21 research outputs found
An Assessment of the Expected Cost-Effectiveness of Quadrivalent Influenza Vaccines in Ontario, Canada Using a Static Model
<div><p>Ontario, Canada, immunizes against influenza using a trivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV3) under a Universal Influenza Immunization Program (UIIP). The UIIP offers IIV3 free-of-charge to all Ontarians over 6 months of age. A newly approved quadrivalent inactivated influenza vaccine (IIV4) offers wider protection against influenza B disease. We explored the expected cost-utility and budget impact of replacing IIV3 with IIV4, within the context of Ontario’s UIIP, using a probabilistic and static cost-utility model. Wherever possible, epidemiological and cost data were obtained from Ontario sources. Canadian or U.S. sources were used when Ontario data were not available. Vaccine efficacy for IIV3 was obtained from the literature. IIV4 efficacy was derived from meta-analysis of strain-specific vaccine efficacy. Conservatively, herd protection was not considered. In the base case, we used IIV3 and IIV4 prices of 7/dose, respectively. We conducted a sensitivity analysis on the price of IIV4, as well as standard univariate and multivariate statistical uncertainty analyses. Over a typical influenza season, relative to IIV3, IIV4 is expected to avert an additional 2,516 influenza cases, 1,683 influenza-associated medical visits, 27 influenza-associated hospitalizations, and 5 influenza-associated deaths. From a societal perspective, IIV4 would generate 76 more Quality Adjusted Life Years (QALYs) and a net societal budget impact of 63,773/QALY. IIV4 remains cost-effective up to a 53% price premium over IIV3. A probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that IIV4 was cost-effective with a probability of 65% for a threshold of $100,000/QALY gained. IIV4 is expected to achieve reductions in influenza-related morbidity and mortality compared to IIV3. Despite not accounting for herd protection, IIV4 is still expected to be a cost-effective alternative to IIV3 up to a price premium of 53%. Our conclusions were robust in the face of sensitivity analyses.</p></div
One-way sensitivity analyses (hourly wage).
<p>One-way sensitivity analyses (hourly wage).</p
Threshold analysis: Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) versus price of IIV4.
<p>Threshold analysis: Incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) versus price of IIV4.</p
Deterministic sensitivity analysis (societal perspective).
<p>Deterministic sensitivity analysis (societal perspective).</p
Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of IIV4 versus IIV3 by age group.
<p>Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of IIV4 versus IIV3 by age group.</p
Health outcomes avoided with IIV4 in Ontario by age group.
<p>Health outcomes avoided with IIV4 in Ontario by age group.</p
Clinical implementation of one-hour rule-out and rule-in algorithm.
<p>Abbreviations: AMI, acute myocardial infarction; ECG, electrocardiogram; ED, emergency department; hs-cTn, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin assays.</p
Sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value and positive predictive value for 1-h algorithm and SoC.
<p>Sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value and positive predictive value for 1-h algorithm and SoC.</p