139 research outputs found
Terrestrial Planet Occurrence Rates for the Kepler GK Dwarf Sample
We measure planet occurrence rates using the planet candidates discovered by
the Q1-Q16 Kepler pipeline search. This study examines planet occurrence rates
for the Kepler GK dwarf target sample for planet radii, 0.75<Rp<2.5 Rearth, and
orbital periods, 50<Porb<300 days, with an emphasis on a thorough exploration
and identification of the most important sources of systematic uncertainties.
Integrating over this parameter space, we measure an occurrence rate of F=0.77
planets per star, with an allowed range of 0.3<F<1.9. The allowed range takes
into account both statistical and systematic uncertainties, and values of F
beyond the allowed range are significantly in disagreement with our analysis.
We generally find higher planet occurrence rates and a steeper increase in
planet occurrence rates towards small planets than previous studies of the
Kepler GK dwarf sample. Through extrapolation, we find that the one year
orbital period terrestrial planet occurrence rate, zeta_1=0.1, with an allowed
range of 0.01<zeta_1<2, where zeta_1 is defined as the number of planets per
star within 20% of the Rp and Porb of Earth. For G dwarf hosts, the zeta_1
parameter space is a subset of the larger eta_earth parameter space, thus
zeta_1 places a lower limit on eta_earth for G dwarf hosts. From our analysis,
we identify the leading sources of systematics impacting Kepler occurrence rate
determinations as: reliability of the planet candidate sample, planet radii,
pipeline completeness, and stellar parameters.Comment: 19 Pages, 17 Figures, Submitted ApJ. Python source to support Kepler
pipeline completeness estimates available at
http://github.com/christopherburke/KeplerPORTs
Detection of Potential Transit Signals in the First Three Quarters of Kepler Mission Data
We present the results of a search for potential transit signals in the first
three quarters of photometry data acquired by the Kepler Mission. The targets
of the search include 151,722 stars which were observed over the full interval
and an additional 19,132 stars which were observed for only 1 or 2 quarters.
From this set of targets we find a total of 5,392 detections which meet the
Kepler detection criteria: those criteria are periodicity of the signal, an
acceptable signal-to-noise ratio, and a composition test which rejects spurious
detections which contain non-physical combinations of events. The detected
signals are dominated by events with relatively low signal-to-noise ratio and
by events with relatively short periods. The distribution of estimated transit
depths appears to peak in the range between 40 and 100 parts per million, with
a few detections down to fewer than 10 parts per million. The detected signals
are compared to a set of known transit events in the Kepler field of view which
were derived by a different method using a longer data interval; the comparison
shows that the current search correctly identified 88.1% of the known events. A
tabulation of the detected transit signals, examples which illustrate the
analysis and detection process, a discussion of future plans and open,
potentially fruitful, areas of further research are included
Contamination in the Kepler Field. Identification of 685 KOIs as False Positives Via Ephemeris Matching Based On Q1-Q12 Data
The Kepler mission has to date found almost 6000 planetary transit-like signals, utilizing three years of data for over 170,000 stars at extremely high photometric precision. Due to its design, contamination from eclipsing binaries, variable stars, and other transiting planets results in a significant number of these signals being false positives (FPs). This directly affects the determination of the occurrence rate of Earth-like planets in our Galaxy, as well as other planet population statistics. In order to detect as many of these FPs as possible, we perform ephemeris matching among all transiting planet, eclipsing binary, and variable star sources. We find that 685 Kepler Objects of Interest (KOIs)—12% of all those analyzed—are FPs as a result of contamination, due to 409 unique parent sources. Of these, 118 have not previously been identified by other methods. We estimate that ~35% of KOIs are FPs due to contamination, when performing a first-order correction for observational bias. Comparing single-planet candidate KOIs to multi-planet candidate KOIs, we find an observed FP fraction due to contamination of 16% and 2.4% respectively, bolstering the existing evidence that multi-planet KOIs are significantly less likely to be FPs. We also analyze the parameter distributions of the ephemeris matches and derive a simple model for the most common type of contamination in the Kepler field. We find that the ephemeris matching technique is able to identify low signal-to-noise FPs that are difficult to identify with other vetting techniques. We expect FP KOIs to become more frequent when analyzing more quarters of Kepler data, and note that many of them will not be able to be identified based on Kepler data alone
Planetary Candidates Observed by Kepler. VIII. A Fully Automated Catalog with Measured Completeness and Reliability Based on Data Release 25
We present the Kepler Object of Interest (KOI) catalog of transiting exoplanets based on searching 4 yr of Kepler time series photometry (Data Release 25, Q1–Q17). The catalog contains 8054 KOIs, of which 4034 are planet candidates with periods between 0.25 and 632 days. Of these candidates, 219 are new, including two in multiplanet systems (KOI-82.06 and KOI-2926.05) and 10 high-reliability, terrestrial-size, habitable zone candidates. This catalog was created using a tool called the Robovetter, which automatically vets the DR25 threshold crossing events (TCEs). The Robovetter also vetted simulated data sets and measured how well it was able to separate TCEs caused by noise from those caused by low signal-to-noise transits. We discuss the Robovetter and the metrics it uses to sort TCEs. For orbital periods less than 100 days the Robovetter completeness (the fraction of simulated transits that are determined to be planet candidates) across all observed stars is greater than 85%. For the same period range, the catalog reliability (the fraction of candidates that are not due to instrumental or stellar noise) is greater than 98%. However, for low signal-to-noise candidates between 200 and 500 days around FGK-dwarf stars, the Robovetter is 76.7% complete and the catalog is 50.5% reliable. The KOI catalog, the transit fits, and all of the simulated data used to characterize this catalog are available at the NASA Exoplanet Archive
Detection of Potential Transit Signals in Sixteen Quarters of Kepler Mission Data
We present the results of a search for potential transit signals in four
years of photometry data acquired by the Kepler Mission. The targets of the
search include 111,800 stars which were observed for the entire interval and
85,522 stars which were observed for a subset of the interval. We found that
9,743 targets contained at least one signal consistent with the signature of a
transiting or eclipsing object, where the criteria for detection are
periodicity of the detected transits, adequate signal-to-noise ratio, and
acceptance by a number of tests which reject false positive detections. When
targets that had produced a signal were searched repeatedly, an additional
6,542 signals were detected on 3,223 target stars, for a total of 16,285
potential detections. Comparison of the set of detected signals with a set of
known and vetted transit events in the Kepler field of view shows that the
recovery rate for these signals is 96.9%. The ensemble properties of the
detected signals are reviewed.Comment: Accepted by ApJ Supplemen
Discovery and Validation of Kepler-452b: A 1.6-Re Super Earth Exoplanet in the Habitable Zone of a G2 Star
We report on the discovery and validation of Kepler-452b, a transiting planet
identified by a search through the 4 years of data collected by NASA's Kepler
Mission. This possibly rocky 1.63 R planet orbits
its G2 host star every 384.843 days, the longest orbital
period for a small (R < 2 R) transiting exoplanet to date. The
likelihood that this planet has a rocky composition lies between 49% and 62%.
The star has an effective temperature of 575785 K and a log g of
4.320.09. At a mean orbital separation of 1.046 AU,
this small planet is well within the optimistic habitable zone of its star
(recent Venus/early Mars), experiencing only 10% more flux than Earth receives
from the Sun today, and slightly outside the conservative habitable zone
(runaway greenhouse/maximum greenhouse). The star is slightly larger and older
than the Sun, with a present radius of 1.11 R and an
estimated age of 6 Gyr. Thus, Kepler-452b has likely always been in the
habitable zone and should remain there for another 3 Gyr.Comment: 19 pages, 16 figure
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