Geographic profiling in Nazi Berlin: fact and fiction

Geographic profiling uses the locations of connected crime sites to make inferences about the probable location of the offender’s ‘anchor point’ (usually a home, but sometimes a workplace). We show how the basic ideas of the method were used in a Gestapo investigation that formed the basis of a classic German novel about domestic resistance to the Nazis during the Second World War. We use modern techniques to re-analyse this case, and show that these successfully locate the Berlin home address of Otto and Elise Hampel, who had distributed hundreds of anti-Nazi postcards, after analysing just 34 of the 214 incidents that took place before their arrest. Our study provides the first empirical evidence to support the suggestion that analysis of minor terrorism-related acts such as graffiti and theft could be used to help locate terrorist bases before more serious incidents occur

Realignment of the ventricular septum using partial direct closure of the ventricular septal defect in Tetralogy of Fallot

Objective: The aim is to describe our technique of partial direct closure of the ventricular septal defect (VSD) in Tetralogy of Fallot (TOF), and assess its influence on the realignment and remodeling of the left ventricular outflow tract. Methods: Between 2004 and 2010, 32 non-consecutive patients with TOF underwent a direct or partial direct closure of VSD. Median age and weight were 5.2 months and 6.7kg, respectively. An approach through the right atrium was used in 30 patients and through the infundibulum in two patients. The conal septum was mobilized by transecting the hypertrophic trabeculae to facilitate the approximation of the VSD. The membranous part of the VSD was closed (in the later part of the series) with a small xenopericardial patch to avoid tension on the suture line traversing the area of risk to the bundle of His. Follow-up was complete, with a median duration of 46.9 (range 12-75.3) months. Results: The VSD could be closed successfully in all patients. A residual VSD was partly responsible for one early postoperative re-operation. There were no early or late deaths. At follow-up, all patients were in sinus rhythm. Three patients showed a small residual VSD. Thirty patients had none, one showed trivial, and one had mild aortic regurgitation. The left ventricular outflow showed a good realignment of the ventricular septum in all the patients. Conclusions: Partial direct closure of the VSD corrects the primary defect in TOF, that is, the malalignment of the septum. It results in a straight, wide open left ventricular outflow tract and brings better support to the aortic roo

Spatial methods for infectious disease outbreak investigations: systematic literature review

Investigations of infectious disease outbreaks are conventionally framed in terms of person, time and place. Although geographic information systems have increased the range of tools available, spatial analyses are used relatively infrequently. We conducted a systematic review of published reports of outbreak investigations worldwide to estimate the prevalence of spatial methods, describe the techniques applied and explore their utility. We identified 80 reports using spatial methods published between 1979 and 2013, ca 0.4% of the total number of published outbreaks. Environmental or waterborne infections were the most commonly investigated, and most reports were from the United Kingdom. A range of techniques were used, including simple dot maps, cluster analyses and modelling approaches. Spatial tools were usefully applied throughout investigations, from initial confirmation of the outbreak to describing and analysing cases and communicating findings. They provided valuable insights that led to public health actions, but there is scope for much wider implementation and development of new methods.</jats:p

Simple in-line stopped flow photolysis of copper complexes in natural waters using a flow injection system

The development of an in-line digestion system based on simple UV lamp is reported. The effect of photolysis on the preconcentration of copper was investigated using an in-line Chelex-l00 ion-exchange column linked to an atomic absorption spectrometer. Three model ligands, glycine, NTA and EDTA, have been used to demonstrate the effect of the digestion system. In a stopped-flow mode, over 90% of the complexed copper was recovered in the presence of any of the three ligands. When the UV lamp was turned off, this changed to 84, 45 and 2% recovery for the glycine, NTA and EDTA complexed copper, respectively. The ability to analyse samples with the UV lamp on or off means that the device may be used to study the speciation of the copper

The magnitude and characteristics of the population of cancer survivors: Using populationbased estimates of cancer prevalence to inform service planning for survivorship care

© 2014 Sharp et al. Background: Rising cancer incidence and survival mean that the number of cancer survivors is growing. Accumulating evidence suggests many survivors have long-term medical and supportive care needs, and that these needs vary by survivors' socio-demographic and clinical characteristics. To illustrate how cancer registry data may be useful in survivorship care service planning, we generated population-based estimates of cancer prevalence in Ireland and described socio-demographic and clinical characteristics of the survivor population. Methods: Details of people diagnosed with invasive cancer (ICD10 C00-C96) during 1994-2011, and who were still alive on 31/12/2011, were abstracted from the National Cancer Registry, and tabulated by cancer site, sex, current age, marital status, initial treatment, and time since diagnosis. Associations were investigated using chi-square tests. Results: After excluding non-melanoma skin cancers, 17-year cancer prevalence in Ireland was 112,610 (females: 58,054 (52%) males: 54,556 (48%)). The four most prevalent cancers among females were breast (26,066), colorectum (6,598), melanoma (4,593) and uterus (3,505) and among males were prostate (23,966), colorectum (8,207), lymphoma (3,236) and melanoma (2,774). At the end of 2011, 39% of female survivors were aged <60 and 35% were ≥70 compared to 25% and 46% of males (p < 0.001). More than half of survivors of bladder, colorectal and prostate cancer were ≥70. Cancers with the highest percentages of younger (<40) survivors were: testis (50%); leukaemia (females: 28%; males: 22%); cervix (20%); and lymphoma (females: 19%; males: 20%). Fewer female (57%) than male (64%) survivors were married but the percentage single was similar (17-18%). More female (25%) than male survivors (18%; p < 0.001) were ≥10 years from diagnosis. Overall, 69% of survivors had undergone cancer-directed surgery, and 39%, 32% and 18% had received radiotherapy, chemotherapy and hormone therapy, respectively. These frequencies were higher among females than males (surgery: 82%, 54%; radiotherapy: 42%, 35%; chemotherapy: 40%, 22%; hormone therapy: 23%, 13%). Conclusions: These results reveal the socio-demographic and clinical heterogeneity of the survivor population, and highlight groups which may have specific medical and supportive care needs. These types of population-based estimates may help decision-makers, planners and service providers to develop follow-up and after-care services to effectively meet survivors' needs