Learning Dynamical Demand Response Model in Real-Time Pricing Program

Price responsiveness is a major feature of end use customers (EUCs) that participate in demand response (DR) programs, and has been conventionally modeled with static demand functions, which take the electricity price as the input and the aggregate energy consumption as the output. This, however, neglects the inherent temporal correlation of the EUC behaviors, and may result in large errors when predicting the actual responses of EUCs in real-time pricing (RTP) programs. In this paper, we propose a dynamical DR model so as to capture the temporal behavior of the EUCs. The states in the proposed dynamical DR model can be explicitly chosen, in which case the model can be represented by a linear function or a multi-layer feedforward neural network, or implicitly chosen, in which case the model can be represented by a recurrent neural network or a long short-term memory unit network. In both cases, the dynamical DR model can be learned from historical price and energy consumption data. Numerical simulation illustrated how the states are chosen and also showed the proposed dynamical DR model significantly outperforms the static ones.Comment: Accepted to IEEE ISGT NA 201

HMIAN: a Hierarchical Mapping and Interactive Attention Data Fusion Network for Traffic Forecasting

© 2022 IEEE. This is the accepted manuscript version of an article which has been published in final form at https://doi.org/10.1109/JIOT.2022.3196461With the development of intelligent transportation system (ITS), the vital technology of ITS, short-term traffic forecasting, gains increasing attention. However, the existing prediction models ignore the impact of urban functional zones on traffic data, resulting in inaccurate extractions of dynamic spatial relationships from network. Furthermore, how to calculate the influence of external factors such as weather and holidays on traffic is an unsolved problem. This paper proposes a spatio-temporal hierarchical mapping and interactive attention network (HMIAN), which extracts the spatial features from traffic network by constructing functional zones, and designs an effective external factors fusion method. HMIAN uses the hierarchical mapping structure to aggregate the roads into functional zones, calculate the interaction between functional zones and feed this information back to the spatial features. And the interactive attention mechanism is utilized to fuse the traffic data with external factors effectively, and extracts temporal features. In addition, some experiments were carried out on three real traffic data sets. First, experiment results show that the proposed model better prediction performance compared with other existing approaches in more complex traffic network. Second, the longitudinal comparison experiment verifies that the hierarchical mapping structure is effective in extracting spatial features in complex road network. Finally, the influence of different external factors and fusion methods on traffic prediction are compared, which provides a consult for subsequent research on the influence of external factors.Peer reviewe

Cognitive and neural bases of visual-context-guided decision-making

Humans adjust their behavioral strategies based on feedback, a process that may depend on intrinsic preferences and contextual factors such as visual salience. In this study, we hypothesized that decision-making based on visual salience is influenced by habitual and goal-directed processes, which can be evidenced by changes in attention and subjective valuation systems. To test this hypothesis, we conducted a series of studies to investigate the behavioral and neural mechanisms underlying visual salience-driven decision-making. We first established the baseline behavioral strategy without salience in Experiment 1 (n = 21). We then highlighted the utility or performance dimension of the chosen outcome using colors in Experiment 2 (n = 30). We demonstrated that the difference in staying frequency increased along the salient dimension, confirming a salience effect. Furthermore, the salience effect was abolished when directional information was removed in Experiment 3 (n = 28), suggesting that the salience effect is feedback-specific. To generalize our findings, we replicated the feedback-specific salience effects using eye-tracking and text emphasis. The fixation differences between the chosen and unchosen values were enhanced along the feedback-specific salient dimension in Experiment 4 (n = 48) but unchanged after removing feedback-specific information in Experiment 5 (n = 32). Moreover, the staying frequency was correlated with fixation properties, confirming that salience guides attention deployment. Lastly, our neuroimaging study (Experiment 6, n = 25) showed that the striatum subregions encoded salience-based outcome evaluation, while the vmPFC encoded salience-based behavioral adjustments. The connectivity of the vmPFC-ventral striatum accounted for individual differences in utility-driven, whereas the vmPFC-dmPFC for performance-driven behavioral adjustments. Together, our results provide a neurocognitive account of how task-irrelevant visual salience drives decision-making by involving attention and the frontal-striatal valuation systems. PUBLIC SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Humans may use the current outcome to make behavior adjustments. How this occurs may depend on stable individual preferences and contextual factors, such as visual salience. Under the hypothesis that visual salience determines attention and subsequently modulates subjective valuation, we investigated the underlying behavioral and neural bases of visual-context-guided outcome evaluation and behavioral adjustments. Our findings suggest that the reward system is orchestrated by visual context and highlight the critical role of attention and the frontal-striatal neural circuit in visual-context-guided decision-making that may involve habitual and goal-directed processes

No form action theory

The thinking demonstrated by the "no form action" theory is completely new, and no one has ever used this kind of thinking to consider problems. Using no form and form as the two dimensions to describe this world is like using the x-axis and y-axis as the two dimensions of a Cartesian coordinate system in mathematics. The no form here means having no form at all. The theory established by these two dimensions is called two-dimensional theory, which avoids the shortcomings of dualism and the troubles it brings to philosophy. Since no form has no form at all, we cannot study it directly or use it directly. This is also a problem recognized by past philosophers (for example, Aristotle believed that pure no form does not exist). However, I have found three no form actions (manifestation action, isolation action, and motive force action). Through these three no form actions, we can explore this world and establish a metaphysical philosophical system called no form action theory. This allows us to deeply and effectively explain consciousness, logic, dialectics, freedom, aesthetics, time, space, and so on. Not only that, as a philosophical theory, no form action theory can also explain modern quantum mechanics, which is something that previous metaphysical philosophical systems could not do. No form action theory is a philosophical theory established with the main line of continuously interpreting consciousness because breaking through the difficult problem of consciousness is an essential path to achieve theoretical breakthroughs

Delay-Dependent Fuzzy Control of Networked Control Systems and Its Application

This paper is concerned with the state feedback stabilization problem for a class of Takagi-Sugeno (T-S) fuzzy networked control systems (NCSs) with random time delays. A delay-dependent fuzzy networked controller is constructed, where the control parameters are ndependent on both sensor-to-controller delay and controller-to-actuator delay simultaneously. The resulting NCS is transformed into a discrete-time fuzzy switched system, and under this framework, the stability conditions of the closed-loop NCS are derived by defining a multiple delay-dependent Lyapunov function. Based on the derived stability conditions, the stabilizing fuzzy networked controller design method is also provided. Finally, simulation results are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the obtained results

Modeling and Verification of Simulation-Oriented Digital Selves

Networked life has now become one of our major life forms. In social networks, each individual has its own attributes and certain functions, which makes the current network present characteristics that the previous network did not have. The existing research believes that the structure and attributes of individuals in a network are the same, and they are in a single network at the same time. However, individuals in any social network may be in different networks at the same time and thus exhibit different behaviors, and such individuals are called digital selves. In this paper, we propose a simulation-oriented modeling method for digital selves, which allows them to be in multiple networks at the same time and to have their own decision-making mechanisms. The model consists of six parts, namely, pattern, affecter, decider, executor, monitor, and connector. After the verification of three simulation experiments, namely coevolutions, ecological structure evolution of an e-commerce market, and multi-information coevolution spreading, the model can be well applied in various scenarios, which verifies its feasibility and applicability