Predictors of adverse prognosis in COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: Identification of reliable outcome predictors in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is of paramount importance for improving patient's management. Methods: A systematic review of literature was conducted until 24 April 2020. From 6843 articles, 49 studies were selected for a pooled assessment; cumulative statistics for age and sex were retrieved in 587 790 and 602 234 cases. Two endpoints were defined: (a) a composite outcome including death, severe presentation, hospitalization in the intensive care unit (ICU) and/or mechanical ventilation; and (b) in-hospital mortality. We extracted numeric data on patients’ characteristics and cases with adverse outcomes and employed inverse variance random-effects models to derive pooled estimates. Results: We identified 18 and 12 factors associated with the composite endpoint and death, respectively. Among those, a history of CVD (odds ratio (OR) = 3.15, 95% confidence intervals (CIs) 2.26-4.41), acute cardiac (OR = 10.58, 5.00-22.40) or kidney (OR = 5.13, 1.78-14.83) injury, increased procalcitonin (OR = 4.8, 2.034-11.31) or D-dimer (OR = 3.7, 1.74-7.89), and thrombocytopenia (OR = 6.23, 1.031-37.67) conveyed the highest odds for the adverse composite endpoint. Advanced age, male sex, cardiovascular comorbidities, acute cardiac or kidney injury, lymphocytopenia and D-dimer conferred an increased risk of in-hospital death. With respect to the treatment of the acute phase, therapy with steroids was associated with the adverse composite endpoint (OR = 3.61, 95% CI 1.934-6.73), but not with mortality. Conclusions: Advanced age, comorbidities, abnormal inflammatory and organ injury circulating biomarkers captured patients with an adverse clinical outcome. Clinical history and laboratory profile may then help identify patients with a higher risk of in-hospital mortality

Opening the Floor to PLCs and IPCs: CODESYS in UNICOS

This paper presents the integration of a third industrial programming environment for process control applications with the UNICOS (Unified Industrial Control System) framework at CERN. The UNICOS framework is widely used in many process control domains (e.g. Cryogenics, Cooling, Gas Systems

Cardiovascular disease in juvenile idiopathic arthritis

Juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA), is a term used to describe a group of inflammatory disorders beginning before the age of 16 years. Although for the majority of children remission is achieved early, those with systemic or polyarticular form of the disease may present persistent symptoms in adulthood. Considering that there is overlap in the pathogenesis of JIA with adult rheumatic diseases, concerns have been raised as to whether JIA patients could be at increased cardiovascular (CV) risk in the long-term. In this review, we summarize evidence for CV involvement in JIA and present data on CV risk factors and surrogate markers of arterial disease. We also provide information on beneficial and harmful CV effects of anti-inflammatory medications in the context of JIA and suggest strategies for CV screening. Overall, patients with systemic forms of JIA demonstrate an adverse lipid profile and early arterial changes relevant to accelerated arterial disease progression. Although there is paucity of data on CV outcomes, we recommend a holistic approach in the management of JIA patients, which includes CV risk factor monitoring and lifestyle modification as well as use, when necessary, of anti-inflammatory therapies with documented CV safety. © 2020 Bentham Science Publishers

Left ventricular ejection fraction as therapeutic target: is it the ideal marker?

Heart failure (HF) consists the fastest growing clinical cardiac disease. HF patients are categorized on the basis of underlying left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) into HF with preserved EF (HFpEF), reduced LVEF (HFrEF), and mid-range LVEF (HFmrEF). While LVEF is the most commonly used surrogate marker of left ventricular (LV) systolic function, the implementation of two-dimensional echocardiography in estimating this parameter imposes certain caveats on current HF classification. Most importantly, LVEF could fluctuate in repeated measurements or even recover after treatment, thus blunting the borders between proposed categories of HF and enabling upward classification of patients. Under this prism, we sought to summarize possible procedures to improve systolic function in patients with HFrEF either naturally or by the means of pharmacologic and non-pharmacologic treatment and devices. Therefore, we reviewed established pharmacotherapy, including beta-blockers, inhibitors of renin–angiotensin–aldosterone axis, statins, and digoxin as well as novel treatments like sacubitril–valsartan, ranolazine, and ivabradine. In addition, we assessed evidence in favor of cardiac resynchronization therapy and exercise training programs. Finally, innovative therapeutic strategies, including stem cells, xanthine oxidase inhibitors, antibiotic regimens, and omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids, were also taken into consideration. We concluded that LVEF is subject to changes in HF after intervention and besides the aforementioned HFrEF, HFpEF, and HFmrEF categories, a new entity of HF patients with recovered LVEF should be acknowledged. An improved global and refined LV function assessment by sophisticated imaging modalities and circulating biomarkers is expected to render HF classification more accurate and indicate patients with viable—yet dysfunctional—myocardium and favorable characteristics as the ideal candidates for LVEF recovery by individualized HF therapy. © 2017, Springer Science+Business Media New York

Liver fibrosis staging with combination of APRI and FIB-4 scoring systems in chronic hepatitis C as an alternative to transient elastography

Background Liver disease severity must be determined before treatment of chronic hepatitis C (CHC). We evaluated the diagnostic performance of the APRI and FIB-4 scores compared to transient elastography liver stiffness (TE-LS) in detecting significant fibrosis (F3) or cirrhosis (F4). Methods We retrospectively enrolled 575 patients with CHC who underwent TE-LS between May 2014 and September 2018: 365 (63.5%) male, mean age 51.54±12.4 years. APRI and FIB-4 scores were compared to TE-LS. Results One hundred patients (17.5%) had TE-LS values between 9 and 11.9 kPa, and were classified as F3, while 265 (46%) were classified as F4 (TE-LS ≥12 kPa). APRI and FIB-4 scores predicted F4 patients adequately using cutoff values of 0.65 (sensitivity 85.5%, specificity 77%) and 1.63 (sensitivity 91%, specificity 77%), respectively. Cutoff values of 0.64 for APRI and 1.46 for FIB-4 predicted F3/F4 patients (sensitivity 72% and 81.5%; specificity 83% and 79%, respectively). The use of these cutoff values with APRI and FIB-4 in combination adequately predicted patients with significant fibrosis or cirrhosis (positive predictive value 91.5%), while cutoff values of 0.3 and 0.98, respectively, predicted F1/F2 patients with specificity 94.5% and sensitivity 26.5%, suggesting that in 58.5% of patients TE-LS could possibly be avoided. Conclusions The APRI/FIB-4 combination performed well in predicting significant fibrosis, while FIB-4 performed well in predicting cirrhosis. These noninvasive biochemical markers could be used as screening tools instead of LS measurement, which is not widely available. Further prospective validation studies are required to confirm this finding. © 2019 Hellenic Society of Gastroenterology

Direct-acting antiviral treatment for chronic hepatitis C in people who use drugs in a real-world setting

Background Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) offer high cure rates in people who inject drugs (PWID) with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. There are concerns regarding lower response rates among PWID in real life. We evaluated the outcome of DAA therapy in PWID in a real-world setting and the factors that affect it. Methods We performed a retrospective analysis of 174 PWID with chronic hepatitis C who started DAAs in a Greek liver clinic in collaboration with an addiction program. Patients who did not return for reassessment were considered as lost to follow up (LTFU). A logistic regression model was used to assess factors associated with a sustained virological response 12 weeks after treatment completion (SVR12) and LTFU. Results Patients’ mean age was 48±9.2 years and 91/174 (52.3%) were attending opioid substitution treatment programs. Overall, 144/174 (82.8%) patients completed therapy and presented for SVR12 testing, 8/174 (4.6%) did not complete treatment and 22/174 (12.6%) were LTFU. Overall SVR12 was 79.9% (139/174). For those with an available SVR12 test the response rate reached 96.5% (139/144). Regression analysis did not indicate any significant association between patient characteristics and SVR12. Age <45 years and genotype 3 were independent predictors of LTFU. Parallel use was found to have a trend towards LTFU. Conclusions HCV treatment by hepatologists and addiction specialists is feasible, effective and safe in a real-world setting. However, as 12% of patients appear to be LTFU, more emphasis should be placed on interventions guaranteeing follow up for SVR testing and general care. © 2020 Hellenic Society of Gastroenterology

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and hypertension: Coprevalent or correlated?

Objective To provide a comprehensive review summarizing the existing evidence on the association between nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and hypertension (HT) independent of other components of metabolic syndrome. Methods We searched the literature through Medline and the Cochrane Library for studies evaluating the relationship between hypertension and fatty liver disease. Results Studies testing this association are limited, but agree that HT and fatty liver disease are inter-related independent of other components of the metabolic syndrome such as obesity and diabetes mellitus. Clinical evidence shows that NAFLD is associated with new-onset HT, whereas increased blood pressure is related to the development of fatty liver disease and the possible subsequent progression to liver fibrosis. Insulin resistance and activation of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) might provide potential pathophysiologic links between these clinical entities. Until further evidence is available, patients with HT should be meticulously evaluated and treated for fatty liver disease and vice versa. RAAS inhibitors have been tested in NAFLD, presenting a favorable profile by decreasing insulin resistance and fibrosis progression. Conclusion NAFLD and HT are associated independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors. Insulin resistance appears to be the main linking mechanism. Although RAAS inhibitors are the most beneficial treatment option for HT in patients with NAFLD, randomized studies on the administration of these agents in HT patients with NAFDL are warranted to provide optimal treatment options in these high cardiovascular risk individuals. © 2018 Wolters Kluwer Health, Inc. All rights reserved

Free androgen index as a determinant of arterial stiffness in menopause: A mediation analysis

Objective: Associations of endogenous androgens in menopause with blood pressure (BP) and indices of arterial stiffness are reported, but directional relationships are not clear. Structural equation modeling is a contemporary statistical method, which allows assessment of such relationships and improves pathway understanding. Methods: We recruited 411 consecutive apparently healthy postmenopausal women who underwent noninvasive vascular evaluation. This included pulse wave analysis (aortic pressures and arterial wave reflections [augmentation index]), measurement of aortic stiffness by pulse wave velocity (PWV), stiffness index (SI), and flow-mediated dilatation. A cumulative marker combining PWV and SI (combined local and aortic arterial stiffness [CAS]) was also assessed. Free androgen index (FAI) was calculated from circulating total testosterone and sex hormone-binding globulin. Results: FAI was an independent determinant of systolic BP (SBP) (P=0.032), SI (P=0.042), and PWV (P=0.027). Under structural equation modeling analysis, FAI was a direct predictor for PWV (beta=0.149, P=0.014), SI (beta=0.154, P=0.022), and CAS (beta=0.193, P=0.02), whereas SBP was a parallel mediator of androgen's vascular effects on PWV (beta=0.280, P<0.001) and CAS (beta=0.248, P=0.004), but not SI (beta=0.024, P=0.404). FAI-induced increase in arterial stiffness via flow-mediated dilatation was not established. FAI was not a determinant of augmentation index. Conclusions: In healthy postmenopausal women, FAI was directly associated with PWV, SI, and CAS. FAI also directly correlated with SBP, which in turn concurrently increased PWV and CAS. The directional correlations found herein, imply that endogenous androgens may be causally associated with indices of arterial stiffness both directly and indirectly. This hypothesis should be confirmed in further studies with causal design. © 2017 by The North American Menopause Society

Predictors of adverse prognosis in COVID-19: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: Identification of reliable outcome predictors in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is of paramount importance for improving patient's management. Methods: A systematic review of literature was conducted until 24 April 2020. From 6843 articles, 49 studies were selected for a pooled assessment; cumulative statistics for age and sex were retrieved in 587 790 and 602 234 cases. Two endpoints were defined: (a) a composite outcome including death, severe presentation, hospitalization in the intensive care unit (ICU) and/or mechanical ventilation; and (b) in-hospital mortality. We extracted numeric data on patients’ characteristics and cases with adverse outcomes and employed inverse variance random-effects models to derive pooled estimates. Results: We identified 18 and 12 factors associated with the composite endpoint and death, respectively. Among those, a history of CVD (odds ratio (OR) = 3.15, 95% confidence intervals (CIs) 2.26-4.41), acute cardiac (OR = 10.58, 5.00-22.40) or kidney (OR = 5.13, 1.78-14.83) injury, increased procalcitonin (OR = 4.8, 2.034-11.31) or D-dimer (OR = 3.7, 1.74-7.89), and thrombocytopenia (OR = 6.23, 1.031-37.67) conveyed the highest odds for the adverse composite endpoint. Advanced age, male sex, cardiovascular comorbidities, acute cardiac or kidney injury, lymphocytopenia and D-dimer conferred an increased risk of in-hospital death. With respect to the treatment of the acute phase, therapy with steroids was associated with the adverse composite endpoint (OR = 3.61, 95% CI 1.934-6.73), but not with mortality. Conclusions: Advanced age, comorbidities, abnormal inflammatory and organ injury circulating biomarkers captured patients with an adverse clinical outcome. Clinical history and laboratory profile may then help identify patients with a higher risk of in-hospital mortality. © 2020 Stichting European Society for Clinical Investigation Journal Foundatio

Comparison of point-shear wave elastography (ElastPQ) and transient elastography (FibroScan) for liver fibrosis staging in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Background and Aims: ElastPQ is a point shear wave elastography technique used to non-invasively assess liver fibrosis. We compared liver stiffness measurements (LSM) by ElastPQ and fibroscan transient elastography (F-TE) in a cohort of patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). We further evaluated the performance of ElastPQ in a subgroup of patients with available liver histology. Materials and Methods: We included patients with NAFLD who presented in a dedicated multidisciplinary clinic. Anthropometric parameters, blood tests and elastography measurements were obtained using F-TE and ElastPQ as part of routine clinical care. Results: We enrolled 671 patients with NAFLD, mean age 55.8 ± 13 years, body mass index (BMI) 31.5 ± 5.7 kg/m2, 56.6% males, 41% diabetes, 53.7% hypertension, 68% dyslipidaemia. ElastPQ showed an excellent correlation with F-TE (Spearman's r = 0.80, p 2 kPa discrepancy between the two techniques were a larger waist circumference and F-TE ≥10 kPa. In the subgroup of 159 patients with available histology, ElastPQ showed similar diagnostic accuracy with F-TE in staging liver fibrosis (ElastPQ area under the curves 0.84, 0.83, 0.86 and 0.95, for F ≥ 1, F ≥ 2, F ≥ 3 and F = 4 respectively). Optimal cut-off values of ElastPQ for individual fibrosis stages were lower than those of F-TE. Conclusions: ElastPQ shows an excellent correlation with F-TE in patients with NAFLD, which was better for lower LSM. The optimal cut-off values of ElastPQ are lower than those of F-TE for individual stages of fibrosis. ElastPQ has similar diagnostic accuracy to F-TE for all stages of fibrosis