2,447 research outputs found
Recognition of micro-scale deformation structures in glacial sediments - pattern perception, observer bias and the influence of experience
It is a scientist's mission to try to remain unbiased. However, certain factors play a role in scientific analyses that are not controlled by conscious thought. These factors are potentially very important in areas of science where interpretations are based on a scientist's ability to identify patterns or structures. One such area is the micromorphology of glacial sediments. In this paper we investigate the role of an analyst's experience in relation to pattern perception with specific reference to turbate microstructures in glacial diamictons. An experiment was conducted on 52 participants, which demonstrated that, as may be expected, more experienced (glacial) micromorphologists tend to exhibit a higher sensitivity-to-signal, but that complete novices, if given clear instructions, can reach levels of sensitivity similar to those of experts. It also showed, perhaps more surprisingly, that response bias does not decrease with experience. We discuss psychological factors, such as the drive for success and consistency, that may have contributed to these results and investigate their possible implications in the micromorphological analysis and interpretation of glacial sediments
Recall termination in free recall
Although much is known about the dynamics of\ud
memory search in the free recall task, relatively little is\ud
known about the factors related to recall termination. Rean-\ud
alyzing individual trial data from 14 prior studies (1,079\ud
participants in 28,015 trials) and defining termination as\ud
occurring when a final response is followed by a long\ud
nonresponse interval, we observed that termination proba-\ud
bility increased throughout the recall period and that retriev-\ud
al was more likely to terminate following an error than\ud
following a correct response. Among errors, termination\ud
probability was higher following prior-list intrusions and\ud
repetitions than following extralist intrusions. To verify that\ud
this pattern of results can be seen in a single study, we report\ud
a new experiment in which 80 participants contributed recall\ud
data from a total of 9,122 trials. This experiment replicated\ud
the pattern observed in the aggregate analysis of the prior\ud
studies.\u
Calibration of White Dwarf cooling sequences: theoretical uncertainty
White Dwarf luminosities are powerful age indicators, whose calibration
should be based on reliable models. We discuss the uncertainty of some chemical
and physical parameters and their influence on the age estimated by means of
white dwarf cooling sequences. Models at the beginning of the white dwarf
sequence have been obtained on the base of progenitor evolutionary tracks
computed starting from the zero age horizontal branch and for a typical halo
chemical composition (Z=0.0001, Y=0.23). The uncertainties due to nuclear
reaction rates, convection, mass loss and initial chemical composition are
discussed. Then, various cooling sequences for a typical white dwarf mass
(M=0.6 Mo) have been calculated under different assumptions on some input
physics, namely: conductive opacity, contribution of the ion-electron
interaction to the free energy and microscopic diffusion. Finally we present
the evolution of white dwarfs having mass ranging between 0.5 and 0.9 Mo. Much
effort has been spent to extend the equation of state down to the low
temperature and high density regime. An analysis of the latest improvement in
the physics of white dwarf interiors is presented. We conclude that at the
faint end of the cooling sequence (log L/Lo=-5.5) the present overall
uncertainty on the age is of the order of 20%, which correspond to about 3 Gyr.
We suggest that this uncertainty could be substantially reduced by improving
our knowledge of the conductive opacity (especially in the partially degenerate
regime) and by fixing the internal stratification of C and O.Comment: 14 figures, accepted by Ap
Life Products of Stars
We attempt to document complete energetic transactions of stars in their
life. We calculate photon and neutrino energies that are produced from stars in
their each phase of evolution from 1 to 8 M_sun, using the state-of-the-art
stellar evolution code, tracing the evolution continuously from pre-main
sequence gravitational contraction to white dwarfs. We also catalogue
gravitational and thermal energies and helium, and heavier elements that are
stored in stars and those ejected into interstellar space in each evolutionary
phase.Comment: 26 pages, including 8 figures and 3 tables. Submitted to ApJ
Can groundwater be successfully implemented as a bulk water resource within rural Limpopo Province? Analysis based on GRIP datasets
Groundwater is a strategic water resource in rural Limpopo Province and it accounts for almost 70% of rural domestic water supply. The resource is available throughout the Province in varying quantities and qualities depending on the hydrogeological properties of the underlying aquifer. These properties are mostly secondary in nature and are constrained by the processes of weathering, faulting, fracturing and the influence of intrusive rocks. These properties define typical fractured aquifers in which the selection of drilling sites requires a thorough scientific approach to locate a successful productive borehole. While most water service authorities in the Province have been randomly developing new boreholes with limited success rates, the analysis of datasets in the newly established groundwater data repository, the Limpopo Groundwater Resource Information Project (GRIP) demonstrates that large quantities of groundwater can be obtained and used for bulk supply if the drilling sites are scientifically selected. The GRIP dataset contains 24 922 entries of which 4 000 were tested. The pumping test results indicate that an estimated 576 000 m3/d (210 Mm3/a) can be sustainably abstracted from boreholes in approximately 2 500 villages that are dispersed throughout the Province. However, more than 50% of these boreholes areunequipped of which 3 000 can provide a combined yield of 109 Mm3/a based on a 24 h abstraction rate. These results show that groundwater can be developed as a potential viable bulk-water supply source. This paper attempts to demonstrate, using the existing GRIP dataset, that groundwater is an underutilised resource that can be viably and cost-effectively developed as an alternative bulk water source or conjunctively with surface water
Detailed Spectroscopic and Photometric Analysis of DQ White Dwarfs
We present an analysis of spectroscopic and photometric data for cool DQ
white dwarfs based on improved model atmosphere calculations. In particular, we
revise the atmospheric parameters of the trigonometric parallax sample of
Bergeron et al.(2001), and discuss the astrophysical implications on the
temperature scale and mean mass, as well as the chemical evolution of these
stars. We also analyze 40 new DQ stars discovered in the first data release of
the Sloan Digital Sky Survey.Comment: 6 pages,3 figures, 14th European Workshop on White Dwarfs, ASP
Conference Series, in pres
Evolution and Nucleosynthesis of Zero Metal Intermediate Mass Stars
New stellar models with mass ranging between 4 and 8 Mo, Z=0 and Y=0.23 are
presented. The models have been evolved from the pre Main Sequence up to the
Asymptotic Giant Branch (AGB). At variance with previous claims, we find that
these updated stellar models do experience thermal pulses in the AGB phase. In
particular we show that: a) in models with mass larger than 6 Mo, the second
dredge up is able to raise the CNO abundance in the envelope enough to allow a
"normal" AGB evolution, in the sense that the thermal pulses and the third
dredge up settle on; b) in models of lower mass, the efficiency of the CNO
cycle in the H-burning shell is controlled by the carbon produced locally via
the 3alpha reactions. Nevertheless the He-burning shell becomes thermally
unstable after the early AGB. The expansion of the overlying layers induced by
these weak He-shell flashes is not sufficient by itself to allow a deep
penetration of the convective envelope. However, immediately after that, the
maximum luminosity of the He flash is attained and a convective shell
systematically forms at the base of the H-rich envelope. The innermost part of
this convective shell probably overlaps the underlying C-rich region left by
the inter-shell convection during the thermal pulse, so that fresh carbon is
dredged up in a "hot" H-rich environment and a H flash occurs. This flash
favours the expansion of the outermost layers already started by the weak
thermal pulse and a deeper penetration of the convective envelope takes place.
Then, the carbon abundance in the envelope rises to a level high enough that
the further evolution of these models closely resembles that of more metal rich
AGB stars. These stars provide an important source of primary carbon and
nitrogen.Comment: 28 pages, 5 tables and 17 figures. Accepted for publication in Ap
The s-Process in Rotating Asymptotic Giant Branch Stars
(abridged) We model the nucleosynthesis during the thermal pulse phase of a
rotating, solar metallicity AGB star of 3M_sun. Rotationally induced mixing
during the thermal pulses produces a layer (~2E-5M_sun) on top of the CO-core
where large amounts of protons and C12 co-exist. We follow the abundance
evolution in this layer, in particular that of the neutron source C13 and of
the neutron poison N14. In our AGB model mixing persists during the entire
interpulse phase due to the steep angular velocity gradient at the
core-envelope interface. We follow the neutron production during the interpulse
phase, and find a resulting maximum neutron exposure of tau_max =0.04 mbarn^-1,
which is too small to produce any significant s-process. In parametric models,
we then investigate the combined effects of diffusive overshooting from the
convective envelope and rotationally induced mixing. Models with overshoot and
weaker interpulse mixing - as perhaps expected from more slowly rotating stars
- yield larger neutron exposures. We conclude that the incorporation of
rotationally induce mixing processes has important consequences for the
production of heavy elements in AGB stars. Through a distribution of initial
rotation rates it may lead to a natural spread in the neutron exposures
obtained in AGB stars of a given mass - as appears to be required by
observations. Our results suggest that both processes, diffusive overshoot and
rotational mixing, may be required to obtain a consistent description of the
s-process in AGB stars which fulfils all observational constraints. Finally, we
find that mixing due to rotation within our current framework does increase the
production of N15 in the partial mixing zone, however still falling short of
what seems required by observations.Comment: 50 pages, 13 figures, ApJ in press, tentatively scheduled for v593 n2
August 20, 200
PIN92 Too Early or Too Late? Impact of Different Herpes Zoster Vaccine’s Waning Rates on Age-Specific Incremental Cost-Effectiveness Ratio
On the fraction of intermediate-mass close binaries that explode as type-Ia supernovae
Type-Ia supernovae (SNe-Ia) are thought to result from a thermonuclear
runaway in white dwarfs (WDs) that approach the Chandrasekhar limit, either
through accretion from a companion or a merger with another WD. I compile
observational estimates of the fraction eta of intermediate-mass stars that
eventually explode as SNe-Ia, supplement them with several new estimates, and
compare them self-consistently. The estimates are based on five different
methods, each utilising some observable related to the SN-Ia rate, combined
with assumptions regarding the IMF: the ratio of SN-Ia to core-collapse rates
in star-forming galaxies; the SN-Ia rate per unit star-formation rate; the
SN-Ia rate per unit stellar mass; the iron to stellar mass ratio in galaxy
clusters; and the abundance ratios in galaxy clusters. The five methods
indicate that a fraction in the range eta~2-40% of all stars with initial
masses of 3-8 M_sun (the generally assumed SN-Ia progenitors) explode as
SNe-Ia. A fraction of eta~15% is consistent with all five methods for a range
of plausible IMFs. Considering also the binarity fraction among such stars, the
mass ratio distribution, the separation distribution, and duplicity (every
binary can produce only one SN-Ia explosion), this implies that nearly every
intermediate mass close binary ends up as a SN-Ia, or possibly more SNe-Ia than
progenitor systems. Theoretically expected fractions are generally one to two
orders of magnitude lower. The problem could be solved: if all the
observational estimates are in error; or with a ``middle-heavy'' IMF; or by
some mechanism that strongly enhances the efficiency of binary evolution toward
SN-Ia explosion; or by a non-binary origin for SNe-Ia.Comment: MNRAS, accepted versio
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