Inverse problems and uncertainty quantification

In a Bayesian setting, inverse problems and uncertainty quantification (UQ) - the propagation of uncertainty through a computational (forward) model - are strongly connected. In the form of conditional expectation the Bayesian update becomes computationally attractive. This is especially the case as together with a functional or spectral approach for the forward UQ there is no need for time-consuming and slowly convergent Monte Carlo sampling. The developed sampling-free non-linear Bayesian update is derived from the variational problem associated with conditional expectation. This formulation in general calls for further discretisation to make the computation possible, and we choose a polynomial approximation. After giving details on the actual computation in the framework of functional or spectral approximations, we demonstrate the workings of the algorithm on a number of examples of increasing complexity. At last, we compare the linear and quadratic Bayesian update on the small but taxing example of the chaotic Lorenz 84 model, where we experiment with the influence of different observation or measurement operators on the update.Comment: 25 pages, 17 figures. arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:1201.404

Polarization Phenomena by Deuteron Fragmentation into Pions

The fragmentation of deuterons into pions emitted forward in the kinematic region forbidden for free nucleon-nucleon collisions is analyzed. The inclusive relativistic invariant spectrum of pions and the tensor analyzing power T_{20} are investigated within the framework of an impulse approximation using different kinds of the deuteron wave function. The influence of P-wave inclusion in the deuteron wave function is studied, too. The invariant spectrum is shown to be more sensitive to the amplitude of the $NN \to \pi X$ process than the tensor analyzing power T_{20}. It is shown that the inclusion of the non-nucleon degrees of freedom in a deuteron results a satisfactory description of experimental data about the inclusive pion spectrum and improves the description of data about T_{20}. According to the experimental data, T_{20} has the positive sign and very small values, less than 0.2, what contradicts to the theoretical calculations ignoring these degrees of freedom.Comment: 18 pages, 8 eps figures, 1 picture - svjour.cls required; enlarged new version with corrections and additional figure. The Abstract and the section "Summary and outlook" have been also corrected. Final version to appear in Eur.Phys.J. A. A talk given at the International Workshop "Symmetries and Spin" (July 17-22, Prague, Czech Republic

Parameter Estimation via Conditional Expectation --- A Bayesian Inversion

When a mathematical or computational model is used to analyse some system, it is usual that some parameters resp.\ functions or fields in the model are not known, and hence uncertain. These parametric quantities are then identified by actual observations of the response of the real system. In a probabilistic setting, Bayes's theory is the proper mathematical background for this identification process. The possibility of being able to compute a conditional expectation turns out to be crucial for this purpose. We show how this theoretical background can be used in an actual numerical procedure, and shortly discuss various numerical approximations

Polynomial Chaos Expansion of random coefficients and the solution of stochastic partial differential equations in the Tensor Train format

We apply the Tensor Train (TT) decomposition to construct the tensor product Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) of a random field, to solve the stochastic elliptic diffusion PDE with the stochastic Galerkin discretization, and to compute some quantities of interest (mean, variance, exceedance probabilities). We assume that the random diffusion coefficient is given as a smooth transformation of a Gaussian random field. In this case, the PCE is delivered by a complicated formula, which lacks an analytic TT representation. To construct its TT approximation numerically, we develop the new block TT cross algorithm, a method that computes the whole TT decomposition from a few evaluations of the PCE formula. The new method is conceptually similar to the adaptive cross approximation in the TT format, but is more efficient when several tensors must be stored in the same TT representation, which is the case for the PCE. Besides, we demonstrate how to assemble the stochastic Galerkin matrix and to compute the solution of the elliptic equation and its post-processing, staying in the TT format. We compare our technique with the traditional sparse polynomial chaos and the Monte Carlo approaches. In the tensor product polynomial chaos, the polynomial degree is bounded for each random variable independently. This provides higher accuracy than the sparse polynomial set or the Monte Carlo method, but the cardinality of the tensor product set grows exponentially with the number of random variables. However, when the PCE coefficients are implicitly approximated in the TT format, the computations with the full tensor product polynomial set become possible. In the numerical experiments, we confirm that the new methodology is competitive in a wide range of parameters, especially where high accuracy and high polynomial degrees are required.Comment: This is a major revision of the manuscript arXiv:1406.2816 with significantly extended numerical experiments. Some unused material is remove

To be or not to be intrusive? The solution of parametric and stochastic equations - the "plain vanilla" Galerkin case

In parametric equations - stochastic equations are a special case - one may want to approximate the solution such that it is easy to evaluate its dependence of the parameters. Interpolation in the parameters is an obvious possibility, in this context often labeled as a collocation method. In the frequent situation where one has a "solver" for the equation for a given parameter value - this may be a software component or a program - it is evident that this can independently solve for the parameter values to be interpolated. Such uncoupled methods which allow the use of the original solver are classed as "non-intrusive". By extension, all other methods which produce some kind of coupled system are often - in our view prematurely - classed as "intrusive". We show for simple Galerkin formulations of the parametric problem - which generally produce coupled systems - how one may compute the approximation in a non-intusive way