Incorporation of Eye-Tracking and Gaze Feedback to Characterize and Improve Radiologist Search Patterns of Chest X-rays: A Randomized Controlled Clinical Trial

Diagnostic errors in radiology often occur due to incomplete visual assessments by radiologists, despite their knowledge of predicting disease classes. This insufficiency is possibly linked to the absence of required training in search patterns. Additionally, radiologists lack consistent feedback on their visual search patterns, relying on ad-hoc strategies and peer input to minimize errors and enhance efficiency, leading to suboptimal patterns and potential false negatives. This study aimed to use eye-tracking technology to analyze radiologist search patterns, quantify performance using established metrics, and assess the impact of an automated feedback-driven educational framework on detection accuracy. Ten residents participated in a controlled trial focused on detecting suspicious pulmonary nodules. They were divided into an intervention group (received automated feedback) and a control group. Results showed that the intervention group exhibited a 38.89% absolute improvement in detecting suspicious-for-cancer nodules, surpassing the control group's improvement (5.56%, p-value=0.006). Improvement was more rapid over the four training sessions (p-value=0.0001). However, other metrics such as speed, search pattern heterogeneity, distractions, and coverage did not show significant changes. In conclusion, implementing an automated feedback-driven educational framework improved radiologist accuracy in detecting suspicious nodules. The study underscores the potential of such systems in enhancing diagnostic performance and reducing errors. Further research and broader implementation are needed to consolidate these promising results and develop effective training strategies for radiologists, ultimately benefiting patient outcomes.Comment: Submitted for Review in the Journal of the American College of Radiology (JACR

Robust Single-view Cone-beam X-ray Pose Estimation with Neural Tuned Tomography (NeTT) and Masked Neural Radiance Fields (mNeRF)

Many tasks performed in image-guided, mini-invasive, medical procedures can be cast as pose estimation problems, where an X-ray projection is utilized to reach a target in 3D space. Expanding on recent advances in the differentiable rendering of optically reflective materials, we introduce new methods for pose estimation of radiolucent objects using X-ray projections, and we demonstrate the critical role of optimal view synthesis in performing this task. We first develop an algorithm (DiffDRR) that efficiently computes Digitally Reconstructed Radiographs (DRRs) and leverages automatic differentiation within TensorFlow. Pose estimation is performed by iterative gradient descent using a loss function that quantifies the similarity of the DRR synthesized from a randomly initialized pose and the true fluoroscopic image at the target pose. We propose two novel methods for high-fidelity view synthesis, Neural Tuned Tomography (NeTT) and masked Neural Radiance Fields (mNeRF). Both methods rely on classic Cone-Beam Computerized Tomography (CBCT); NeTT directly optimizes the CBCT densities, while the non-zero values of mNeRF are constrained by a 3D mask of the anatomic region segmented from CBCT. We demonstrate that both NeTT and mNeRF distinctly improve pose estimation within our framework. By defining a successful pose estimate to be a 3D angle error of less than 3 deg, we find that NeTT and mNeRF can achieve similar results, both with overall success rates more than 93%. However, the computational cost of NeTT is significantly lower than mNeRF in both training and pose estimation. Furthermore, we show that a NeTT trained for a single subject can generalize to synthesize high-fidelity DRRs and ensure robust pose estimations for all other subjects. Therefore, we suggest that NeTT is an attractive option for robust pose estimation using fluoroscopic projections

An integrated framework for reducing hospital readmissions using risk trajectories characterization and discharge timing optimization

When patients leave the hospital for lower levels of care, they experience a risk of adverse events on a daily basis. The advent of value-based purchasing among other major initiatives has led to an increasing emphasis on reducing the occurrences of these post-discharge adverse events. This has spurred the development of new prediction technologies to identify which patients are at risk for an adverse event as well as actions to mitigate those risks. Those actions include pre-discharge and post-discharge interventions to reduce risk. However, traditional prediction models have been developed to support only post-discharge actions; predicting risk of adverse events at the time of discharge only. In this paper we develop an integrated framework of risk prediction and discharge optimization that supports both types of interventions: discharge timing and post-discharge monitoring. Our method combines a kernel approach for capturing the non-linear relationship between length of stay and risk of an adverse event, with a Principle Component Analysis method that makes the resulting estimation tractable. We then demonstrate how this prediction model could be used to support both types of interventions by developing a simple and easily implementable discharge timing optimization

A Model Predictive Control Functional Continuous Time Bayesian Network for Self-Management of Multiple Chronic Conditions

Multiple chronic conditions (MCC) are one of the biggest challenges of modern times. The evolution of MCC follows a complex stochastic process that is influenced by a variety of risk factors, ranging from pre-existing conditions to modifiable lifestyle behavioral factors (e.g. diet, exercise habits, tobacco use, alcohol use, etc.) to non-modifiable socio-demographic factors (e.g., age, gender, education, marital status, etc.). People with MCC are at an increased risk of new chronic conditions and mortality. This paper proposes a model predictive control functional continuous time Bayesian network, an online recursive method to examine the impact of various lifestyle behavioral changes on the emergence trajectories of MCC and generate strategies to minimize the risk of progression of chronic conditions in individual patients. The proposed method is validated based on the Cameron county Hispanic cohort (CCHC) dataset, which has a total of 385 patients. The dataset examines the emergence of 5 chronic conditions (diabetes, obesity, cognitive impairment, hyperlipidemia, and hypertension) based on four modifiable risk factors representing lifestyle behaviors (diet, exercise habits, tobacco use, alcohol use) and four non-modifiable risk factors, including socio-demographic information (age, gender, education, marital status). The proposed method is tested under different scenarios (e.g., age group, the prior existence of MCC), demonstrating the effective intervention strategies for improving the lifestyle behavioral risk factors to offset MCC evolution.Comment: Submitted for review in Artificial Intelligence in Medicin

Mining patterns of comorbidity evolution in patients with multiple chronic conditions using unsupervised multi-level temporal Bayesian network

<div><p>Over the past few decades, the rise of multiple chronic conditions has become a major concern for clinicians. However, it is still not known precisely how multiple chronic conditions emerge among patients. We propose an unsupervised multi-level temporal Bayesian network to provide a compact representation of the relationship among emergence of multiple chronic conditions and patient level risk factors over time. To improve the efficiency of the learning process, we use an extension of maximum weight spanning tree algorithm and greedy search algorithm to study the structure of the proposed network in three stages, starting with learning the inter-relationship of comorbidities within each year, followed by learning the intra-relationship of comorbidity emergence between consecutive years, and finally learning the hierarchical relationship of comorbidities and patient level risk factors. We also use a longest path algorithm to identify the most likely sequence of comorbidities emerging from and/or leading to specific chronic conditions. Using a de-identified dataset of more than 250,000 patients receiving care from the U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs for a period of five years, we compare the performance of the proposed unsupervised Bayesian network in comparison with those of Bayesian networks developed based on supervised and semi-supervised learning approaches, as well as multivariate probit regression, multinomial logistic regression, and latent regression Markov mixture clustering focusing on traumatic brain injury (TBI), post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), depression (Depr), substance abuse (SuAb), and back pain (BaPa). Our findings show that the unsupervised approach has noticeably accurate predictive performance that is comparable to the best performing semi-supervised and the second-best performing supervised approaches. These findings also revealed that the unsupervised approach has improved performance over multivariate probit regression, multinomial logistic regression, and latent regression Markov mixture clustering.</p></div

Framework.

<p>General Scheme of the proposed method.</p

Supervised method.

<p>The network structure inferred from literature review.</p

Conditional probabilities of the comorbidities in year two, given year one data, for a sample patients with the following risk factors, gender (male), marital status (unmarried), education (less than high school), race (white), and age (18-30).

<p>Conditional probabilities of the comorbidities in year two, given year one data, for a sample patients with the following risk factors, gender (male), marital status (unmarried), education (less than high school), race (white), and age (18-30).</p

Unsupervised method.

<p>Implementation of the Proposed Algorithm (Unsupervised).</p

Longest path.

<p>The longest paths in the MTBNs. From left (a) Unsupervised Network (b) Semi-supervised Network and (c) Supervised Network.</p