Twenty-year trends in the prevalence of modifiable cardiovascular risk factors in young acute coronary syndrome patients hospitalized in Switzerland

AIMS Modifiable cardiovascular risk factors (RFs) play a key role in the development of coronary artery disease. We evaluated 20-year trends in RF prevalence among young adults hospitalized with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) in Switzerland. METHODS AND RESULTS Data were analysed from the Acute Myocardial Infarction in Switzerland (AMIS) Plus registry from 2000 to 2019. Young patients were defined as those aged <50 years. Among 58 028 ACS admissions, 7073 (14.1%) were young (median 45.6 years, IQR 42.0-48.0), of which 91.6% had at least one modifiable RF and 59.0% had at least two RFs. Smoking was the most prevalent RF (71.4%), followed by dyslipidaemia (57.3%), hypertension (35.9%), obesity (21.7%), and diabetes (10.1%). Compared with older patients, young patients were more likely to be obese (21.7% vs. 17.4%, P < 0.001) and active smokers (71.4% vs. 33.9%, P < 0.001). Among young patients, between 2000 and 2019, there was a significant increase in the prevalence of hypertension from 29.0% to 51.3% and obesity from 21.2% to 27.1% (both Ptrend < 0.001) but a significant decrease in active smoking from 72.5% to 62.5% (Ptrend = 0.02). There were no significant changes in the prevalence of diabetes (Ptrend = 0.32) or dyslipidaemia (Ptrend = 0.067). CONCLUSION Young ACS patients in Switzerland exhibit a high prevalence of RFs and are more likely than older patients to be obese and smokers. Between 2000 and 2019, RF prevalence either increased or remained stable, except for smoking which decreased but still affected approximately two-thirds of young patients in 2019. Public health initiatives targeting RFs in young adults in Switzerland are warranted

Prognostic value of low heart rates in patients admitted with acute myocardial infarction

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: The risk prediction scores adopted in acute coronary syndromes (ACS) use incremental models to estimate mortality for heart rate (HR) above 60 bpm. Nonetheless, previous studies reported a nonlinear relationship between HR and events, suggesting that low HR may have an unrecognized prognostic role. We aimed to assess the prognostic impact of low HR in ACS, defined as admission HR <50 bpm. METHODS: This study analyzed data from the AMIS Plus registry, a cohort of hospitalized patients with ACS between 1999 and 2021. The primary endpoint was in-hospital all-cause mortality, while a composite of all-cause mortality, major cardiac/cerebrovascular events was set as the secondary endpoint. A multilevel statistical method was used to assess the prognostic role of low HR in ACS. RESULTS: The study included 51 001 patients. Crude estimates showed a bimodal distribution of primary and secondary endpoints with peaks at low and high HR. A nonlinear relationship between HR and in-hospital mortality was observed on restricted cubic spline analysis. An HR of 50 to 75 bpm showed lower mortality than HR <50 bpm (OR, 0.67; 95%CI, 0.47-0.99) only after primary multivariable analysis, which was not confirmed after multiple sensitivity analyses. After propensity score matching, progressive fading of the prognostic role of HR <50 bpm was evident. CONCLUSIONS: Low admission HR in ACS is associated with a higher crude rate of adverse events. Nonetheless, after correction for baseline differences, the prognostic role of low HR was not confirmed. Therefore, low HR probably represents a marker of underlying morbidity. These results may be clinically relevant in improving the accuracy of risk scores in ACS

Real-World Cost-Effectiveness of Pulmonary Vein Isolation for Atrial Fibrillation: A Target Trial Approach

OBJECTIVES Randomized controlled trials of pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) for treating atrial fibrillation (AF) have proven the procedure's efficacy. Studies assessing its empirical cost-effectiveness outside randomized trial settings are lacking. We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of PVI versus medical therapy for AF. METHODS We followed a target trial approach using the Swiss-AF cohort, a prospective observational cohort study that enrolled patients with AF between 2014 and 2017. Resource utilization and cost information were collected through claims data. Quality of life was measured with EQ-5D-3L utilities. We estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) from the perspective of the Swiss statutory health insurance system. RESULTS Patients undergoing PVI compared with medical therapy had a 5-year overall survival advantage with a hazard ratio of 0.75 (95% CI 0.46-1.21; P = .69) and a 19.8% SD improvement in quality of life (95% CI 15.5-22.9; P < .001), at an incremental cost of 29 604 Swiss francs (CHF) (95% CI 16 354-42 855; P < .001). The estimated ICER was CHF 158 612 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained within a 5-year time horizon. Assuming similar health effects and costs over 5 additional years changed the ICER to CHF 82 195 per QALY gained. Results were robust to the sensitivity analyses performed. CONCLUSIONS Our results show that PVI might be a cost-effective intervention within the Swiss healthcare context in a 10-year time horizon, but unlikely to be so at 5 years, if a willingness-to-pay threshold of CHF 100 000 per QALY gained is assumed. Given data availability, we find target trial designs are a valuable tool for assessing the cost-effectiveness of healthcare interventions outside of randomized controlled trial settings

Real-world cost-effectiveness of pulmonary vein isolation for atrial fibrillation: a target trial approach.

OBJECTIVES Randomized controlled trials of pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) for treating atrial fibrillation (AF) have proven the procedure's efficacy. Studies assessing its empirical cost-effectiveness outside randomized trial settings are lacking. We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of PVI versus medical therapy for AF. METHODS We followed a target trial approach using the Swiss AF cohort, a prospective observational cohort study that enrolled AF patients between 2014 and 2017. Resource utilization and cost information was collected through claims data. Quality-of-life was measured with EQ-5D-3L utilities. We estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratios from the perspective of the Swiss statutory health insurance system. RESULTS Patients undergoing PVI compared to medical therapy had a 5-year overall survival advantage with a hazard ratio of 0.75 (95%CI 0.46-1.21, p=0.69), a 19.8% standard deviation improvement in quality-of-life (95%CI 15.5-22.9%, p<0.001), at an incremental cost of 29,604 (95%CI 16,354-42,855, p<0.001) Swiss Francs (CHF). The estimated incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was CHF 158,612 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained within a 5-year time horizon. Assuming similar health effects and costs over 5 additional years changed the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio to CHF 82,195 per QALY gained. Results were robust to the sensitivity analyses performed. CONCLUSIONS Our results show that PVI might be a cost-effective intervention within the Swiss healthcare context in a 10-year time horizon, but unlikely to be so at 5-years, if a willingness-to-pay threshold of CHF100,000 per QALY gained is assumed. Given data availability, we find target trial designs are a valuable tool for assessing the cost-effectiveness of healthcare interventions outside of RCT settings

Longitudinal Changes in Health-Related Quality of Life in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation.

Background Optimizing health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is an important aim of atrial fibrillation (AF) treatment. Little is known about patients' long-term HRQoL trajectories and the impact of patient and disease characteristics. The aim of this study was to describe HRQoL trajectories in an observational AF study population and in clusters of patients with similar patient and disease characteristics. Methods and Results We used 5-year follow-up data from the Swiss-Atrial Fibrillation prospective cohort, which enrolled 2415 patients with prevalent AF from 2014 to 2017. HRQoL data, collected yearly, comprised EuroQoL-5 dimension utilities and EuroQoL visual analog scale scores. Patient clusters with similar characteristics at enrollment were identified using hierarchical clustering. HRQoL trajectories were analyzed descriptively and with inverse probability-weighted regressions. Effects of postbaseline clinical events were additionally assessed using time-shifted event variables. Among 2412 (99.9%) patients with available baseline HRQoL, 3 clusters of patients with AF were identified, which we characterized as follows: "cardiovascular dominated," "isolated symptomatic," and "severely morbid without cardiovascular disease." Utilities and EuroQoL visual analog scale scores remained stable over time for the full population and the clusters; isolated symptomatic patients showed higher levels of HRQoL. Utilities were reduced after occurrences of stroke, hospitalization for heart failure, and bleeding, by -0.12 (95% CI, -0.18 to -0.06), -0.10 (95% CI, -0.13 to -0.08), and -0.06 (95% CI, -0.08 to -0.04), respectively, on a 0 to 1 utility scale. Utility of surviving patients returned to preevent levels 4 years after heart failure hospitalization; 3 years after bleeding; and 1 year after stroke. Conclusions In patients with prevalent AF, HRQoL was stable over time, irrespective of baseline patient characteristics. Clinical events of hospitalization for heart failure, stroke, and bleeding had only a temporary effect on HRQoL

Longitudinal Changes in Health-Related Quality of Life in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

Background: Optimizing health-related quality of life (HRQoL) is an important aim of atrial fibrillation (AF) treatment. Little is known about patients' long-term HRQoL trajectories and the impact of patient and disease characteristics. The aim of this study was to describe HRQoL trajectories in an observational AF study population and in clusters of patients with similar patient and disease characteristics. Methods and Results: We used 5-year follow-up data from the Swiss-Atrial Fibrillation prospective cohort, which enrolled 2415 patients with prevalent AF from 2014 to 2017. HRQoL data, collected yearly, comprised EuroQoL-5 dimension utilities and EuroQoL visual analog scale scores. Patient clusters with similar characteristics at enrollment were identified using hierarchical clustering. HRQoL trajectories were analyzed descriptively and with inverse probability-weighted regressions. Effects of postbaseline clinical events were additionally assessed using time-shifted event variables. Among 2412 (99.9%) patients with available baseline HRQoL, 3 clusters of patients with AF were identified, which we characterized as follows: "cardiovascular dominated," "isolated symptomatic," and "severely morbid without cardiovascular disease." Utilities and EuroQoL visual analog scale scores remained stable over time for the full population and the clusters; isolated symptomatic patients showed higher levels of HRQoL. Utilities were reduced after occurrences of stroke, hospitalization for heart failure, and bleeding, by -0.12 (95% CI, -0.18 to -0.06), -0.10 (95% CI, -0.13 to -0.08), and -0.06 (95% CI, -0.08 to -0.04), respectively, on a 0 to 1 utility scale. Utility of surviving patients returned to preevent levels 4 years after heart failure hospitalization; 3 years after bleeding; and 1 year after stroke. Conclusions: In patients with prevalent AF, HRQoL was stable over time, irrespective of baseline patient characteristics. Clinical events of hospitalization for heart failure, stroke, and bleeding had only a temporary effect on HRQoL

Estimating the cost impact of atrial fibrillation using a prospective cohort study and population-based controls.

AIMS Atrial fibrillation (AF) costs are expected to be substantial, but cost comparisons with the general population are scarce. Using data from the prospective Swiss-AF cohort study and population-based controls, we estimated the impact of AF on direct healthcare costs from the Swiss statutory health insurance perspective. METHODS Swiss-AF patients, enrolled from 2014 to 2017, had documented, prevalent AF. We analysed 5 years of follow-up, where clinical data, and health insurance claims in 42% of the patients were collected on a yearly basis. Controls from a health insurance claims database were matched for demographics and region. The cost impact of AF was estimated using five different methods: (1) ordinary least square regression (OLS), (2) OLS-based two-part modelling, (3) generalised linear model-based two-part modelling, (4) 1:1 nearest neighbour propensity score matching and (5) a cost adjudication algorithm using Swiss-AF data non-comparatively and considering clinical data. Cost of illness at the Swiss national level was modelled using obtained cost estimates, prevalence from the Global Burden of Disease Project, and Swiss population data. RESULTS The 1024 Swiss-AF patients with available claims data were compared with 16 556 controls without known AF. AF patients accrued CHF5600 (EUR5091) of AF-related direct healthcare costs per year, in addition to non-AF-related healthcare costs of CHF11100 (EUR10 091) per year accrued by AF patients and controls. All five methods yielded comparable results. AF-related costs at the national level were estimated to amount to 1% of Swiss healthcare expenditure. CONCLUSIONS We robustly found direct medical costs of AF patients were 50% higher than those of population-based controls. Such information on the incremental cost burden of AF may support healthcare capacity planning

Estimating the cost impact of atrial fibrillation using a prospective cohort study and population-based controls

AIMS Atrial fibrillation (AF) costs are expected to be substantial, but cost comparisons with the general population are scarce. Using data from the prospective Swiss-AF cohort study and population-based controls, we estimated the impact of AF on direct healthcare costs from the Swiss statutory health insurance perspective. METHODS Swiss-AF patients, enrolled from 2014 to 2017, had documented, prevalent AF. We analysed 5 years of follow-up, where clinical data, and health insurance claims in 42% of the patients were collected on a yearly basis. Controls from a health insurance claims database were matched for demographics and region. The cost impact of AF was estimated using five different methods: (1) ordinary least square regression (OLS), (2) OLS-based two-part modelling, (3) generalised linear model-based two-part modelling, (4) 1:1 nearest neighbour propensity score matching and (5) a cost adjudication algorithm using Swiss-AF data non-comparatively and considering clinical data. Cost of illness at the Swiss national level was modelled using obtained cost estimates, prevalence from the Global Burden of Disease Project, and Swiss population data. RESULTS The 1024 Swiss-AF patients with available claims data were compared with 16 556 controls without known AF. AF patients accrued CHF5600 (EUR5091) of AF-related direct healthcare costs per year, in addition to non-AF-related healthcare costs of CHF11100 (EUR10 091) per year accrued by AF patients and controls. All five methods yielded comparable results. AF-related costs at the national level were estimated to amount to 1% of Swiss healthcare expenditure. CONCLUSIONS We robustly found direct medical costs of AF patients were 50% higher than those of population-based controls. Such information on the incremental cost burden of AF may support healthcare capacity planning

Patient clusters and cost trajectories in the Swiss Atrial Fibrillation cohort

Objective: Evidence on long-term costs of atrial fibrillation (AF) and associated factors is scarce. As part of the Swiss-AF prospective cohort study, we aimed to characterise AF costs and their development over time, and to assess specific patient clusters and their cost trajectories. Methods: Swiss-AF enrolled 2415 patients with variable duration of AF between 2014 and 2017. Patient clusters were identified using hierarchical cluster analysis of baseline characteristics. Ongoing yearly follow-ups include health insurance clinical and claims data. An algorithm was developed to adjudicate costs to AF and related complications. Results: A subpopulation of 1024 Swiss-AF patients with available claims data was followed up for a median (IQR) of 3.24 (1.09) years. Average yearly AF-adjudicated costs amounted to SFr5679 (€5163), remaining stable across the observation period. AF-adjudicated costs consisted mainly of inpatient and outpatient AF treatment costs (SFr4078; €3707), followed by costs of bleeding (SFr696; €633) and heart failure (SFr494; €449). Hierarchical analysis identified three patient clusters: cardiovascular (CV; N=253 with claims), isolated-symptomatic (IS; N=586) and severely morbid without cardiovascular disease (SM; N=185). The CV cluster and SM cluster depicted similarly high costs across all cost outcomes; IS patients accrued the lowest costs. Conclusion: Our results highlight three well-defined patient clusters with specific costs that could be used for stratification in both clinical and economic studies. Patient characteristics associated with adjudicated costs as well as cost trajectories may enable an early understanding of the magnitude of upcoming AF-related healthcare costs. Keywords: Atrial Fibrillation; Health Care Economics and Organization

Sheep and Goat BSE Propagate More Efficiently than Cattle BSE in Human PrP Transgenic Mice

A new variant of Creutzfeldt Jacob Disease (vCJD) was identified in humans and linked to the consumption of Bovine Spongiform Encephalopathy (BSE)-infected meat products. Recycling of ruminant tissue in meat and bone meal (MBM) has been proposed as origin of the BSE epidemic. During this epidemic, sheep and goats have been exposed to BSE-contaminated MBM. It is well known that sheep can be experimentally infected with BSE and two field BSE-like cases have been reported in goats. In this work we evaluated the human susceptibility to small ruminants-passaged BSE prions by inoculating two different transgenic mouse lines expressing the methionine (Met) allele of human PrP at codon 129 (tg650 and tg340) with several sheep and goat BSE isolates and compared their transmission characteristics with those of cattle BSE. While the molecular and neuropathological transmission features were undistinguishable and similar to those obtained after transmission of vCJD in both transgenic mouse lines, sheep and goat BSE isolates showed higher transmission efficiency on serial passaging compared to cattle BSE. We found that this higher transmission efficiency was strongly influenced by the ovine PrP sequence, rather than by other host species-specific factors. Although extrapolation of results from prion transmission studies by using transgenic mice has to be done very carefully, especially when human susceptibility to prions is analyzed, our results clearly indicate that Met129 homozygous individuals might be susceptible to a sheep or goat BSE agent at a higher degree than to cattle BSE, and that these agents might transmit with molecular and neuropathological properties indistinguishable from those of vCJD. Our results suggest that the possibility of a small ruminant BSE prion as vCJD causal agent could not be ruled out, and that the risk for humans of a potential goat and/or sheep BSE agent should not be underestimated