Evaluation of Mode Meters Robust to Forced Oscillations using Field-Measured Data

Mode meters are tools used by power system operators to continuously monitor a system\u27s small-signal stability. They do so by estimating the system\u27s electromechanical modes of oscillation. When a system undergoes a forced oscillation, mode meters may become biased because the two types of oscillation cannot be distinguished. Modified mode meter algorithms robust to this bias have been proposed in prior research, but these studies were based primarily on simulated data. In this paper, modified least squares and Yule-Walker mode meter algorithms are evaluated using field-measured data from phasor measurement units (PMUs). Results show that the sensitivities of the least squares algorithm make it impractical for use given the complexities of real-world forced oscillations. However, the modified Yule-Walker algorithm is shown to perform well and has significant potential for practical deployment in mode meter tools

A Novel Method for Setting Meaningful Thresholds for RMS-Energy Oscillation Detectors

Oscillation detection and mitigation is a crucial aspect of reliable power system operation. Several transmission system operators and reliability coordinators use the RMS-energy method of oscillation detection, but the process of setting thresholds is time and labor intensive. The current industry practice in the United States is to set thresholds based on the RMS-energy\u27s value during ambient conditions, which can often lead to nuisance alarms that require thresholds to be manually retuned. In this paper, we propose a method for setting RMS-energy thresholds that directly accounts for oscillation amplitudes specified by the user. A theoretical analysis of the statistical properties of the RMS-energy incorporates these user-specified amplitudes, resulting in thresholds that reliably detect oscillations of interest while avoiding nuisance alarms. Theoretical results are validated with simulated measurements and the real-world practicality of the method is established with publicly available field-measured data from the Grid Event Signature Library

Simultaneous Forward-Backward Prony Estimation

Power system dynamic stability can be evaluated through the analysis of transient oscillations that occur following significant system events. One of the earliest methods for this type of study is Prony analysis, which estimates the system's electromechanical modes. While previous studies have highlighted advantages of performing Prony analysis on data in the forward and backward directions, the proposed method does so simultaneously. As a result, signal poles corresponding to electromechanical modes can be distinguished from spurious poles more reliably. The method also produces a single mode estimate, where independent application in the forward and backward directions would produce two estimates for each mode. The method is validated using simulated and measured power system data

Weather and Random Forest-based Load Profiling Approximation Models and Their Transferability across Climate Zones

This study is to provide predictive understanding of the associations of weather attributes with electricity load profiles across a variety of climate zones and seasons. Firstly, machine learning (ML) approaches were used to identify and quantify the impacts of various weather attributes on residential and commercial electricity demand and its components across the western United States. Performance and transferability of the developed ML models were then evaluated across different temperate zones (e.g., southern, middle, and northern US) and across coastal, mid-continent, and wet zones, with inputs of weather condition data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) at representative weather stations. The predictive models were developed based on the ranked and screened factors using the regression tree (RT) and random forest (RF) approaches, for five different scenarios (seasons)

Pattern Mining and Anomaly Detection based on Power System Synchrophasor Measurements

Real-time monitoring of power system dynamics using phasor measurement units (PMUs) data improves situational awareness and system reliability, and helps prevent electric grid blackouts due to early anomaly detection. The study presented in this paper is based on real PMU measurements of the U.S. Western Interconnection system. Given the nonlinear and non-stationary PMU data, we developed a robust anomaly detection framework that uses wavelet-based multi-resolution analysis with moving-window-based outlier detection and anomaly scoring to identify potential PMU events. Candidate events were evaluated via spatiotemporal correlation analysis and classified for a better understanding of event types, resulting in successful anomaly detection and classification of the recorded events

Online Analysis of Wind and Solar Part II: Transmission Tool

To facilitate wider penetration of renewable resources without compromising system reliability concerns arising from the lack of predictability of intermittent renewable resources, a tool for use by California Independent System Operator (CAISO) power grid operators was developed by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) in conjunction with CAISO with funding from California Energy Commission. The tool analyzes and displays the impacts of uncertainties in forecasts of loads and renewable generation on: (1) congestion, (2)voltage and transient stability margins, and (3)voltage reductions and reactive power margins. The impacts are analyzed in the base case and under user-specified contingencies.A prototype of the tool has been developed and implemented in software

Online Analysis of Wind and Solar Part I: Ramping Tool

To facilitate wider penetration of renewable resources without compromising system reliability concerns arising from the lack of predictability of intermittent renewable resources, a tool for use by California Independent System Operator (CAISO) power grid operators was developed by Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) in conjunction with CAISO with funding from California Energy Commission. This tool predicts and displays additional capacity and ramping requirements caused by uncertainties in forecasts of loads and renewable generation. The tool is currently operational in the CAISO operations center. This is one of two final reports on the project

NV Energy Solar Integration Study: Cycling and Movements of Conventional Generators for Balancing Services

With an increasing penetration level of solar power in the southern Nevada system, the impact of solar on system operations needs to be carefully studied from various perspectives. Qualitatively, it is expected that the balancing requirements to compensate for solar power variability will be larger in magnitude; meanwhile, generators providing load following and regulation services will be moved up or down more frequently. One of the most important tasks is to quantitatively evaluate the cycling and movements of conventional generators with solar power at different penetration levels. This study is focused on developing effective methodologies for this goal and providing a basis for evaluating the wear and tear of the conventional generator

Analysis of ISO NE Balancing Requirements: Uncertainty-based Secure Ranges for ISO New England Dynamic Inerchange Adjustments

The document describes detailed uncertainty quantification (UQ) methodology developed by PNNL to estimate secure ranges of potential dynamic intra-hour interchange adjustments in the ISO-NE system and provides description of the dynamic interchange adjustment (DINA) tool developed under the same contract. The overall system ramping up and down capability, spinning reserve requirements, interchange schedules, load variations and uncertainties from various sources that are relevant to the ISO-NE system are incorporated into the methodology and the tool. The DINA tool has been tested by PNNL and ISO-NE staff engineers using ISO-NE data