Classification of Possible Finite-Time Singularities by Functional Renormalization

Starting from a representation of the early time evolution of a dynamical system in terms of the polynomial expression of some observable f (t) as a function of the time variable in some interval 0 < t < T, we investigate how to extrapolate/forecast in some optimal stability sense the future evolution of f(t) for time t>T. Using the functional renormalization of Yukalov and Gluzman, we offer a general classification of the possible regimes that can be defined based on the sole knowledge of the coefficients of a second-order polynomial representation of the dynamics. In particular, we investigate the conditions for the occurence of finite-time singularities from the structure of the time series, and quantify the critical time and the functional nature of the singularity when present. We also describe the regimes when a smooth extremum replaces the singularity and determine its position and amplitude. This extends previous works by (1) quantifying the stability of the functional renormalization method more accurately, (2) introducing new global constraints in terms of moments and (3) going beyond the ``mean-field'' approximation.Comment: Latex document of 18 pages + 7 ps figure

Ray optics in flux avalanche propagation in superconducting films

Experimental evidence of wave properties of dendritic flux avalanches in superconducting films is reported. Using magneto-optical imaging the propagation of dendrites across boundaries between a bare NbN film and areas coated by a Cu-layer was visualized, and it was found that the propagation is refracted in full quantitative agreement with Snell's law. For the studied film of 170 nm thickness and a 0.9 mkm thick metal layer, the refractive index was close to n=1.4. The origin of the refraction is believed to be caused by the dendrites propagating as an electromagnetic shock wave, similar to damped modes considered previously for normal metals. The analogy is justified by the large dissipation during the avalanches raising the local temperature significantly. Additional time-resolved measurements of voltage pulses generated by segments of the dendrites traversing an electrode confirm the consistency of the adapted physical picture.Comment: 4 pages, 4 figure

Weighted Fixed Points in Self-Similar Analysis of Time Series

The self-similar analysis of time series is generalized by introducing the notion of scenario probabilities. This makes it possible to give a complete statistical description for the forecast spectrum by defining the average forecast as a weighted fixed point and by calculating the corresponding a priori standard deviation and variance coefficient. Several examples of stock-market time series illustrate the method.Comment: two additional references are include

Dendritic flux patterns in MgB2 films

Magneto-opitcal studies of a c-oriented epitaxial MgB2 film with critical current density 10^7 A/cm^2 demonstrate a breakdown of the critical state at temperatures below 10 K [cond-mat/0104113]. Instead of conventional uniform and gradual flux penetration in an applied magnetic field, we observe an abrupt invasion of complex dendritic structures. When the applied field subsequently decreases, similar dendritic structures of the return flux penetrate the film. The static and dynamic properties of the dendrites are discussed.Comment: Accepted to Supercond. Sci. Techno

Mechanism for flux guidance by micrometric antidot arrays in superconducting films

A study of magnetic flux penetration in a superconducting film patterned with arrays of micron sized antidots (microholes) is reported. Magneto-optical imaging (MOI) of a YBCO film shaped as a long strip with perpendicular antidot arrays revealed both strong guidance of flux, and at the same time large perturbations of the overall flux penetration and flow of current. These results are compared with a numerical flux creep simulation of a thin superconductor with the same antidot pattern. To perform calculations on such a complex geometry, an efficient numerical scheme for handling the boundary conditions of the antidots and the nonlocal electrodynamics was developed. The simulations reproduce essentially all features of the MOI results. In addition, the numerical results give insight into all other key quantities, e.g., the electrical field, which becomes extremely large in the narrow channels connecting the antidots.Comment: 8 pages, 7 figure

Level Crossing Analysis of the Stock Markets

We investigate the average frequency of positive slope $\nu_{\alpha}^{+}$, crossing for the returns of market prices. The method is based on stochastic processes which no scaling feature is explicitly required. Using this method we define new quantity to quantify stage of development and activity of stocks exchange. We compare the Tehran and western stock markets and show that some stocks such as Tehran (TEPIX) and New Zealand (NZX) stocks exchange are emerge, and also TEPIX is a non-active market and financially motivated to absorb capital.Comment: 6 pages and 4 figure

Current-induced dendritic magnetic instability in superconducting MgB2 films

Magneto-optical imaging reveals that in superconducting films of MgB2 a transport current creates avalanche-like flux dynamics where highly branching dendritic penetration patterns are formed. The instability is triggered when the current exceeds a threshold value, and the superconductor, shaped as a long strip, is initially in the critical state. The instability exists up to 19 K, which is a much wider temperature range than in previous experiments, where dendrites were formed by applying a magnetic field. The instability is believed to be of thermo-magnetic origin indicating that thermal stabilization may become crucial in applications of MgB2.Comment: 3 pages, 3 figures, resubmitted to Appl.Phys.Let