The effects of viral load burden on pregnancy loss among HIV-infected women in the United States

Background. To evaluate the effects of HIV viral load, measured cross-sectionally and cumulatively, on the risk of miscarriage or stillbirth (pregnancy loss) among HIV-infected women enrolled in the Women's Interagency HIV Study between 1994 and 2013. Methods. We assessed three exposures: most recent viral load measure before the pregnancy ended, log10 copy-years viremia from initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) to conception, and log10 copy-years viremia in the two years before conception. Results. The risk of pregnancy loss for those with log10 viral load >4.00 before pregnancy ended was 1.59 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.99, 2.56) times as high as the risk for women whose log10 viral load was ≤1.60. There was not a meaningful impact of log10 copy-years viremia since ART or log10 copy-years viremia in the two years before conception on pregnancy loss (adjusted risk ratios (aRRs): 0.80 (95% CI: 0.69, 0.92) and 1.00 (95% CI: 0.90, 1.11), resp.). Conclusions. Cumulative viral load burden does not appear to be an informative measure for pregnancy loss risk, but the extent of HIV replication during pregnancy, as represented by plasma HIV RNA viral load, predicted loss versus live birth in this ethnically diverse cohort of HIV-infected US women

Viremia trajectories of HIV in HIV-positive women in the United States, 1994-2017

IMPORTANCE Viral suppression of HIV is an important treatment goal to decrease morbidity, mortality, and risk of transmission to others. OBJECTIVE To characterize longitudinal HIV viral load outcomes among women enrolled in the Women's Interagency HIV Study (WIHS). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS A prospective cohort study of HIV-positive women with semiannual study visits and a minimum of 5 follow-up visits was conducted from 1994 to 2017. The WIHS sites included in this analysis are in Brooklyn and Bronx, New York; Chicago, Illinois; San Francisco, California; andWashington, DC. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Women were categorized into groups based on their probability of achieving viral load suppression below 200 copies/mL using logistic trajectory modeling. Multinomial regression analysis was used to identify factors associated with placement in the group with the highest probability of viremia. RESULTS At baseline, the mean (SD) age of the 1989 women was 36.9 (8.0) years, mean CD4+ T-lymphocyte count was 467/mm3, median (interquartile range) HIV RNA was 6200.0 (384.5-41 678.0) copies/mL, and 1305 women (65.6%) were African American. Three trajectory groups were identified with low (568 [28.6%]), intermediate (784 [39.4%]), and high (637 [32.0%]) probability of viremia above 200 copies/mL. The mean (SD) cumulative years of viral suppression were 18.7 (4.0) years, 12.2 (3.1) years, and 5.8 (2.9) years in the respective groups. Factors associated with high probability of viremia included younger age (odds ratio [OR]. 0.99; 95%CI, 0.98-0.99; P = .03), African American race (odds ratio [OR], 2.43; 95%CI, 1.75-3.37), P < .001), Hispanic race/ ethnicity (OR, 1.50; 95%CI, 1.03-2.19; P = .04), increased levels of depressive symptoms (OR, 1.17; 95%CI, 1.01-1.36; P = .03), drug use (OR, 1.23; 95%CI, 1.01-1.51; P = .04), lower CD4+ T-lymphocyte counts (OR, 95%CI, 0.82; 0.80-0.85; P < .001), and unstable housing (OR, 1.25, 95%CI, 1.03-1.50; P = .02). Between 2015 and 2017, 71.2%of women demonstrated sustained viral suppression: 89.6% (310 of 346) of those with lowviremia, 83.4%(346 of 415) with intermediate, and 35.2%(112 of 318) with high probability of viremia. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE This longitudinal approach suggested that the probability of viremia decreased substantially over time for most participants, including among women with earlier histories of incomplete viral suppression. The findings from this study suggest that continued efforts are needed to address mental health, social, behavioral and structural factors that were identified as associated with high probability of HIV viremia over time