Predictors of low response to mild ovarian stimulation initiated on cycle day 5 for IVF.

Background: Milder stimulation protocols are being developed to minimize adverse effects of ovarian stimulation in in vitro fertilization (IVF) programs. A drawback is the possibility of an increased rate of insufficient ovarian response. This study aimed to develop a prognostic model for the prediction of cycle cancellation due to insufficient response to mild stimulation. Methods: A total of 174 IVF patients aged &lt;38 years and with a body mass index (BMI) &lt;28 Kg/m2 were treated with mild ovarian stimulation using a fixed daily dose (150 IU) of recombinant follicle-stimulating hormone (rFSH) from cycle day 5 and GnRH antagonist from the late follicular phase. In women with mono- or bifollicular growth (17%), the cycle was cancelled and the treatment was adjusted in a second treatment cycle by starting rFSH on cycle day 2. Results: In a multivariable logistic regression analysis, duration of infertility, menstrual cycle length, secondary infertility and BMI were included in the prediction model. The area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve of the model was 0.69. A probability cut-off for cancellation of 0.3 yielded an expected sensitivity of 33% and specificity of 92%. Analysis of ovarian response in the subsequent treatment cycle showed an improved ovarian response and a significant reduction in the cancellation rate. Conclusions: With the presented model, it is possible to identify patients at risk for cycle cancellation, during mild ovarian stimulation, due to insufficient response. The contributing factors of the model suggest that ovarian aging and BMI are related to insufficient response to mild stimulation. <br/

Ovarian response prediction in GnRH antagonist treatment for IVF using anti-Müllerian hormone

STUDY QUESTION: What is the clinical value of anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) for the prediction of high or low ovarian response in controlled ovarian stimulation for IVF using GnRH antagonist treatment?SUMMARY ANSWER: AMH as a single test has substantial accuracy for ovarian response prediction in GnRH antagonist treatment for IVF, with a higher accuracy for predicting a high response than for low response.WHAT IS KNOWN ALREADY: The role of AMH and other patient characteristics in ovarian response prediction has been studied extensively in long GnRH agonist protocols; however, little information is available regarding the clinical value in GnRH antagonists.STUDY DESIGN, SIZE, DURATION: This is an observational (retrospective) substudy as part of an ongoing cohort study. A total of 487 patients scheduled for IVF/ICSI between 2006 and 2011 were included in the study.PARTICIPANTS/MATERIALS, SETTING, METHODS: Patients with a regular cycle who underwent their first IVF/ICSI cycle with GnRH antagonist treatment while receiving a starting dose of 150 or 225 IU recombinant FSH were included in the study. Patients were divided into three subgroups according to the following ovarian response categories: high (&gt;15 oocytes or cycle cancellation), normal (4-15 oocytes) and low (&lt;4 oocytes or cycle cancellation). Serum samples collected prior to IVF treatment were used to determine serum AMH levels.MAIN RESULTS AND THE ROLE OF CHANCE: According to the predefined ovarian response categories, 58 patients were classified as high, 326 as normal and 101 as low responders, and the ongoing pregnancy rates did not differ among groups (19.0, 22.1 and 16.8%, respectively, P = 0.9). For the prediction of high response, AMH had an area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.87. Both female age and BMI had lower accuracy (AUC 0.66 and 0.58, respectively). For low response prediction, again AMH had a better accuracy (AUC 0.79) than female age and BMI (AUC 0.59 and 0.56, respectively). In a multivariate model, including the factors age, AMH, BMI, smoking, type and duration of subfertility, only BMI added some predictive value to AMH for both high and low response prediction. Clinical test characteristics demonstrated that using a specificity of ?90%, the detection rate of AMH for high and low response, corresponding with a test cut-off of 4.5 and 0.8 µg/l, was ?60 and ?45%, respectively.LIMITATIONS, REASONS FOR CAUTION: The impact of the antral follicle count (AFC) on ovarian response prediction in GnRH antagonists was not assessed; however, previously studies demonstrated that for GnRH antagonists, AMH has a better accuracy than AFC.WIDER IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS: The current study demonstrates that AMH is an adequate predictor for both high and low response in GnRH antagonist cycles, showing a similar accuracy to GnRH agonists, as reported previously. The optimization and individualization of GnRH antagonist protocols may be improved by using an AMH-tailored approach.STUDY FUNDING/COMPETING INTERESTS: This study was funded by the Academic Institutional Resources of the Department of Reproductive Medicine of the UMC Utrecht. O.H., M.J.C.E, E.W.G.L and H.L.T. have nothing to declare. N.S.M. has received fees and/or grant support from the following companies (in alphabetic order): Anecova, Ferring, Informa, Merck Serono and MSD. B.C.J.M.F. has received fees and/or grant support from the following companies (in alphabetic order); Childhealth, CVON, Ferring, Ova-Science, PregLem, Roche and Watson laboratories. F.J.B. has received fees and/or grant support from the following companies (in alphabetic order); Merck Serono and MSD.TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: www.clinicaltrials.gov, Protocol ID 13-109

Antimüllerian hormone: prediction of cumulative live birth in gonadotropin-releasing hormone antagonist treatment for in vitro fertilization

ObjectiveTo assess the accuracy of antimüllerian hormone (AMH) in predicting cumulative live birth rate (CLBR) within 1 year after treatment initiation in GnRH antagonist treatment cycles for in vitro fertilization (IVF).DesignObservational (retrospective) substudy as part of an ongoing prospective cohort study.SettingUniversity medical center.Patient(s)A total of 487 patients scheduled for IVF/intracytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI).Intervention(s)Patients starting their first IVF/ICSI cycle with 150 or 225 IU recombinant FSH and GnRH antagonist cotreatment were included. Serum samples collected before the first IVF treatment were used to determine AMH. Treatment data after treatment initiation for a maximum of 1 year were recorded.Main Outcome Measure(s)Prediction of CLBR with the use of AMH.Result(s)The model for predicting CLBR within 1 year included age at first treatment, AMH, type of infertility, and previous assisted reproductive technology treatment leading to live birth. The accuracy in discriminating between women who did or did not achieve a live birth was only 59%. AMH had intermediate added value in the prediction of CLBR as demonstrated by the net reclassification improvement (total 29.8). A nomogram based on age and AMH was developed by which a subgroup of patients could be identified with the poorest pregnancy prospects.Conclusion(s)The predictive accuracy of AMH for 1-year CLBR in GnRH antagonist treatment cycles was limited and did not yield much additional value on top of age. Withholding treatment based on predictors such as age and AMH, or a combination, remains problematic.Clinical Trial Registration Numberwww.clinicaltrials.gov, NCT02309073

Why do couples drop-out from IVF treatment? A prospective cohort study

Background: Cumulative IVF pregnancy rates are compromised by the large number of couples who drop-out of treatment before achieving pregnancy. The aim of this study was to identify the role of the treatment strategy applied, and potential other factors that influence the decision of couples to discontinue treatment. Methods: The incidence of drop-out from IVF treatment and factors related to drop-out were studied in a cohort of IVF patients aged &lt;38 years embarking on IVF treatment either with a mild or a standard treatment strategy for a planned maximum number of treatment cycles. Results: Of the 384 couples studied, 17% dropped out of IVF treatment. The physical or psychological burden of treatment was the most frequent cause of drop-out (28%). The application of a mild treatment strategy (mild ovarian stimulation along with the transfer of a single embryo) significantly reduced the chance of drop-out (hazard ratio (HR) 0.55; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.31-0.96). When a mild IVF strategy was employed, the association between the baseline anxiety score and drop-out was reduced by &gt;50%. The presence of severe male subfertility (HR 4.80; 95% CI, 1.63-14.13) and the failure to achieve embryo transfer (odds ratio 0.41; 95% CI, 0.24-0.72) were also related to drop-out. Conclusions: Reducing drop-out rate is crucial to further improve the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of IVF treatment. An important factor determining the risk of drop-out is the burden of the treatment strategy. The application of a mild treatment strategy and managing patient's expectations might reduce drop-out rates.<br/

The number of antral follicles in normal women with proven fertility is the best reflection of reproductive age.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to compare the predictive capacity of several markers of reproductive age in normal women. METHODS: Healthy female volunteers (n = 162) aged 25-46 years with proven, normal fertility and regular menstrual cycles were recruited. In this selected group, chronological age was assumed to approximate reproductive age and, therefore, was taken as the proxy-variable for reproductive age. The number of antral follicles with 2-10 mm diameter, total ovarian volume, total follicular volume, mean follicular volume, and volume of either the smallest or largest ovary were estimated by transvaginal sonography of the ovaries. Serum levels of early follicular FSH, estradiol and inhibin B, as well as the response of estradiol and inhibin B to exogenous GnRH agonist administration (GAST), were also evaluated. RESULTS: Regression analysis revealed that the antral follicle number showed the highest correlation with age (r = -0.68, P = 0.001), and explained 46% of its variance. All other variables, except inhibin B, were moderately correlated with age. Responses of estradiol and inhibin B to the GnRH agonist were moderately correlated with age, but highly correlated with the number of antral follicles. CONCLUSIONS: It is concluded that the number of antral follicles has the closest association with chronological age in normal women with proven fertility. As stimulated estradiol and inhibin B clearly reflect the size of the antral follicle cohort, the GAST may be considered the second best single test to predict reproductive age

Birth weight and age at menarche in patients with polycystic ovary syndrome or diminished ovarian reserve, in a retrospective cohort.

Item does not contain fulltextBACKGROUND: Few studies have investigated the association between subfertility in women and factors in early life such as birth weight and age at menarche, and most have produced contradictory results. In the present study, this association was investigated among women undergoing artificial reproductive techniques (ART), including IVF for reason of polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) or diminished ovarian reserve. Herein, PCOS included oligomenorrhoea and at least one additional symptom such as hyperandrogenism, hirsutism or polycystic ovaries on ultrasound. In most patients this was concomitant with elevated serum LH levels. Diminished ovarian reserve was defined as receiving a donated oocyte or having a low response to ovarian hyperstimulation. METHODS: Among a retrospective cohort of 26 428 women diagnosed with subfertility between 1980 and 1995, three study groups and one reference group were defined using data from medical records. Women were included in the first group if diagnosed as having PCOS (n = 265). In order to define diminished ovarian reserve capacity, two groups were selected: (i) women receiving a donated oocyte (n = 98); and (ii) women having a low response (three follicles or less) to ovarian hyperstimulation in both their first and second IVF cycles (n = 351). Women with tubal obstruction formed the reference group (n = 957). In a logistic regression model, the effect of birth weight and age at menarche was examined. Information on both variables was obtained from mailed questionnaires. RESULTS: Birth weight did not differ significantly between the study groups and the reference group. However, PCOS patients were significantly older at menarche [OR 3.31 (2.18-5.04)]. Women receiving a donated oocyte and low responders were significantly younger at menarche [OR 2.67 (1.35-5.29) and OR 2.01 (1.26-3.20) respectively]. CONCLUSION: The fetal origins hypothesis, the association between intrauterine growth retardation and disease in adult life, could not be confirmed, though a relationship between timing of menarche and PCOS and a diminished ovarian reserve was identified. Further investigation of the effect of birth weight on fertility outcome in a prospective setting is strongly advised