200 research outputs found

    Deific Decree: The Short, Happy Life of a Pseudo-Doctrine

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    Monitoring of Intracranial Pressure in Patients with Traumatic Brain Injury

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    Since Monro published his observations on the nature of the contents of the intracranial space in 1783 there has been investigation of the unique relationship between the contents of the skull and the intracranial pressure (ICP). This is particularly true following traumatic brain injury (TBI), where it is clear that elevated ICP due to the underlying pathological processes is associated with a poorer clinical outcome. Consequently, there is considerable interest in monitoring and manipulating ICP In patients with TBI.The two techniques most commonly used in clinical practice to monitor ICP are via an intraventricular or intraparenchymal catheter with a microtransducer system. Both of these techniques are invasive and are thus associated with complications such as haemorrhage and infection. For this reason, significant research effort has been directed towards development of a non-invasive method to measure ICP. These include imaging based studies using computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), transcranial Doppler sonography (TCD), near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS), tympanic membrane displacement (TMD), visual-evoked potentials (VEPs), measurements of optic nerve sheath diameter (ONSD) and other measurements of the optic nerve, retina, pupil and ophthalmic artery.The principle aims of ICP monitoring in TBI are to allow early detection of secondary haemorrhage or ischaemic processes and to guide therapies that limit intracranial hypertension and optimise cerebral perfusion. However, information from the ICP value and the ICP waveform can also be used to estimate intracranial compliance, assess cerebrovascular pressure reactivity and attempt to forecast future episodes of intracranial hypertension

    Multi-Task Dynamical Systems

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    Time series datasets are often composed of a variety of sequences from the same domain, but from different entities, such as individuals, products, or organizations. We are interested in how time series models can be specialized to individual sequences (capturing the specific characteristics) while still retaining statistical power by sharing commonalities across the sequences. This paper describes the multi-task dynamical system (MTDS); a general methodology for extending multi-task learning (MTL) to time series models. Our approach endows dynamical systems with a set of hierarchical latent variables which can modulate all model parameters. To our knowledge, this is a novel development of MTL, and applies to time series both with and without control inputs. We apply the MTDS to motion-capture data of people walking in various styles using a multi-task recurrent neural network (RNN), and to patient drug-response data using a multi-task pharmacodynamic model.Comment: 52 pages, 17 figure

    Multi-Task Time Series Analysis applied to Drug Response Modelling

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    Time series models such as dynamical systems are frequently fitted to a cohort of data, ignoring variation between individual entities such as patients. In this paper we show how these models can be personalised to an individual level while retaining statistical power, via use of multi-task learning (MTL). To our knowledge this is a novel development of MTL which applies to time series both with and without control inputs. The modelling framework is demonstrated on a physiological drug response problem which results in improved predictive accuracy and uncertainty estimation over existing state-of-the-art models.Comment: To appear in AISTATS 201

    Multi-Task Dynamical Systems

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    Time series datasets are often composed of a variety of sequences from the same domain, but from different entities, such as individuals, products, or organizations. We are interested in how time series models can be specialized to individual sequences (capturing the specific characteristics) while still retaining statistical power by sharing commonalities across the sequences. This paper describes the multi-task dynamical system (MTDS); a general methodology for extending multi-task learning (MTL) to time series models. Our approach endows dynamical systems with a set of hierarchical latent variables which can modulate all model parameters. To our knowledge, this is a novel development of MTL, and applies to time series both with and without control inputs. We apply the MTDS to motion-capture data of people walking in various styles using a multi-task recurrent neural network (RNN), and to patient drug-response data using a multi-task pharmacodynamic model.Comment: 52 pages, 17 figure

    Physiological and pharmacological modelling in neurological intensive care and anaesthesia

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    Mathematical models of physiological processes can be used in critical care and anaesthesia to improve the understanding of disease processes and to guide treatment. This thesis provides a detailed description of two studies that are related through their shared aim of modelling different aspects of brain physiology. The Relationship Between Transcranial Bioimpedance and Invasive Intracranial Pressure Measurement in Traumatic Brain Injury Patients (BioTBI) Study describes an attempt to model intracranial pressure (ICP) in patients admitted with severe traumatic brain injury (TBI). It is introduced with a detailed discussion of the monitoring and modelling of ICP in patients with TBI alongside the rationale for considering transcranial bioimpedance (TCB) as a non-invasive approach to estimating ICP. The BioTBI Study confirmed a significant relationship between TCB and invasively measured ICP in ten patients admitted to the neurological intensive care unit (NICU) with severe TBI. Even when using an adjusted linear modelling technique to account for patient covariates, the magnitude of the relationship was small (r-squared = 0.32) and on the basis of the study, TCB is not seen as a realistic technique to monitor ICP in TBI. Target controlled infusion (TCI) of anaesthetic drugs exploit known pharmacokinetic pharmacodynamic (PKPD) models to achieve set concentrations in the plasma or an effect site. Following a discussion of PKPD model development for the anaesthetic drug propofol, the Validation Study of the Covariates Model (VaSCoM) describes a joint PKPD study of the Covariates Model. Pharmacokinetic validation of plasma concentrations predicted by the model in forty patients undergoing general anaesthesia confirmed a favourable overall bias (3%) and inaccuracy (25%) compared to established PKPD models. The first description of the pharmacodynamic behaviour of the Covariates Model is provided with an estimated rate constant for elimination from the effect site compartment (ke0) of 0.21 to 0.27 min-1
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