Fiscal regime changes and the sustainability of fiscal imbalance in South Africa; a smooth transition error-correction approach

In addition to the conventional linear cointegration test, this paper tests the asymmetry relationship between fiscal revenue and expenditure, by making a distinction between the adjustment of positive (budget surplus) and negative (budget deficit) deviations from equilibrium. The analysis uses quarterly data for South Africa. The paper reveals that government authorities in South Africa are more likely to react fast when the budget is in deficit than when in surplus, and that the stabilisation measures used by government are fairly neutral at low deficit levels; that is, at deficit levels of 4% of GDP and below. We conclude that an attempt to achieve fiscal sustainability via a reduction in expenditure on sectors conducive to economic growth might be prone to create social and political shocks, which could render such fiscal policy unsustainable. In South Africa the main fiscal challenge, therefore, is to find ways through which the recent gains in fiscal solvency can be consolidated.smooth transition error correction model; nonlinearity; government intertemporal budget constraint; and fiscal sustainability.

The Political Economy of Property Tax in Africa: Explaining Reform Outcomes in Sierra Leone

Effective local government taxation is critical to achieving the governance benefits widely attributed to decentralization, but in practice successful tax reform has been rare because of entrenched political resistance. This article offers new insights into the political dynamics of property tax reform through a case study of Sierra Leone, focusing on variation in experiences and outcomes across the country’s four largest city councils. Based on this evidence, the article argues that elite resistance has posed a particularly acute barrier to local government tax reform, but that ethnic diversity has sometimes served to strengthen reform by fragmenting elite resistance. Furthermore, opposition councils have had stronger incentives to strengthen tax collection than councils dominated by the ruling party, in order to increase their fiscal autonomy. More generally, heightened electoral competition can lead to sustained revenue gains by encouraging city councils to adopt a more contractual approach to tax reform that stresses transparency, engagement, and equity

Stock Market Volatility, Speculative Short Sellers and Weekend Effect: International Evidence

We test the Chen and Singal (2003) hypothesis that speculative short sellers add to the selling pressure on Mondays, and hence add to the weekend effect, by examining evidence from 60 market indices. We find strong evidence that, until about a decade ago, the actions of short sellers could explain the weekend ef- fect. Recently, however, the relationship between short sales and the weekend effect is gradually dissi- pating in developed markets, probably due to the cross-market hedges of short sellers. These findings strongly support, rather than weaken, the Chen and Singal hypothesis

Stock Market Volatility, Speculative Short Sellers and Weekend Effect: International Evidence

We test the Chen and Singal (2003) hypothesis that speculative short sellers add to the selling pressure on Mondays, and hence add to the weekend effect, by examining evidence from 60 market indices. We find strong evidence that, until about a decade ago, the actions of short sellers could explain the weekend ef- fect. Recently, however, the relationship between short sales and the weekend effect is gradually dissi- pating in developed markets, probably due to the cross-market hedges of short sellers. These findings strongly support, rather than weaken, the Chen and Singal hypothesis

Taxing the Informal Economy: The Current State of Knowledge and Agendas for Future Research

This paper reviews the literature on taxation of the informal economy, taking stock of key debates and drawing attention to recent innovations. Conventionally, the debate on whether to tax has frequently focused on the limited revenue potential, high cost of collection, and potentially adverse impact on small firms. Recent arguments have increasingly emphasised the more indirect benefits of informal taxation in relation to economic growth, broader tax compliance, and governance. More research is needed, we argue, into the relevant costs and benefits for all, including quasi-voluntary compliance, political and administrative incentives for reform, and citizen-state bargaining over taxation

Photoinduced electrooptics in the In2O3 nanocrystals incorporated into PMMA matrixes

We have observed an appearance of clear morphological structure in composites containing In2O3 nanocrystals (NCs) incorporated into polymethyl methacrylite (PMMA) matrices under optical treatment by a polarized femtosecond laser. The initial photoinduced treatment was carried out using a Ti:sapphire femtosecond laser emitting 140 fs p-polarized light at a maximum spectral wavelength 775 nm with pulse repetition 1 kHz. It was found that the average morphological radius is varied maximally only during illumination at liquid helium temperature (T = 4.2 K). The morphological average mean radius is strictly dependent on the sizes of incorporated In2O3 NCs. Afterwards we measured the linear electrooptic effect at cw He–Ne laser wavelength 633 nm during simultaneous treatment by 1060 and 530 nm coherent beams of a Nd–YAG picosecond laser. We have established that a decrease of the average morphological mean radius favours an increase of the optically poled linear electrooptic coefficient. The diameters of In2O3 NCs were evaluated using transmission electron microscopy (TEM) and light-scattering techniques, whereas the NC sizes and morphological average mean radius of formed nanocomposites were estimated by atomic force microscopy (AFM). A relationship between the diameter of the NC, composite morphological mean average radius and effective linear electrooptic coefficient was established.Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/58122/2/cm7_1_016204.pd

Donors, Aid and Taxation in Developing Countries: An Overview

Recent years have witnessed rapidly growing donor interest in tax issues in the developing world. This reflects a concern with revenue collection to finance public spending, but also recognition of the centrality of taxation to growth, redistribution and broader state-building and governance goals. Against this backdrop, this paper identifies a series of key issues that demand attention if donors are to improve the quality of their support for tax reform. The focus is not, primarily, on the technical design of tax interventions, but, instead, on seven ‘big picture’ considerations for the design of donor programmes: (a) supporting local leadership of reform efforts; (b) incorporating more systematic political economy analysis into the design and implementation of reform programmes; (c) designing tax reform programmes that seek to foster broader linkages between taxation, state-building and governance; (d) paying careful attention to the complexity of the relationship between aid and tax effort; (e) better designing tax-related conditionality, particularly by developing a more nuanced set of performance indicators; (f) ensuring the effective coordination of donor interventions; and (g) paying greater attention to the international policy context, and particularly the role of tax exemptions for donor projects, tax havens and tax evasion by multinational corporations (MNCs) in undermining developing country tax systems.DfI

Local Government Revenue Mobilisation in Anglophone Africa

This paper examines opportunities and constraints facing local revenue mobilisation in anglophone Africa, with an emphasis on urban settings. It discusses specific revenue instruments and their effects on economic efficiency, income distribution and accountability. In particular, it addresses political and administrative constraints facing various revenue instruments and factors affecting citizens’ compliance. The analysis is illustrated with examples from across anglophone Africa. A general conclusion emerging from the study is that local revenues mobilised in most local government authorities in Africa are necessary but not sufficient to develop and supply adequate services for the fast-growing population. On this basis, areas for further research on local government revenue mobilisation in Africa are identifiedDfI