A biology-based approach for quantitative structure-activity relationships (QSARs) in ecotoxicity.

Quantitative structure-activity relationships (QSARs) for ecotoxicity can be used to fill data gaps and limit toxicity testing on animals. QSAR development may additionally reveal mechanistic information based on observed patterns in the data. However, the use of descriptive summary statistics for toxicity, such as the 4-day LC50 for fish, introduces bias and ignores valuable kinetic information in the data. Biology-based methods use all of the toxicity data in time to derive time-independent and unbiased parameter estimates. Such an approach offers whole new opportunities for mechanism-based QSAR development. In this paper, we apply the hazard model from DEBtox to analyse survival data for fathead minnows (Pimephales promelas). Different modes of action resulted in different patterns in the parameter estimates, and therefore, the toxicity data by themselves reveal insight into the actual mechanism of toxic action

The portraits of Simon van der Stel, first governor of the Cape

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Making sense of ecotoxicological test results: towards process-based models.

Abstract The environmental risk of chemicals is rou-tinely assessed by comparing predicted exposure levels to predicted no-effect levels for ecosystems. Although pro-cess-based models are commonly used in exposure assessment, the assessment of effects usually comprises purely descriptive models and rules-of-thumb. The prob-lems with this approach start with the analysis of labora-tory ecotoxicity tests, because only a limited amount of information is extracted. Standard summary statistics (NOEC, ECx, LC50) are of limited use in part because they change with exposure duration in a manner that varies with the tested species and the toxicant. As an alternative, process-based models are available. These models allow for toxicity measures that are independent of exposure time, make efficient use of the available data from routine toxicity tests, and are better suited for edu-cated extrapolations (e.g., from individual to population, and from continuous to pulse exposure). These capabilities can be used to improve regulatory decisions and allow for a more efficient assessment of effects, which ultimately will reduce the need for animal testing. Process-based modeling also can help to achieve the goals laid out in REACH, the new strategy of the European Commission in dealing with chemicals. This discussion is illustrated with effects data for Daphnia magna, analyzed by the DEBtox model