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The impacts of climate change on the winter water cycle of the western Himalaya
Some 180 million people depend on the Indus River as a key water resource, fed largely by precipitation falling over the western Himalaya. However, the projected response of western Himalayan precipitation to climate change is currently not well constrained: CMIP5 GCMs project a reduced frequency and vorticity of synoptic-scale systems impacting the area, but such systems would exist in a considerably moister atmosphere.
In this study, a convection-permitting (4 km horizontal resolution) setup of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is used to examine 40 cases of these synoptic-scale systems, known as western disturbances (WDs), as they interact with the western Himalaya. In addition to a present-day control run, three experiments are performed by perturbing the boundary and initial conditions to reflect pre-industrial, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 background climates respectively.
It is found that in spite of the weakening intensity of WDs, net precipitation associated with them in future climate scenarios increases significantly; conversely there is no net change in precipitation between the pre-industrial and control experiments despite a significant conversion of snowfall in the pre-industrial experiment to rainfall in the control experiment, consistent with the changes seen in historical observations.
This shift from snowfall to rainfall has profound consequences on water resource management in the Indus Valley, where irrigation is dependent on spring meltwater. Flux decomposition shows that the increase in future precipitation follows directly from the projected moistening of the tropical atmosphere (which increases the moisture flux incident on the western Himalaya by 28%) overpowering the weakened dynamics (which decreases it by 20%).
Changes to extreme rainfall events are also examined: it is found that such events may increase significantly in frequency in both future scenarios examined.
Two-hour maxima rainfall events that currently occur in 1-in-8 WDs are projected to increase tenfold in frequency in the RCP8.5 scenario; more prolonged (one-week maxima) events are projected to increase fiftyfold
Seasonal variation on radon emission from soil and water
Radon is being measured continuously in spring water and soil-gas at Badshahi Thaul Campus,
Tehri Garhwal in Himalayan region by using radon Emanometer since December 2002. An effort was made to
correlate the variance of radon concentrations in spring water and soil-gas with meteorological parameters at
the same location. The main meteorological parameters that affect the radon emanation from host material is
surrounding temperature, barometric pressure, wind velocity, rain fall and water level of the spring. The correlation
coefficient between radon concentration in spring water and different atmospheric parameters was computed.
The correlation coefficient between radon concentration in spring water and the maximum atmospheric temperature
was 0.3, while it was 0.4 for minimum atmospheric temperature at the monitoring site. The correlation coefficient
for radon concentration in spring water with minimum and maximum relative humidity was 0.4. Spring water
radon concentration was found positively correlated (0.6) with water discharge rate of the spring. A weak
correlation (0.09) was observed between the radon concentration in spring water and rain fall during the
measurement period. As temperature of near surface soil increases, the radon emanation coefficient from the
soil surface also increases. The possible effects due to global warming and other climatic changes on environment
radiation level were also discussed in detail.Yogesh Prasad1, Ganesh Prasad1, G S Gusain1, V M Choubey2 and R C Ramola1*
1Department of Physics, H N B Garhwal University, Badshahi Thaul Campus,
Tehri Garhwal-249 199, Uttarakhand, India
2Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology, Dehradun-248 001,
Uttarakhand, India
E-mail : [email protected] of Physics, H N B Garhwal University, Badshahi Thaul Campus,
Tehri Garhwal-249 199, Uttarakhand, India
Wadia Institute of Himalayan Geology, Dehradun-248 001,
Uttarakhand, Indi
Variation of radon concentrations in soil and groundwater and its correlation with radon exhalation rate from soil in Budhakedar,Garhwal Himalaya
Radon was measured in soil-gas and groundwater in the Budhakedar area of
Tehri Garhwal, India in summer and winter to obtain the seasonal variation and its
correlation with radon exhalation rate. The environmental surface gamma dose rate
was also measured in the same area. The radon exhalation rate in the soil sample
collected from different geological unit of Budhakedar area was measured using
plastic track detector (LR-115 type II) technique. The variation in the radon
concentration in soil-gas was found to vary from 1098 to 31,776 Bq.m–3 with an
average of 7456 Bq.m–3 in summer season and 3501 to 42883 Bq.m–3 with an average of
17148 Bq.m–3 in winter season. In groundwater, it was found to vary from 8 to 3047
Bq.l–1 with an average value 510 Bq.l–1 in summer and 26 to 2311 Bq.l–1 with an
average value 433 Bq.L–1 in winter. Surface gamma dose rate in the study area varied
from 32.4 to 83.6 .R.h–1 with an overall mean of 58.7 .R.h–1 in summer and 34.6 to
79.3 .R.h–1 with an average value 58.2 .R.h–1 in winter. Radon exhalation rate from
collected soil samples was found to vary from 0.1 × 10–5 to 5.7 × 10–5 Bq.kg–1.h–1
with an average of 1.5 × 10–5 Bq.kg–1.h–1 in summer season and 1.7 × 10–5 to 9.6 ×
10–5 Bq.kg–1.h–1 with an average of 5.5 × 10–5 Bq.kg–1.h–1. A weak negative
correlation was observed between radon exhalation rate from soil and radon
concentration in the soil. Radon exhalation rate from the soil was also not found to
be correlated with the gamma dose rate, while it shows a positive correlation with
radon concentration in water in summer season. Inter-correlations among various
parameters are discussed in detail.Variation of radon concentrations in soil and groundwater and its correlation with
radon exhalation rate from soil in Budhakedar,Garhwal Himalaya
Ganesh Prasad, Yogesh Prasad, G S Gusain, Manjari Badoni, J M S Rana and R C Ramola*
Department of Physics, H N B Garhwal University, Badshahi Thaul Campus,
Tehri Garhwal-249 199, Uttarakhand, India
E-mail : [email protected] of Physics, H N B Garhwal University, Badshahi Thaul Campus,
Tehri Garhwal-249 199, Uttarakhand, Indi
NATURAL RADIOACTIVITY LEVEL AND ELEMENTAL COMPOSITION OF SOIL SAMPLES FROM A HIGH BACKGROUND RADIATION AREAON EASTERN COAST OF INDIA (ODISHA)
A comprehensive study was carried out to determine the radioactivity concentration of soil samples from different sites of a high background radiation area in the eastern coast of India, Odisha state. The dose rate measured in situ varied from 0.25 to 1.2 mSv h-1. The gamma spectrometry measurements indicated Th series elements as the main contributors to the enhanced level of radiation and allowed the authors to find the mean level of the activity concentration (+SD) for 226Ra, 228Th and 40K as 130+97, 1110+890 and 360+140 Bq kg21, respectively. Human exposure from radionuclides occurring outdoor was estimated based on the effective dose rate, which ranged from 0.14+0.02 to 2.15+0.26 mSv and was higher than the UNSCEARannual worldwide average value 0.07 mSv. Additionally, X-ray fluorescence analysis provided information about the content of major elements in samples and indicated the significant amount of Ti (7.4+4.9 %) in soils