Does economics need a scientific revolution?

Economics does not need a scientific revolution. Economics needs accurate measurements according to high standards of natural sciences and meticulous work on revealing empirical relationships between measured variables.Comment: 6 pages, 3 figure

A model for microeconomic and macroeconomic development

A comprehensive study of the personal income distribution (PID) in the USA is carried out. Principal characteristics of the PID in USA are established. A microeconomic model of the personal income distribution and evolution with time is developed. The model balances two processes – individual income earning and dissipation of the income. The model accurately predicts the overall PID and its evolution and fine features of the PID in various age and income groups. The results obtained prove that the observed economic growth is a predetermined processpersonal income distribution, microeconomic modeling, real GDP, macroeconomics

Evolution of the personal income distribution in the USA: High incomes

The personal income distribution (PID) above the Pareto threshold is studied and modeled. A microeconomic model is proposed to simulate the PID and its evolution below and above the Pareto income threshold. The model balances processes of income production and dissipation for any person above 15 years of age. The model accurately predicts the observed dependence of the number of people reaching the Pareto threshold on work experience and the functional dependence of the relationship on the per capita real GDP growth for the period from 1994 to 2002. Predictions of the income distribution depending on age are given for past and future. In future, relatively less rich people are observed in the younger age groups and the peak of the relative number shifts to older ages with time. The effect of the power law distribution extending itself to very high incomes is speculated to be the cause of low performance of socialist countries.personal income distribution, Pareto distribution, microeconomic modeling, USA, real GDP, macroeconomics

Modelling the age-dependent personal income distribution in the USA

Numerical modelling of the age-dependent personal income distribution (PID) in the USA is fulfilled based on a micro- and macroeconomic model and results of the overall PID modelling. As expected from the age-dependent accuracy of the Current Population Surveys, the model has demonstrated an excellent prediction power in almost all income bins except the lowermost ones. Here we address the problem of the fine age structure of the PIDs. The age-dependent PIDs are modelled by using the same defining parameters as the overall PIDs. The predicted PIDs accurately describe the observed ones reproducing such complex features as the exponential PID decay in the youngest and oldest age groups. The evolution of the age-dependent PIDs in time is also accurately predicted. The difference in the PID levels in the youngest age group is explained by some shortcomings in the design of the enumeration procedure. Corresponding recommendations are given in order to improve the PID estimates.

The Driving Force of Labor Force Participation in Developed Countries

The evolution of labor force participation rate is modeled using a lagged linear function of real economic growth, as expressed by GDP per capita. For the U.S., our model predicts at a two-year horizon with RMSFE of 0.28% for the period between 1965 and 2007. Larger part of the deviation between predicted and measured LFP is explained by artificial dislocations in measured time series induced by major revisions to the CPS methodology in 1979 and 1989. Similar models have been developed for Japan, the UK, France, Italy, Canada, and Sweden.labor force participation, real GDP per capita, prediction