Financing Direct Democracy: Revisiting the Research on Campaign Spending and Citizen Initiatives

The conventional view in the direct democracy literature is that spending against a measure is more effective than spending in favor of a measure, but the empirical results underlying this conclusion have been questioned by recent research. We argue that the conventional finding is driven by the endogenous nature of campaign spending: initiative proponents spend more when their ballot measure is likely to fail. We address this endogeneity by using an instrumental variables approach to analyze a comprehensive dataset of ballot propositions in California from 1976 to 2004. We find that both support and opposition spending on citizen initiatives have strong, statistically significant, and countervailing effects. We confirm this finding by looking at time series data from early polling on a subset of these measures. Both analyses show that spending in favor of citizen initiatives substantially increases their chances of passage, just as opposition spending decreases this likelihood

The Signal Value of Crowdfunded Products

Crowdfunding has emerged as an alternative means of financing new ventures by utilizing the financial support of a large group of individual investors. In this research, we ask a novel question: does being crowdfunded carry any signal value for the broader market of observing consumers? Seven studies reveal a consumer preference for “crowdfunded products”, even after controlling for a product’s objective product characteristics. We identify two inferences that help explain this effect: (1) consumers perceive crowdfunded products to be of higher quality, and (2) they believe that supporting crowdfunding reduces inequality in the marketplace. We further document an important boundary condition of the first inference: our identified effect reverses in high risk domains (e.g., products that involve high physical risk), due to consumer perceptions that the crowdfunding model lacks sufficient professionalism to mitigate risk. With regard to the second inference, we find that the positive crowdfunding effect is particularly strong among consumers who value social equality. Taken together, our work sheds new light on consumer perceptions of crowdfunding, elucidates why and when consumers prefer crowdfunded products, and offers actionable implications for managers

Short-Course Therapy for Urinary Tract Infections in Children: The SCOUT Randomized Clinical Trial

IMPORTANCE: There is a paucity of pediatric-specific comparative data to guide duration of therapy recommendations in children with urinary tract infection (UTI). OBJECTIVE: To compare the efficacy of standard-course and short-course therapy for children with UTI. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS: The Short Course Therapy for Urinary Tract Infections (SCOUT) randomized clinical noninferiority trial took place at outpatient clinics and emergency departments at 2 children\u27s hospitals from May 2012, through, August 2019. Data were analyzed from January 2020, through, February 2023. Participants included children aged 2 months to 10 years with UTI exhibiting clinical improvement after 5 days of antimicrobials. INTERVENTION: Another 5 days of antimicrobials (standard-course therapy) or 5 days of placebo (short-course therapy). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome, treatment failure, was defined as symptomatic UTI at or before the first follow-up visit (day 11 to 14). Secondary outcomes included UTI after the first follow-up visit, asymptomatic bacteriuria, positive urine culture, and gastrointestinal colonization with resistant organisms. RESULTS: Analysis for the primary outcome included 664 randomized children (639 female [96%]; median age, 4 years). Among children evaluable for the primary outcome, 2 of 328 assigned to standard-course (0.6%) and 14 of 336 assigned to short-course (4.2%) had a treatment failure (absolute difference of 3.6% with upper bound 95% CI of 5.5.%). Children receiving short-course therapy were more likely to have asymptomatic bacteriuria or a positive urine culture at or by the first follow-up visit. There were no differences between groups in rates of UTI after the first follow-up visit, incidence of adverse events, or incidence of gastrointestinal colonization with resistant organisms. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this randomized clinical trial, children assigned to standard-course therapy had lower rates of treatment failure than children assigned to short-course therapy. However, the low failure rate of short-course therapy suggests that it could be considered as a reasonable option for children exhibiting clinical improvement after 5 days of antimicrobial treatment. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01595529

Next steps for Human-Computer Integration

Human-Computer Integration (HInt) is an emerging paradigm in which computational and human systems are closely interwoven. Integrating computers with the human body is not new. However, we believe that with rapid technological advancements, increasing real-world deployments, and growing ethical and societal implications, it is critical to identify an agenda for future research. We present a set of challenges for HInt research, formulated over the course of a five-day workshop consisting of 29 experts who have designed, deployed, and studied HInt systems. This agenda aims to guide researchers in a structured way towards a more coordinated and conscientious future of human-computer integration

Mammals adjust diel activity across gradients of urbanization

Time is a fundamental component of ecological processes. How animal behavior changes over time has been explored through well-known ecological theories like niche partitioning and predator–prey dynamics. Yet, changes in animal behavior within the shorter 24-hr light–dark cycle have largely gone unstudied. Understanding if an animal can adjust their temporal activity to mitigate or adapt to environmental change has become a recent topic of discussion and is important for effective wildlife management and conservation. While spatial habitat is a fundamental consideration in wildlife management and conservation, temporal habitat is often ignored. We formulated a temporal resource selection model to quantify the diel behavior of 8 mammal species across 10 US cities. We found high variability in diel activity patterns within and among species and species-specific correlations between diel activity and human population density, impervious land cover, available greenspace, vegetation cover, and mean daily temperature. We also found that some species may modulate temporal behaviors to manage both natural and anthropogenic risks. Our results highlight the complexity with which temporal activity patterns interact with local environmental characteristics, and suggest that urban mammals may use time along the 24-hr cycle to reduce risk, adapt, and therefore persist, and in some cases thrive, in human-dominated ecosystems

Respiratory Virus Surveillance Among Children with Acute Respiratory Illnesses - New Vaccine Surveillance Network, United States, 2016-2021

The New Vaccine Surveillance Network (NVSN) is a prospective, active, population-based surveillance platform that enrolls children with acute respiratory illnesses (ARIs) at seven pediatric medical centers. ARIs are caused by respiratory viruses including influenza virus, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), human metapneumovirus (HMPV), human parainfluenza viruses (HPIVs), and most recently SARS-CoV-2 (the virus that causes COVID-19), which result in morbidity among infants and young children (1-6). NVSN estimates the incidence of pathogen-specific pediatric ARIs and collects clinical data (e.g., underlying medical conditions and vaccination status) to assess risk factors for severe disease and calculate influenza and COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness. Current NVSN inpatient (i.e., hospital) surveillance began in 2015, expanded to emergency departments (EDs) in 2016, and to outpatient clinics in 2018. This report describes demographic characteristics of enrolled children who received care in these settings, and yearly circulation of influenza, RSV, HMPV, HPIV1-3, adenovirus, human rhinovirus and enterovirus (RV/EV),* and SARS-CoV-2 during December 2016-August 2021. Among 90,085 eligible infants, children, and adolescents (children) aged \u3c18 \u3eyear

Paracrine signals from mesenchymal cell populations govern the expansion and differentiation of human hepatic stem cells to adult liver fates

Differentiation of embryonic or determined stem cell populations to adult liver fates under known conditions yields cells with some but not other adult-specific genes, aberrant regulation of one or more genes, and variation in the results from experiment to experiment. We tested the hypothesis that sets of signals produced by freshly isolated, lineage-dependent mesenchymal cell populations would yield greater efficiency and reproducibility in driving differentiation of human hepatic stem cells (hHpSCs) to adult liver fates. Subpopulations of liver-derived mesenchymal cells, purified by immunoselection technologies, included 1) angioblasts; 2) mature endothelia; 3) hepatic stellate cell precursors; 4) mature stellate cells (pericytes) and 5) myofibroblasts. Freshly immunoselected cells of each of these subpopulations were established in primary cultures under wholly defined (serum-free) conditions that we developed for short-term cultures and used them as feeders with hHpSCs. Feeders of angioblasts yielded self-replication; stellate cell precursors caused lineage restriction to hepatoblasts; mature endothelia produced differentiation to hepatocytes; and mature stellate cells and/or myofibroblasts resulted in differentiation to cholangiocytes. Paracrine signals, produced by the different feeders, were identified by biochemical, immunohistochemical, and qRT-PCR analyses and then those signals were used to replace the feeders in monolayer and 3-D cultures to elicit the desired biological responses from the hHpSCs. The defined paracrine signals proved able to yield reproducible responses from the hHpSCs and to permit differentiation to fully mature and functional parenchymal cells

Foundations of Translational Ecology

Ecologists who specialize in translational ecology (TE) seek to link ecological knowledge to decision making by integrating ecological science with the full complement of social dimensions that underlie today\u27s complex environmental issues. TE is motivated by a search for outcomes that directly serve the needs of natural resource managers and decision makers. This objective distinguishes it from both basic and applied ecological research and, as a practice, it deliberately extends research beyond theory or opportunistic applications. TE is uniquely positioned to address complex issues through interdisciplinary team approaches and integrated scientist–practitioner partnerships. The creativity and context-specific knowledge of resource managers, practitioners, and decision makers inform and enrich the scientific process and help shape use-driven, actionable science. Moreover, addressing research questions that arise from on-the-ground management issues – as opposed to the top-down or expert-oriented perspectives of traditional science – can foster the high levels of trust and commitment that are critical for long-term, sustained engagement between partners

A multi-institutional retrospective pooled outcome analysis of molecularly annotated pediatric supratentorial ZFTA-fused ependymoma

BACKGROUND ZFTA-RELA (formerly known as c11orf-RELA) fused supratentorial ependymoma (ZFTAfus ST-EPN) has been recognized as a novel entity in the 2016 WHO classification of CNS tumors and further defined in the recent 2021 edition. ZFTAfus ST-EPN was reported to portend poorer prognosis when compared to its counterpart, YAP1 ST-EPN in some previously published series. The aim of this study was to determine the treatment outcome of molecularly confirmed and conventionally treated ZFTAfus ST-EPN patients treated in multiple institutions. METHODS We conducted a retrospective analysis of all pediatric patients with molecularly confirmed ZFTAfus ST-EPN patients treated in multiple institutions in 5 different countries (Australia, Canada, Germany, Switzerland, and Czechia). Survival outcomes were analyzed and correlated with clinical characteristics and treatment approaches. RESULTS A total of 108 patients were collated from multiple institutions in 5 different countries across three continents. We found across the entire cohort that the 5- and 10-year PFS were 65% and 63%, respectively. The 5- and 10-year OS of this cohort of patients were 87% and 73%. The rates of gross total resection (GTR) were high with 84 out of 108 (77.8%) patients achieving GTR. The vast majority of patients also received post-operative radiotherapy, 98 out of 108 (90.7%). Chemotherapy did not appear to provide any survival benefit in our patient cohort. CONCLUSION This is the largest study to date of contemporaneously treated molecularly confirmed ZFTAfus ST-EPN patients which identified markedly improved survival outcomes compared to previously published series. This study also re-emphasizes the importance of maximal surgical resection in achieving optimal outcomes in pediatric patients with supratentorial ependymoma