Evaluating the Maximum Likelihood Method for Detecting Short-Term Variability of AGILE gamma-ray Sources

The AGILE space mission (whose instrument is sensitive in the energy ranges 18-60 keV, and 30 MeV - 50 GeV) has been operating since 2007. Assessing the statistical significance of time variability of gamma-ray sources above 100 MeV is a primary task of the AGILE data analysis. In particular, it is important to check the instrument sensitivity in terms of Poisson modeling of the data background, and to determine the post-trial confidence of detections. The goals of this work are: (i) evaluating the distributions of the likelihood ratio test for "empty" fields, and for regions of the Galactic plane; (ii) calculating the probability of false detection over multiple time intervals. In this paper we describe in detail the techniques used to search for short-term variability in the AGILE gamma-ray source database. We describe the binned maximum likelihood method used for the analysis of AGILE data, and the numerical simulations that support the characterization of the statistical analysis. We apply our method to both Galactic and extra-galactic transients, and provide a few examples. After having checked the reliability of the statistical description tested with the real AGILE data, we obtain the distribution of p-values for blind and specific source searches. We apply our results to the determination of the post-trial statistical significance of detections of transient gamma-ray sources in terms of pre-trial values. The results of our analysis allow a precise determination of the post-trial significance of {\gamma}-ray sources detected by AGILE.Comment: 12 pages, 13 figures, 8 tables, accepted to A&

A variability analysis of low-latitude unidentified gamma-ray sources

We present a study of 40 low-latitude unidentified 3EG gamma-ray sources which were found to be not positionally coincident with any known class of potential gamma-ray emitters in the Galaxy (Romero, Benaglia & Torres, 1999). We have performed a variability analysis which reveals that many of these 40 sources are variable. These sources have, in addition, a steep mean value of the gamma-ray spectral index, $= 2.41 \pm 0.2$, which, combined with the high level of variability seems to rule out a pulsar origin. The positional coincidences with uncatalogued candidates to supernova remnants were also studied. Only 7 sources in the sample are spatially coincident with these candidates, a result that is shown to be consistent with the expected level of pure chance association. A complementary search for weak radio counterparts was also conducted and the results are presented as an extensive table containing all significant point-like radio sources within the 40 EGRET fields. We argue that in order to produce the high variability, steep gamma-ray spectra, and absence of strong radio counterparts observed in some of the gamma-ray sources of our sample a new class of objects should be postulated, and we analyze a viable candidate.Comment: Paper updated to match the accepted version to appear in Astronomy and Astrophysics, 2001. Tables 5,6,7 and 8 are in ascii format and need to be printed separately. they can also be obtained from http://www.iar.unlp.edu.ar/garra Table 5 is 62 pages long. Download the source to obtain the table

Long-Term Flux Monitoring of LSI +61 303 at 2.25 and 8.3 GHz

LSI +61 303 is an exotic binary system consisting of a ~10 Msun B star and a compact object which is probably a neutron star. The system is associated with the interesting radio source GT0236+610 that exhibits bright radio outbursts with a period of 26.5 days. We report the results of continuous daily radio interferometric observations of GT0236+610 at 2.25 and 8.3 GHz from 1994 January to 1996 February. The observations cover 25 complete (and 3 partial) cycles with multiple observations each day. We detect substantial cycle-to-cycle variability of the radio emission characterized by a rapid onset of the radio flares followed by a more gradual decrease of the emission. We detect a systematic change of the radio spectral index alpha which typically becomes larger than zero at the onset of the radio outbursts. This behavior is suggestive of expansion of material initially optically thick to radio frequencies, indicating either that synchrotron or inverse Compton cooling are important or that the free-free optical depth to the source is rapidly changing. After two years of observations, we see only weak evidence for the proposed 4-year periodic modulation in the peak flux of the outbursts. We observe a secular trend in the outburst phases according the the best published ephemeris. This trend indicates either orbital period evolution, or a drift in outburst orbital phase in response to some other change in the system.Comment: 23 pages, LaTex, 7 figures, to appear in ApJ, v491, Dec 10th issue, for associated info and preprints see http://www.srl.caltech.edu/personnel/paulr/lsi.htm

Stochastic wake field particle acceleration in Gamma-Ray Bursts

Gamma-Ray Burst (GRB) prompt emission can, for specific conditions, be so powerful and short-pulsed to strongly influence any surrounding plasma. In this paper, we briefly discuss the possibility that a very intense initial burst of radiation produced by GRBs satisfy the intensity and temporal conditions to cause stochastic wake-field particle acceleration in a surrounding plasma of moderate density. Recent laboratory experiments clearly indicate that powerful laser beam pulses of tens of femtosecond duration hitting on target plasmas cause efficient particle acceleration and betatron radiation up to tens of MeV. We consider a simple but realistic GRB model for which particle wake-field acceleration can first be excited by a very strong low-energy precursor, and then be effective in producing the observed prompt X-ray and gamma-ray GRB emission. We also briefly discuss some of the consequences of this novel GRB emission mechanism.Comment: 5 pages, 1 figure, submitted to MNRA

Intrinsic spectra and energetics of BeppoSAX Gamma-Ray Bursts with known redshifts

We present the main results of a study of spectral and energetics properties of twelve gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) with redshift estimates. All GRBs in our sample were detected by BeppoSAX in a broad energy range (2-700 keV). From the redshift estimates and the good-quality BeppoSAX time-integrated spectra we deduce the main properties of GRBs in their cosmological rest frames. All spectra in our sample are satisfactorily represented by the Band model with no significant soft X-ray excesses or spectral absorptions. We find a positive correlation between the estimated total (isotropic) energies in the 1-10000 keV energy range (E_rad) and redshifts z. Interestingly, more luminous GRBs are characterized also by larger peak energies E_p of their EF(E) spectra. Furthermore, more distant GRBs appear to be systematically harder in the X-ray band compared to GRBs with lower redshifts. We discuss how selection and data truncation effects could bias our results and give possible explanations for the correlations that we found.Comment: 10 pages, 5 figures, accepted for publication in Astronomy & Astrophysic