Lateral transfer in Stochastic Dollo models

Lateral transfer, a process whereby species exchange evolutionary traits through non-ancestral relationships, is a frequent source of model misspecification in phylogenetic inference. Lateral transfer obscures the phylogenetic signal in the data as the histories of affected traits are mosaics of the overall phylogeny. We control for the effect of lateral transfer in a Stochastic Dollo model and a Bayesian setting. Our likelihood is highly intractable as the parameters are the solution of a sequence of large systems of differential equations representing the expected evolution of traits along a tree. We illustrate our method on a data set of lexical traits in Eastern Polynesian languages and obtain an improved fit over the corresponding model without lateral transfer.Comment: Improvements suggested by reviewer

Subsonic sphere drag measurements at intermediate Reynolds numbers

Wind tunnel drag measurements on subsonic spher

Carbon and titanium diboride (TiB2) multilayer coatings.

Titanium Diboride, (TiB2) is a metal-based refractory ceramic material that has been investigated in industrial applications ranging from, cutting tools to wear parts and for use in the aerospace industry. The unique properties which make this material so fascinating are, its high hardness, high melting point and its corrosion resistance. TiB2 is prevented from wider mainstream use because of its inherent brittle nature. With a view to overcome this in coating form and with the aim of providing in addition inherent lubricity, in this study 50 layer TiB2/C multilayer stacks have been fabricated, with varying volume fractions of ceramic, whereby the interfaces of the layers limit crack propagation in the TiB2 ceramic. TiB2 has been multilayered with carbon, to make use of the unique and hybrid nature of the bonding in carbon coatings. DC magnetron sputtering with substrate bias was the preferred route for the fabrication of these coatings. AISI tool steel has been used as the substrate material. By varying the amount of TiB2 ceramic from 50% to 95%, the Hardness of the coating is seen to increase from 5 GPa to 17GPa. The Hardness is observed to decrease as a function of increasing carbon content, agreeing with other studies that the carbon layers are not load-bearing. The graphitic nature of the sp2 bond, however, acts as a lubricant layer

A study of two phase detonation as it relates to rocket motor combustion instability

Two-phase detonation in rocket motor combustion instability - production of monodisperse spray

Effect of microstructure and temperature on the erosion rates and mechanisms of modified EB PVD TBCs

Thermal barrier coatings (TBCs) have now been used in gas turbine engines for a number of decades and are now considered to be an accepted technology. As there is a constant drive to increase the turbine entry temperature, in order to increase engine efficiency, the coatings operate in increasingly hostile environments. Thus there is a constant drive to both increase the temperature capabilities of TBCs while at the same time reducing their thermal conductivities. The thermal conductivity of standard 7 wt% yttria stabilized zirconia (7YSZ) electron beam (EB) physical vapour deposited (PVD) TBCs can be reduced in two ways: the first by modification of the microstructure of the TBC and the second by addition of ternary oxides. By modifying the microstructure of the TBC such that there are more fine pores, more photon scattering centres are introduced into the coatings, which reduce the heat transfer by radiation. While ternary oxides will introduce lattice defects into the coating, which increases the phonon scattering, thus reducing the thermal conductivity via lattice vibrations. Unfortunately, both of these methods can have a negative effect on the erosion resistance of EB PVD TBCs. This paper compares the relative erosion rates of ten different EB PVD TBCs tested at 90à ° impact at room temperature and at high temperature and discusses the results in term of microstructural and temperature effects. It was found that by modifying the coating deposition, such that a low density coating with a highly â  featheredâ  microstructure formed, generally resulted in an increase in the erosion rate at room temperature. When there was a significant change between the room temperature and the high temperature erosion mechanism it was accompanied by a significant decrease in the erosion rate, while additions of dopents was found to significantly increase the erosion rate at room and high temperature. However, all the modified coatings still had a lower erosion rate than a plasma sprayed coatings. So, although, relative to a standard 7YSZ coating, the modified coatings have a lower erosion resistance, they still perform better than PS TBCs and their lower thermal conductivities could make them viable alternatives to 7YSZ for use in gas turbine en

When Is Domestic Political Unrest Related to International Conflict? Diversionary Theory and Japanese Foreign Policy, 1890–19411

Peer Reviewedhttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/146888/1/j.1468-2478.2010.00620.x.pd

TraitLab: a Matlab package for fitting and simulating binary tree-like data

TraitLab is a software package for simulating, fitting and analysing tree-like binary data under a stochastic Dollo model of evolution. The model also allows for rate heterogeneity through catastrophes, evolutionary events where many traits are simultaneously lost while new ones arise, and borrowing, whereby traits transfer laterally between species as well as through ancestral relationships. The core of the package is a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling algorithm that enables the user to sample from the Bayesian joint posterior distribution for tree topologies, clade and root ages, and the trait loss, catastrophe and borrowing rates for a given data set. Data can be simulated according to the fitted Dollo model or according to a number of generalized models that allow for heterogeneity in the trait loss rate, biases in the data collection process and borrowing of traits between lineages. Coupled pairs of Markov chains can be used to diagnose MCMC mixing and convergence and to debias MCMC estimators. The raw data, MCMC run output, and model fit can be inspected using a number of useful graphical and analytical tools provided within the package or imported into other popular analysis programs. TraitLab is freely available and runs within the Matlab computing environment with its Statistics and Machine Learning toolbox, no other additional toolboxes are required.Comment: Manual describing the TraitLab software for phylogenetic inferenc