Risk aversion, efficient markets and the forward exchange rate

Foreign exchange futures ; Foreign exchange rates ; Interest rates

Testing the expectations model of the term structure: some conjectures on the effects of institutional changes

Interest rates ; Rational expectations (Economic theory)

U.S.–China trade war and corporate reallocation:Evidence from Chinese listed companies

This paper applies a difference-in-differences framework to explore the economic consequences of the recent U.S.–China trade war. The average abnormal returns of Chinese listed firms during a period centered on President Trump's announcement on 22 March 2018 are taken as a proxy for the firms' exposure to the potential trade war. Firms more negatively exposed are found, surprisingly, to report higher total revenues in the post-announcement period. The results indicate that the Chinese firms tend to reallocate their business from overseas to the domestic market. Such within-firm reallocation is found to be more pronounced among private firms, exporting firms and non-FDI firms. Besides, firms with higher negative exposure increase total investment and financing but decrease foreign investment after the trade war

The Conditional Heteroscedasticity of the Yen-Dollar Exchange Rates

Journal of Applied Econometrics13149-5