Cognitive rationality and alternative belief measures

International audienc

Non-additive degrees of belief

This paper starts from the position that belief is primarily quantitative and not categorical, i.e. we generally assume the existence of various degrees of belief. This corresponds to the observation that most human beings experience belief as a matter of degree. We follow the usual convention that such degrees of belief are values i

A mathematical theory of evidence for G.L.S. Shackle

Decision theory, cognition, novel events,