32 research outputs found

    A Method Using Longitudinal Laboratory Data to Predict Future Intestinal Complication in Patients with Crohn\u27s Disease

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    Background Stenosis, fistulization, and perforation of the bowel are severe outcomes which can occur in patients with Crohn’s disease. Accurate prediction of these events may enable clinicians to alter treatment strategies and avoid these outcomes. Aims To study the correlation between longitudinal laboratory testing and subsequent intestinal complications in patients with Crohn’s disease. Methods An observational cohort of patients with Crohn’s disease at a single center were analyzed between 01/01/1994 and 06/30/2016. A complication was defined as the development of an intestinal fistula, stenosis, or perforation. Exploratory analysis using Cox regression was performed to select the best statistical method to represent longitudinal laboratory data. Cox regression was used to identify laboratory variables independently associated with the development of a subsequent complication. A clinical scoring tool was designed. Results In 246 patients observed over a median of 5.72 years, 134 complications occurred. Minimum or maximum value in a preceding window period of one year was most strongly associated with subsequent complication. A Longitudinal Laboratory score of ≥ 2 (maximum albumin level \u3c 39 g/L = 1, maximum mean cell volume \u3c 88 fL = 1, minimum platelet count \u3e 355 × 109/L = 1, minimum C reactive protein \u3e 5 mg/L = 1) was 62% sensitive and 91% specific in identifying patients who develop a subsequent complication. Conclusion A consistent reduction in serum albumin and mean cell volume, and a consistent increase in platelet count and C reactive protein were associated with a subsequent complication in patients with Crohn’s disease. Longitudinal laboratory tests may be used as described in this paper to provide a rational for earlier escalation of therapy

    Multiple sclerosis genomic map implicates peripheral immune cells and microglia in susceptibility

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    A rolling phenotype in Crohn's disease

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    Background and aim: The Montreal classification of disease behaviour in Crohn's disease describes progression of disease towards a stricturing and penetrating phenotype. In the present paper, we propose an alternative representation of the long-term course of Crohn's disease complications, the rolling phenotype. As is commonly observed in clinical practice, this definition allows progression to a more severe phenotype (stricturing, penetrating) but also, regression to a less severe behaviour (inflammatory, or remission) over time. Methods: All patients diagnosed with Crohn's Disease between 01/01/1994 and 01/03/2008, managed at a single centre and observed for a minimum of 5 years, had development and resolution of all complications recorded. A rolling phenotype was defined at each time point based on all observed complications in the three years prior to the time point. Phenotype was defined as B1, B2, B3, or B23 (penetrating and stenotic). The progression over time of the rolling phenotype was compared to that of the cumulative Montreal phenotype. Results: 305 patients were observed a median of 10.0 (Intraquartile range 7.3-13.7) years. Longitudinal progression of rolling phenotype demonstrated a consistent proportion of patients with B1 (70%), B2 (20%), B3 (5%) and B23 (5%) phenotypes. These proportions were observed regardless of initial phenotype. In contrast, the cumulative Montreal phenotype progressed towards a more severe phenotype with time (B1 (39%), B2 (26%), B3(35%) at 10 years). Conclusion: A rolling phenotype provides an alternative view of the longitudinal burden of intra-abdominal complications in Crohn's disease. From this viewpoint, 70% of patients have durable freedom from complication over time (>3 years)

    The effect of pre-admission immunosuppression on colectomy rates in acute severe ulcerative colitis

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    Background: Patients on immunosuppression at the time of acute severe ulcerative colitis have been suggested to be at a higher risk of colectomy than those who are treatment-naive. The aim of this study was to examine the effect of immunosuppressive therapy on the risk of colectomy. Method: We conducted a retrospective observational cohort study using prospective data examining the 30 day and 1 year colectomy rates of 200 consecutive patients with an index episode of acute severe ulcerative colitis as defined by the Truelove and Witts criteria. Results: Immunosuppression on admission was shown not to increase colectomy rate at 30 days post-admission (immunomodulator: p = 0.422, oral steroids: p = 0.555). A total of 24 patients underwent colectomy between 30 days and 1 year. A three-fold higher risk of colectomy at 1 year was seen in those requiring an immunomodulator prior to the index admission compared with those started de novo during the index admission [41% versus 14% odds ratio (OR): 2.93 (1.19-7.24 p = 0.016)]. Factors most predictive of colectomy at 30 days were abdominal radiographic colonic dilation > 5.5 cm, first presentation of ulcerative colitis, C-reactive protein > 45 mg/l on day 3 of therapy and bowel frequency > 8 on day 3. Conclusion: The need for an immunomodulator prior to admission with acute severe ulcerative colitis increases the medium-term colectomy rate by three-fold at 1 year. Prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings and develop strategies to reduce the high risk in this subgroup of patients
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