Export pricing and the cross-country correlation of stock prices

This study analyses cross-country correlations of stock prices (values of firms) using the basic New Open Economy Macroeconomics model. We show that cross-country correlations of stock prices greatly depend on the currency of export pricing in the case of monetary shocks but not notably for temporary technology shocks. In the case of a money supply shock, the producer (local) currency pricing version of the model generates a negative (positive) cross-country correlation of stock prices.stock prices; international business cycles; open economy

The international transmission of monetary policy in a dollar pricing model

This paper analyses the international transmission of monetary policy in a case where all export prices are set in US dollars. ‘Dollar pricing’ implies that the international effects of US monetary shocks are different to those of European shocks because of asymmetric exchange rate pass-through to import prices. A dollar pricing model can explain the observed asymmetry in the transmission of monetary policy: US monetary policy affects US output more than European monetary policy affects European output. I also show that the dollar pricing model reintroduces the current account as an important channel through which monetary policy affects welfare in the short run. The paper concludes that under dollar pricing monetary expansion is a beggar-thy-neighbour policy.open economy macroeconomics; monetary policy; international policy transmission

Productive Government Spending, Welfare and Exchange Rate Dynamics

This study analyses the consequences of productive government spending on the international transmission of fiscal policy. A standard result in the new open economy macroeconomics literature is that a fiscal shock depreciates the exchange rate. I demonstrate that the response of the exchange rate depends on the productivity of government spending. If productivity is sufficiently high, a fiscal shock appreciates the exchange rate. It is also shown that the introduction of productive government spending increases both domestic and foreign welfare, when compared with the case where government spending is wasted. This is because productive government spending has a positive effect on private consumption in both countries in a two country NOEM model.New open economy macroeconomics, fiscal policy, international policy transmission

Productive government spending and private consumption: a pessimistic view

This paper analyses the consequences of productive government spending on private consumption. In a related work, Linnemann and Schabert (2006) found that a moderate output elasticity of government expenditures is sufficient to generate a positive consumption response to a fiscal shock. It is shown in this paper that pessimism as to the ability of productive government spending to account for an empirically observed positive consumption response is in order because a balanced budget increase in government spending increases private consumption only if the productivity of government spending is relatively high. For realistic values of the output elasticity of government spending, a positive consumption response is ruled out.

The fiscal multiplier: positive or negative?

This study examines whether the fiscal multiplier can be negative for certain types of government spending. The key result is that the fiscal multiplier can be negative if there is a high degree of substitutability between private and government consumption and government consumption is complementary to leisure.fiscal policy, fiscal multiplier, effectiveness of fiscal policy

Keeping Up with the Joneses and the Welfare Effects of Monetary Policy

This paper examines the implications of "keeping up with the Joneses" preferences (jealousy) for the welfare effects of monetary policy. I develop a New Keynesian model, where households are jealous and the central bank follows the Taylor rule. I show that the welfare effects of monetary policy over time depend significantly on the relative strength of the consumption externality caused by jealousy and the monopolistic distortion. If jealousy (the monopolistic distortion) dominates, then a decrease in the interest rate reduces (increases) welfare in the short run, but increases (reduces) welfare in the medium run.Monetary policy, jealousy, consumption externality

Euroalueen talouskriisin syyt

Non peer reviewe

Lyhyt johdanto Taylorin sääntöön

Non peer reviewe