Political Violence and Excess Liquidity in Egypt

In this article we estimate a time-series model of excess liquidity in the Egyptian banking sector. While financial liberalisation and financial stability are found to have reduced excess liquidity, these effects have been offset by an increase in the number of violent political incidents arising from conflict between radical Islamic groups and the Egyptian state. The link between political events and financial outcomes provides a rationale for economic policy interventions by the international community in response to increases in political instability

Spin-mediated dissipation and frequency shifts of a cantilever at milliKelvin temperatures

We measure the dissipation and frequency shift of a magnetically coupled cantilever in the vicinity of a silicon chip, down to $25$ mK. The dissipation and frequency shift originates from the interaction with the unpaired electrons, associated with the dangling bonds in the native oxide layer of the silicon, which form a two dimensional system of electron spins. We approach the sample with a $3.43$ $\mu$m-diameter magnetic particle attached to an ultrasoft cantilever, and measure the frequency shift and quality factor as a function of temperature and the distance. Using a recent theoretical analysis [J. M. de Voogd et al., arXiv:1508.07972 (2015)] of the dynamics of a system consisting of a spin and a magnetic resonator, we are able to fit the data and extract the relaxation time $T_1=0.39\pm0.08$ ms and spin density $\sigma=0.14\pm0.01$ spins per nm$^2$. Our analysis shows that at temperatures $\leq500$ mK magnetic dissipation is an important source of non-contact friction.Comment: 5 pages, 3 figure

A method for mechanical generation of radio frequency fields in nuclear magnetic resonance force microscopy

We present an innovative method for magnetic resonance force microscopy (MRFM) with ultra-low dissipation, by using the higher modes of the mechanical detector as radio frequency (rf) source. This method allows MRFM on samples without the need to be close to an rf source. Furthermore, since rf sources require currents that give dissipation, our method enables nuclear magnetic resonance experiments at ultra-low temperatures. Removing the need for an on-chip rf source is an important step towards a MRFM which can be widely used in condensed matter physics.Comment: 7 pages, 5 figures, to be submitted to Physical Review Applie

On Max-Stable Processes and the Functional D-Norm

We introduce a functional domain of attraction approach for stochastic processes, which is more general than the usual one based on weak convergence. The distribution function G of a continuous max-stable process on [0,1] is introduced and it is shown that G can be represented via a norm on functional space, called D-norm. This is in complete accordance with the multivariate case and leads to the definition of functional generalized Pareto distributions (GPD) W. These satisfy W=1+log(G) in their upper tails, again in complete accordance with the uni- or multivariate case. Applying this framework to copula processes we derive characterizations of the domain of attraction condition for copula processes in terms of tail equivalence with a functional GPD. \delta-neighborhoods of a functional GPD are introduced and it is shown that these are characterized by a polynomial rate of convergence of functional extremes, which is well-known in the multivariate case.Comment: 22 page

Practical methods for dealing with 'not applicable' item responses in the AMC Linear Disability Score project

Background:\ud Whenever questionnaires are used to collect data on constructs, such as functional status or health related quality of life, it is unlikely that all respondents will respond to all items. This paper examines ways of dealing with responses in a 'not applicable' category to items included in the AMC Linear Disability Score (ALDS) project item bank. \ud \ud Methods:\ud The data examined in this paper come from the responses of 392 respondents to 32 items and form part of the calibration sample for the ALDS item bank. The data are analysed using the one-parameter logistic item response theory model. The four practical strategies for dealing with this type of response are: cold deck imputation; hot deck imputation; treating the missing responses as if these items had never been offered to those individual patients; and using a model which takes account of the 'tendency to respond to items'. \ud \ud Results:\ud The item and respondent population parameter estimates were very similar for the strategies involving hot deck imputation; treating the missing responses as if these items had never been offered to those individual patients; and using a model which takes account of the 'tendency to respond to items'. The estimates obtained using the cold deck imputation method were substantially different. \ud \ud Conclusions:\ud The cold deck imputation method was not considered suitable for use in the ALDS item bank. The other three methods described can be usefully implemented in the ALDS item bank, depending on the purpose of the data analysis to be carried out. These three methods may be useful for other data sets examining similar constructs, when item response theory based methods are used

Extreme value statistics and return intervals in long-range correlated uniform deviates

We study extremal statistics and return intervals in stationary long-range correlated sequences for which the underlying probability density function is bounded and uniform. The extremal statistics we consider e.g., maximum relative to minimum are such that the reference point from which the maximum is measured is itself a random quantity. We analytically calculate the limiting distributions for independent and identically distributed random variables, and use these as a reference point for correlated cases. The distributions are different from that of the maximum itself i.e., a Weibull distribution, reflecting the fact that the distribution of the reference point either dominates over or convolves with the distribution of the maximum. The functional form of the limiting distributions is unaffected by correlations, although the convergence is slower. We show that our findings can be directly generalized to a wide class of stochastic processes. We also analyze return interval distributions, and compare them to recent conjectures of their functional form

Towards field specific phosphate applications norms with machine learning

Efficient use of animal manure is an important link in the nutrient cycle in agricultural systems. On Dutch dairy farms, most manure is applied on grass and cropland, with maize as main crop. With the aim of balancing P input and output at field level, which is the idea behind the currently used, but rather fixed, ..