, except for the temperature, which seems to be appreciably higher, in good agreement with interstellar absorption line results. While the results of the present analysis are in marginal agreement with the earlier reported results from IBEX, the most likely values from the two analyses differ for reasons that are still not understood.Comment: submitted for publication in Astronomy & Astrophysic