Diagnostic Accuracy of HPV16 Early Antigen Serology For HPV-Driven Oropharyngeal Cancer is Independent of Age and Sex

Funding information: This project was funded in part by NIH/NIDCR R01 DE025712 (Paul Brennan, Brenda Diergaarde and Neil Hayes). The Alcohol-Related Cancers and Genetic Susceptibility Study in Europe (ARCAGE) was funded by the European Commission’s fifth framework program (QLK1-2001-00182), the Italian Association for Cancer Research, Compagnia di San Paolo/FIRMS, Region Piemonte and Padova University (CPDA057222). We thank Dr. Wolfgang Ahrens, PhD (Universität Bremen, Germany) for his support in ARCAGE study. The Carolina Head and Neck Cancer Epidemiology (CHANCE) study was supported in part by the National Cancer Institute (R01-CA90731). The Head and Neck 5000 study was a component of independent research funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) under its Programme Grants for Applied Research scheme (RP-PG-0707-10034). The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NHS, the NIHR or the Department of Health. Core funding was also provided through awards from Above and Beyond, University Hospitals Bristol and Weston Research Capability Funding and the NIHR Senior Investigator award to Professor Andy Ness. Human papillomavirus (HPV) serology was supported by a Cancer Research UK Programme Grant, the Integrative Cancer Epidemiology Programme (grant number: C18281/A19169). The University of Pittsburgh head and neck cancer case-control study is supported by US National Institutes of Health grants P50CA097190 and P30CA047904. The MSH-PMH study was supported by Canadian Cancer Society Research Institute and Lusi Wong Programs at the Princess Margaret Hospital Foundation.Peer reviewedPublisher PD

Smoking and alcohol by HPV status in head and neck cancer : A Mendelian Randomization Study

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Reproducibility of Assessment of Lepidic (Noninvasive) Patterns in Lung Adenocarcinoma With Cytokeratin Immunostain Compared With Hematoxylin and Eosin and the Proposed New International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer (IASLC) Algorithm

Introduction: Lepidic growth is considered noninvasive in lung nonmucinous adenocarcinoma, whereas other patterns are invasive. Considerable interobserver variability in assessing “invasion” has been reported. We assessed the utility of cytokeratin 7 (CK7) stain and recently proposed International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer criteria to improve assessment of noninvasion in lung adenocarcinoma. Methods: Four pathologists (two staff, two trainees) assessed 158 hematoxylin and eosin (HE)- and CK7-stained slides of 108 pT1N0-2 nonmucinous lung adenocarcinoma cases. Scoring took place in four rounds. First, sections were independently scored for percentage of noninvasive or probable noninvasive and invasive or probable invasive patterns. Second, after a consensus scoring algorithm for CK7 was formulated, the slides were rescored. Subsequent third-round scoring was conducted only on HE slides using the 2023 International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer proposed criteria, and fourth-round scoring on both HE and CK7 slides simultaneously. Intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) was calculated for each round. Recurrence-free survival was assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression methods. Results: In the first two rounds, interobserver concordance was consistently higher with CK7 (ICC range = 0.44–0.6) than HE (range = 0.24–0.49) scores. The IASLC proposed algorithm improved ICC of HE scores to 0.60 (95% confidence interval: 0.52–0.67), and round 4 HE and CK7 combined improved ICC to 0.75 (95% confidence interval: 0.70–0.80). Continuous measures of averaged noninvasive and probable noninvasive scores on HE were associated with improved recurrence-free survival (hazard ratio: 0.83–0.86). Conclusions: CK7 staining consistently increased interobserver concordance in assessment of invasive versus noninvasive patterns than HE. Combining CK7 with the 2023 IASLC criteria for morphologic features of invasion may further improve the interobservers’ concordance for the recognition of lepidic growth in nonmucinous lung adenocarcinoma

Machine Learning–Based Predictive Modeling of Anxiety and Depressive Symptoms During 8 Months of the COVID-19 Global Pandemic: Repeated Cross-sectional Survey Study

BackgroundThe COVID-19 global pandemic has increased the burden of mental illness on Canadian adults. However, the complex combination of demographic, economic, and lifestyle factors and perceived health risks contributing to patterns of anxiety and depression has not been explored. ObjectiveThe aim of this study is to harness flexible machine learning methods to identify constellations of factors related to symptoms of mental illness and to understand their changes over time during the COVID-19 pandemic. MethodsCross-sectional samples of Canadian adults (aged ≥18 years) completed web-based surveys in 6 waves from May to December 2020 (N=6021), and quota sampling strategies were used to match the English-speaking Canadian population in age, gender, and region. The surveys measured anxiety and depression symptoms, sociodemographic characteristics, substance use, and perceived COVID-19 risks and worries. First, principal component analysis was used to condense highly comorbid anxiety and depression symptoms into a single data-driven measure of emotional distress. Second, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), a machine learning algorithm that can model nonlinear and interactive relationships, was used to regress this measure on all included explanatory variables. Variable importance and effects across time were explored using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). ResultsPrincipal component analysis of responses to 9 anxiety and depression questions on an ordinal scale revealed a primary latent factor, termed “emotional distress,” that explained 76% of the variation in all 9 measures. Our XGBoost model explained a substantial proportion of variance in emotional distress (r2=0.39). The 3 most important items predicting elevated emotional distress were increased worries about finances (SHAP=0.17), worries about getting COVID-19 (SHAP=0.17), and younger age (SHAP=0.13). Hopefulness was associated with emotional distress and moderated the impacts of several other factors. Predicted emotional distress exhibited a nonlinear pattern over time, with the highest predicted symptoms in May and November and the lowest in June. ConclusionsOur results highlight factors that may exacerbate emotional distress during the current pandemic and possible future pandemics, including a role of hopefulness in moderating distressing effects of other factors. The pandemic disproportionately affected emotional distress among younger adults and those economically impacted

Out‐of‐pocket costs associated with head and neck cancer treatment

Abstract Background Out‐of‐pocket costs (OOPC) associated with treatment have significant implications on quality of life and survival in cancer patients. Head and neck cancer patients face unique treatment‐related challenges, but to date OOPC have been understudied in this population. Aims This study aims to identify and measure OOPC for patients with head and neck cancer (HNC) in Ontario. Methods HNC patients between 2015 and 2018 at Princess Margaret Cancer Centre in Toronto were recruited. Participants completed OOPC questionnaires and lost income questions during radiation, post‐surgery, and 3, 6, 12, and 24 months after completion of treatment. Associations between OOPC and treatment modality and disease site were tested with multivariable hurdle regression. Results A total of 1545 questionnaires were completed by 657 patients. Median estimated OOPC for the total duration of treatment for participants undergoing chemoradiation was $1452 [$0–14 616], for surgery with adjuvant radiation or chemoradiation (C/RT) was $1626, for radiation therapy alone was$635, and for surgery alone was $360. The major expenses for participants at the mid‐treatment time‐point was travel (mean$424, standard error of the mean [SEM] $34) and meals, parking, and accommodations (mean$617, SEM $67). In multivariable analysis, chemoradiation, surgery with C/RT, and radiation were associated with significantly higher OOPC than surgery alone during treatment (791% higher, p < .001; 539% higher, p < .001; 370% higher, p < .001 respectively) among patients with non‐zero OOPC. Participants with non‐zero OOPC in the laryngeal cancer group paid 49% lower OOPC than those with oropharyngeal cancers in adjusted analysis (p = .025). Conclusions Patients undergoing treatment for HNC pay significant OOPC. These costs are highest during treatment and gradually decrease over time. OOPC vary by patient demographics, clinical factors, and, in particular, treatment modality

Differential prognostic significance of sarcopenia in metastatic esophageal squamous and adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND Sarcopenia indicates poor prognosis in various malignancies. We evaluated the association of sarcopenia with overall (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in metastatic esophageal cancer (MEC) patients, a population often presenting with poor nutritional status. METHODS In newly diagnosed MEC patients managed at the Princess Margaret (PM) Cancer Centre (diagnosed 2006-2015), total muscle area, visceral adiposity (VA), and subcutaneous adiposity (SA) were quantified on abdominal computed tomography at L3. Sarcopenia was determined using published cutoffs, based on sex and height. RESULTS Of 202 MEC patients, most were male (166/82%), < 65 years (116/57%), and had adenocarcinoma histology (141/70%); 110/54% had recurrent MEC after initial curative-intent treatment; 92/46% presented with de novo MEC. At stage IV diagnosis, 20/10% were underweight, 97/48% were normal-weight and 84/42% were overweight/obese; 103/51% were sarcopenic. Sarcopenia was associated with worse median OS (4.6 vs. 7.9 months; log-rank p = 0.03) and 1-year survival, even after adjusting for other body composition variables (e.g., BMI, VA, and SA): adjusted-HR 1.51 [95% CI 1.1-2.2, p = 0.02]. In post hoc analysis, sarcopenia was highly prognostic in adenocarcinomas (p = 0.003), but not squamous cell carcinomas (SCC). In patients receiving palliative systemic treatment (104/51%), sarcopenia was associated with shorter PFS (p = 0.004) in adenocarcinoma patients (75/72%). CONCLUSIONS In metastatic esophageal adenocarcinomas, sarcopenia is associated with worse PFS and OS. In metastatic esophageal SCC, there was a non-significant trend for worse PFS but no association with OS. In order to offset the poor prognosis associated with sarcopenia particularly in metastatic esophageal adenocarcinoma patients, future research should focus on possible countermeasures

Real-World Treatment Sequencing, Toxicities, Health Utilities, and Survival Outcomes in Patients with Advanced ALK-Rearranged Non-Small-Cell Lung Cancer.

OBJECTIVES This real-world analysis describes treatment patterns, sequencing and clinical effectiveness, toxicities, and health utility outcomes in advanced-stage, incurable ALK-positive NSCLC patients across five different ALK-TKIs. MATERIALS AND METHODS Clinicodemographic, treatment, and toxicity data were collected retrospectively in patients with advanced-stage ALK-positive NSCLC at Princess Margaret Cancer Centre. Patient-reported symptoms, toxicities, and health utilities were collected prospectively. RESULTS Of 148 ALK-positive NSCLC patients seen July 2009-May 2021, median age was 58.9 years; 84 (57%) were female; 112 (76%) never-smokers; 54 (47%) Asian and 40 (35%) white; 139 (94%) received at least one ALK-TKI: crizotinib (n = 74; 54%) and alectinib (n = 61; 44%) were administered mainly as first-line ALK-TKI, ceritinib, brigatinib and lorlatinib were administered primarily after previous ALK-TKI failure. Median overall survival (OS) was 54.0 months; 31 (21%) patients died within two years of advanced-stage diagnosis. Treatment modifications were observed in 35 (47%) patients with crizotinib, 19 (61%) with ceritinib, 41 (39%) with alectinib, 9 (41%) with brigatinib and 8 (30%) with lorlatinib. Prevalence of dose modifications and self-reported toxicities were higher with early versus later generation ALK-TKIs (P<.05). The presence of early treatment modification was not negatively associated with progression-free survival (PFS) and OS analyses. CONCLUSION Serial ALK-TKI sequencing approaches are viable therapeutic options that can extend quality of life and quantity-of-life, though a fifth of patients died within two years. No best single sequencing approach could be determined. Clinically relevant toxicities occurred across all ALK-TKIs. Treatment modifications due to toxicity may not necessarily compromise outcomes, allowing multiple approaches to deal with ALK-TKI toxicities

A Comparison of Hypofractionated and Twice-Daily Thoracic Irradiation in Limited-Stage Small-Cell Lung Cancer: An Overlap-Weighted Analysis

Despite evidence for the superiority of twice-daily (BID) radiotherapy schedules, their utilization in practice remains logistically challenging. Hypofractionation (HFRT) is a commonly implemented alternative. We aim to compare the outcomes and toxicities in limited-stage small-cell lung cancer (LS-SCLC) patients treated with hypofractionated versus BID schedules. A bi-institutional retrospective cohort review was conducted of LS-SCLC patients treated with BID (45 Gy/30 fractions) or HFRT (40 Gy/15 fractions) schedules from 2007 to 2019. Overlap weighting using propensity scores was performed to balance observed covariates between the two radiotherapy schedule groups. Effect estimates of radiotherapy schedule on overall survival (OS), locoregional recurrence (LRR) risk, thoracic response, any ≥grade 3 (including lung, and esophageal) toxicity were determined using multivariable regression modelling. A total of 173 patients were included in the overlap-weighted analysis, with 110 patients having received BID treatment, and 63 treated by HFRT. The median follow-up was 20.4 months. Multivariable regression modelling did not reveal any significant differences in OS (hazard ratio [HR] 1.67, p = 0.38), LRR risk (HR 1.48, p = 0.38), thoracic response (odds ratio [OR] 0.23, p = 0.21), any ≥grade 3+ toxicity (OR 1.67, p = 0.33), ≥grade 3 pneumonitis (OR 1.14, p = 0.84), or ≥grade 3 esophagitis (OR 1.41, p = 0.62). HFRT, in comparison to BID radiotherapy schedules, does not appear to result in significantly different survival, locoregional control, or toxicity outcomes