9 research outputs found

    Changing state of the climate system

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    Chapter 2 assesses observed large-scale changes in climate system drivers, key climate indicators and principal modes of variability. Chapter 3 considers model performance and detection/attribution, and Chapter 4 covers projections for a subset of these same indicators and modes of variability. Collectively, these chapters provide the basis for later chapters, which focus upon processes and regional changes. Within Chapter 2, changes are assessed from in situ and remotely sensed data and products and from indirect evidence of longer-term changes based upon a diverse range of climate proxies. The time-evolving availability of observations and proxy information dictate the periods that can be assessed. Wherever possible, recent changes are assessed for their significance in a longer-term context, including target proxy periods, both in terms of mean state and rates of change

    Surface In situ Datasets for Marine Climatological Applications

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    Climatological products are required for monitoring and studying global climate change and accurately identifying secular trends over the past two centuries. These products require consistent and well-characterised observational data and metadata from the earliest ship observations and from the modern ocean observing system. Maintaining and developing long-term surface marine climatological datasets requires a different approach to data management than for operational applications. The current management of climatological datasets is discussed and specific modernization steps recommended. The status of relevant in situ observing systems is reviewed in the context of available satellite data. The extent to which requirements for maintaining sampling, redundancy, and consistency are met by existing data delivery mechanisms is considered. Recommendations include: data and metadata rescue; maintaining consistency with the historical record; modernization of data flow and climatological products; for observations with added-value through improved metadata, quality control and uncertainty characterization; and improved dataset construction methods

    Observations to Quantify Air-Sea Fluxes and Their Role in Climate Variability and Predictability

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    Flux products quantifying exchanges between ocean and atmosphere are needed for forcing models, understanding ocean dynamics, investigating the ocean’s role in climate, and assessing coupled models. Research experiments are essential to improve flux parameterizations, and longer research deployments are required to sample rare events. Urgently needed technological improvements include longer battery life, more robust sensors and improvement of sensors for humidity, precipitation and direct gas and particle fluxes. A range of different flux products are needed, incorporating data from ships, satellites and models in different combinations and using different methods. All products must be characterized with uncertainty estimates. Dataset validation requires high quality observations from ocean flux reference sites and from ships. The continued development of flux products from satellites provides much-needed sampling. Continual intercomparisons among products and with high quality observations will lead to improved flux datasets, while improvements to the flux data management system would facilitate these intercomparisons
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