The role of super-spreaders in modeling of SARS-CoV-2

In stochastic modeling of infectious diseases, it has been established that variations in infectivity affect the probability of a major outbreak, but not the shape of the curves during a major outbreak, which is predicted by deterministic models [Diekmann et al., 2012]. However, such conclusions are derived under idealized assumptions such as the population size tending to infinity, and the individual degree of infectivity only depending on variations in the infectiousness period. In this paper we show that the same conclusions hold true in a finite population representing a medium size city, where the degree of infectivity is determined by the offspring distribution, which we try to make as realistic as possible for SARS-CoV-2. In particular, we consider distributions with fat tails, to incorporate the existence of super-spreaders. We also provide new theoretical results on convergence of stochastic models which allows to incorporate any offspring distribution with a finite variance

Das Erbe der Väter welches mein gottseliger Vater Moses Kalischer in Thorn seinen Kindern hinterließ : nebst einen Anfang von einigen seiner Vorträge, die derselbe jeden Sonnabend in der Gemeinde zu Thorn vorgetragen hat /

Transcriptions of sermons delivered by Moses Kalischer on Sabbath days to the Jewish community in Thorn (now Toruń, Poland), transcribed by his son Meyer. The sermons often use a quote or story from the Torah as a basis from which to elaborate a more general moral.Dina KalischerMoses Kalischer, born circa 1790 in Lissa, died in Thorn.A handwritten synopsis is filed with the manuscript.Processed for digitizationSent for digitizationReturned from digitizationLinked to online manifestationdigitize

Die Zukunft der Hochschulen: Ueberlegungen fuer e. zukunftsorientierte Hochschulpolitik

SIGLEAvailable from Bibliothek des Instituts fuer Weltwirtschaft, ZBW, Duesternbrook Weg 120, D-24105 Kiel A 175924 / FIZ - Fachinformationszzentrum Karlsruhe / TIB - Technische InformationsbibliothekDEGerman

Hochschule - Wirtschaft - Arbeitswelt: Jahresversammlung 1989 ; Ansprachen, Referate und Dispute, Plenardiskussionen ; Hamburg, 7. - 9. Mai 1989

SIGLEAvailable from Bibliothek des Instituts fuer Weltwirtschaft, ZBW, Duesternbrook Weg 120, D-24105 Kiel A 184048 / FIZ - Fachinformationszzentrum Karlsruhe / TIB - Technische InformationsbibliothekDEGerman