Roll-Back Eradication of Bovine Tuberculosis (TB) From Wildlife in New Zealand: Concepts, Evolving Approaches, and Progress

The New Zealand government and agricultural industries recently jointly adopted the goal of nationally eradicating bovine tuberculosis (TB) from livestock and wildlife reservoirs by 2055. Only Australia has eradicated TB from a wildlife maintenance host. Elsewhere the disease is often self-sustaining in a variety of wildlife hosts, usually making eradication an intractable problem. The New Zealand strategy for eradicating TB from wildlife is based on quantitative assessment using a Bayesian “Proof of Freedom” framework. This is used to assess the probability that TB has been locally eradicated from a given area. Here we describe the framework (the concepts, methods and tools used to assess TB freedom and how they are being applied and updated). We then summarize recent decision theory research aimed at optimizing the balance between the risk of falsely declaring areas free and the risk of overspending on disease management when the disease is already locally extinct. We explore potential new approaches for further optimizing the allocation of management resources, especially for places where existing methods are impractical or expensive, including using livestock as sentinels. We also describe how the progressive roll-back of locally eradicated areas scales up operationally and quantitatively to achieve and confirm eradication success over the entire country. Lastly, we review the progress made since the framework was first formally adopted in 2011. We conclude that eradication of TB from New Zealand is feasible, and that we are well on the way to achieving this outcome

The Grizzly, February 27, 1987

Depts., Dean, Court New Faculty Free Agent Team • No Busts, But Bummer Booze Bar Dims Lorelei • Grizzly Poll Points Couple to Final Home • Letters: Impossible Crossings?; Adoption Instead of Abortion; Plea for Soviet Jewry • Ecoliers de Francais: Fly to France Pour Parler • Treasuring Modern Art Takes Time ... And Protest • Men\u27s B-Ball Sponsors Art Auction • Fencing Alive at Ursinus • Bears, 20-3, Looking for Fourth or Better at MAC • Swimmers to Celebrate Wins With Skins • Women Runners Capture MAC Title • Men\u27s Track Runs Third at MAC\u27s • Swimmin\u27 Women Go to MAC\u27s • Notes: Meistersingers\u27 50th Tour; Chambliss Family Lecture; Upcoming Forum Scheduled • Bear Dave Durst Dominates Entering MAC Tourney • Migliore Caps Nine-Letter Career with Athlete of the Week Honors • Two U.C. Gymnasts Go to Nat\u27ls • Robert Cray Band\u27s Strong Persuader Receives a B plushttps://digitalcommons.ursinus.edu/grizzlynews/1183/thumbnail.jp

Patient views and correlates of radiotherapy omission in a population‐based sample of older women with favorable‐prognosis breast cancer

Peer Reviewedhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/144597/1/cncr31378_am.pdfhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/144597/2/cncr31378.pd

The Grizzly, October 10, 1986

POD / LCB Dysfunction • Salinger Files Suit • Trials Near End on the Trail to Sisterhood • Letters: Milking Them for Their Money; Airing Dirty Laundry; We Value our Pledges • Ursinus Lends Itself to Powerful Homecoming Pull • Musser on the Move: a Resident\u27s Recollection • Hooking That Big 12 Incher • Grizzlies Gain Respect in Heartbreaking 30-25 Loss • Bear Booters Losing Games and Players • Lady Bears Suffer Their First Shutout Then Beat Lafayette in OT • Impressive Performances Power X-Country to 2-0 • NCAA Champs Honored at Homecoming Dinner • Athlete of the Week: Runner Mike Griffin • Lady Runners Keep Shining • Feature on the Feature Writer • Four of UC\u27s Best To Sing at PCC Festival • Extra-Curricular Activities: The Bicycle Club • Catch the Big Edsel Band!https://digitalcommons.ursinus.edu/grizzlynews/1171/thumbnail.jp

Treatment experiences of Latinas after diagnosis of breast cancer

Peer Reviewedhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/138310/1/cncr30702.pdfhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/138310/2/cncr30702_am.pd

Implementaion of Regional Burnt Area Algorithms for the GBA2000 initiative

Technical Report - Global Burnt Area 200

Planet Hunters. VIII. Characterization of 41 Long-Period Exoplanet Candidates from Kepler Archival Data

The census of exoplanets is incomplete for orbital distances larger than 1 AU. Here, we present 41 long-period planet candidates in 38 systems identified by Planet Hunters based on Kepler archival data (Q0-Q17). Among them, 17 exhibit only one transit, 14 have two visible transits and 10 have more than three visible transits. For planet candidates with only one visible transit, we estimate their orbital periods based on transit duration and host star properties. The majority of the planet candidates in this work (75%) have orbital periods that correspond to distances of 1-3 AU from their host stars. We conduct follow-up imaging and spectroscopic observations to validate and characterize planet host stars. In total, we obtain adaptive optics images for 33 stars to search for possible blending sources. Six stars have stellar companions within 4". We obtain high-resolution spectra for 6 stars to determine their physical properties. Stellar properties for other stars are obtained from the NASA Exoplanet Archive and the Kepler Stellar Catalog by Huber et al. (2014). We validate 7 planet candidates that have planet confidence over 0.997 (3-{\sigma} level). These validated planets include 3 single-transit planets (KIC-3558849b, KIC-5951458b, and KIC-8540376c), 3 planets with double transits (KIC-8540376b, KIC-9663113b, and KIC-10525077b), and 1 planet with 4 transits (KIC-5437945b). This work provides assessment regarding the existence of planets at wide separations and the associated false positive rate for transiting observation (17%-33%). More than half of the long-period planets with at least three transits in this paper exhibit transit timing variations up to 41 hours, which suggest additional components that dynamically interact with the transiting planet candidates. The nature of these components can be determined by follow-up radial velocity and transit observations.Comment: Published on ApJ, 815, 127 Notations of validated planets are changed in accordance with naming convention of NASA Exoplanet Archiv

The Grizzly, February 14, 1986

Eckman Speaks on Corporate Takeovers • Students to Lose Booze? • Alcohol Restrictions Plague Neighboring Campuses • Campus Memo: Get and Stay Involved • Proposal Raises Serious Questions • Students Speak Out On Alcohol • Profile: Dr. Fago • Editorial: Drug Use Could Fill Vacuum • Letters: UC. Should Get Out of the Business; Alpha Chi Sigma Needs Support; Sauna Controversy Heats up; Fire Alarms are not Toys!; False Alarm Jeopardized Safety • Nursing Homes Part III: MCGRC\u27s Sordid Past • Bears Face Widener in the Big Game • Racich Praises Grapplers • Lady Swimmers Top Susquehanna • Women\u27s B-ball Finale • Confident \u27Mers\u27 Win Again • Track Records Set at Delaware • Heather Camp: Swimming\u27s Leading Lady • Forum: Human Rights in Latin America • Wenhold Awarded for Service • Ursinus in California • U.S. Trade Policy • A Peek at U.C.\u27s Favorite TVhttps://digitalcommons.ursinus.edu/grizzlynews/1157/thumbnail.jp