Climate change and outdoor regional living plant collections: an example from mainland Portugal

Original PaperClimate change threatens not only plant species occurring naturally, but also impacts on regional living plant collections, which play an important role in ex situ conservation strategies. In the last few years, several global circulation models have been used to predict different global climate change scenarios. Due to their coarse resolutions, and while more detailed regional approaches are not available, downscaling techniques have been proposed, as a very simple first approach to increase detail. We analysed seven sites on mainland Portugal with potential for species conservation (four botanic gardens and three universities), in the light of downscaled climate change scenarios, using an environmental envelope approach and a predefined bioclimatic neighbourhood for each site. Thresholds for the bioclimatic neighbourhood were based on Rivas-Martı´nez’s Bioclimatic Classification of the Earth. For each site, the expected geographical shift of its original bioclimatic neighbourhood (1950–2000) was mapped for 2020, 2050 and 2080. Analysing those shifts enabled us to delineate knowledge-transfer paths between sites, according to the analysed scenarios. We concluded that, according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change A2 scenario, all considered sites will be outside the predefined bioclimatic neighbourhood by 2080, while according to the B2 scenario all of them will be inside that neighbourhood, although sometimes marginally so. Therefore, the implementation of global sustainability measures as considered in the B2 scenario family can be of great importance in order to delay significantly the impacts of climate change, giving extra time for the adaptation of the outdoor regional living plant collectionsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

CARD15 mutations in patients with plaque-type psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis: lack of association

Psoriasis has a strong genetic component in the development of the disease as indicated by familial occurrence and a high concordance rate among monozygotic twins. In genome-wide scans for psoriasis several susceptibility loci have been detected, but the disease-causing genes have not yet been identified. A recent scan, performed on psoriatic arthritis (PsA), which occurs in about 15% of the psoriasis patients showed a significant locus on chromosome 16 in a region that was already described by genome scan for psoriasis. CARD15 , a major susceptibility gene for Crohn’s disease (CD) on chromosome 16q, is an interesting candidate gene for psoriasis, because there is a documented clinical association of CD with psoriasis, and recently the association of CARD15 mutations with PsA was reported in Newfoundland population. We investigated the association of this variant with PsA and the overall psoriasis genotype in 59 independent patients with PsA in comparison with 361 age and sex-matched controls. In addition, a second cohort of 89 independent North American PsA patients was included. The diagnosis of psoriasis was made by a dermatologist based on standard clinical criteria. In these patients, PsA was defined as an inflammatory joint disease, negative rheumatoid factor, and lack of another causative condition for arthritis. Using case-control analysis, the G908R mutation was weakly associated with psoriasis and PsA, but due to the low frequency of this mutation statistical significance was not reached. All other variants including leu1007fsinsC and R702W did not show any association with psoriasis or PsA. In conclusion, a disease-causing role for CARD15 mutations could not be confirmed in German or American subjects with PsA.Peer Reviewedhttp://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/47254/1/403_2005_Article_624.pd